Realized P&L (7d)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
0
3,149 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$60.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.75K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 09-25 19:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
70% 97% +$243
Politics
19% 96% +$71
Sports
7% 96% +$22
Crypto
3% 54% -$14
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +278 $277 100¢ $277 +$1 08-20 08:57
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +200 $199 100¢ $200 +$1 07-31 20:42
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +120 $120 100¢ $120 +$0 07-31 20:14
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +120 $119 98¢ $118 -$1 07-31 20:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +116 $115 100¢ $116 +$1 08-01 10:59
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? No +112 $107 100¢ $112 +$5 08-03 11:35
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? No +92 $92 100¢ $92 +$0 07-30 21:26
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? No +77 $76 99¢ $76 -$1 08-08 09:49
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +65 $63 100¢ $64 +$1 07-26 12:20
Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +57 $57 100¢ $57 +$0 08-09 00:07
Will John Turturro win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +57 $57 99¢ $57 $0 08-09 00:07
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 07-16 13:36
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 07-16 13:36
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $44 100¢ $45 +$0 07-16 13:36
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +40 $39 100¢ $40 +$0 08-09 00:07
Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +32 $29 95¢ $31 +$2 07-26 16:28
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? No — +30 $29 100¢ $29 +$0 07-26 12:20
Will Lazio win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +25 $25 94¢ $24 -$2 07-26 16:28
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? No +23 $20 100¢ $23 +$3 08-09 01:04
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 08-02 18:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$0 08-03 15:26
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +40 $37 49¢ $20 -$17 08-09 00:07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 +$0 07-30 22:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 $0 07-30 22:52
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 +$0 08-09 00:04
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +18 $16 98¢ $17 +$1 08-09 00:04
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +16 $14 98¢ $15 +$1 07-24 15:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +14 $14 91¢ $13 -$1 08-03 10:45
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 08-02 08:35
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 08-02 08:35