Bare-Tradition — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

101

327 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.07K

$6.40K lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 10-29 06:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 63% -$364

Other

29% 42% -$381

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	3	$651	736	622	+114	Yes	-$339	07-06 06:56
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$377	192	192	+0	No	+$5	07-06 05:30
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	1	$183	186	0	+186	No	+$3	07-05 06:31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	3	$131	193	193	+0	Yes	+$82	07-10 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 06:15 UTC	2	$131	67	67	+0	Up	+$1	06-17 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 06:25 UTC	2	$130	71	71	+0	Up	+$10	06-15 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 05:15 UTC	3	$125	92	78	+14	Down	+$19	06-26 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 06:20 UTC	2	$121	62	62	+0	Up	+$1	06-15 06:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 05:55 UTC	1	$120	133	0	+133	Down	+$13	07-04 05:59
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$109	89	89	+0	Yes	+$29	05-26 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 06:20 UTC	3	$109	58	58	+0	Down	+$5	06-25 06:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 06:10 UTC	2	$104	56	56	+0	Down	+$4	06-27 06:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:45 UTC	2	$102	54	54	+0	Up	+$2	08-25 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$100	397	0	+397	Down	-$100	07-06 05:45
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$100	128	0	+128	Yes	-$100	05-06 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 05:35 UTC	1	$100	115	0	+115	Down	+$15	07-05 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$90	51	51	+0	Down	+$10	05-30 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$80	42	42	+0	Down	+$0	05-21 06:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 11:50 UTC	2	$77	45	45	+0	Up	+$9	07-04 11:54
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	2	$74	625	344	+281	No	-$26	07-13 12:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:50 UTC	4	$73	41	41	+0	Down	+$4	06-04 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 05:50 UTC	2	$70	77	0	+77	Up	-$9	06-26 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 06:50 UTC	1	$65	69	0	+69	Down	+$4	07-06 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:25 UTC	1	$63	65	0	+65	Up	+$2	06-16 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$63	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	05-21 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$63	77	0	+77	Down	+$14	05-28 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:55 UTC	1	$60	76	0	+76	Up	+$16	06-16 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 05:50 UTC	1	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	06-18 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:15 UTC	3	$59	70	32	+38	Down	+$17	07-13 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$57	59	0	+59	Down	+$2	06-01 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 06:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xba3165…
10-29 06:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x3bed6f…
10-29 06:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x828602…
10-29 05:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x34df12…
10-27 05:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x264303…
10-27 05:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x27d973…
10-27 05:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x6c692e…
10-27 05:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x48d8df…
10-24 05:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xef21dc…
10-23 05:37:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x851ff1…
10-23 05:23:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x8dec16…
10-22 06:38:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x4ad320…
10-22 06:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9a31bc…
10-22 05:44:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9b8218…
10-22 05:43:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8220cd…
10-17 06:12:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4f7bac…
10-17 05:52:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xad65bc…
10-16 06:06:52	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xce4754…
10-16 06:02:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc46a45…
10-16 05:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x85ae75…
10-15 06:04:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x76a12f…
10-15 05:53:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x544e5b…
10-15 05:53:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x41aca8…
10-15 05:52:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xcd3c48…
10-15 05:51:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x93ea33…
10-14 06:33:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0xae1d8b…
10-14 06:32:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x082eaf…
10-14 06:31:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	17	79¢	$14	0x645c95…
10-14 06:30:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xb82f9d…
10-14 06:28:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:25 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa9316e…
10-14 06:27:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x4084d6…
10-14 06:27:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:25 UTC	Up	SELL	31	24¢	$8	0xe26723…
10-14 06:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xb4e4f7…
10-14 06:23:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x312557…
10-13 06:09:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe5ea67…
10-13 06:07:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xf1212c…
10-13 05:48:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xca043f…
10-12 06:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xba2a62…
10-12 06:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x2b7b0e…
10-12 06:03:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x96c9a4…
10-12 06:01:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd22a09…
10-09 06:09:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xf4980c…
10-09 06:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x927384…
10-09 06:07:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x119cfc…
10-09 06:06:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x888075…
10-08 06:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xb777d6…
10-08 06:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6acb78…
10-07 06:36:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x8ed1f8…
10-07 06:35:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x20ad58…
09-29 06:13:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xef46d4…
09-28 05:48:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0x2f54b4…
09-28 05:47:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9171b7…
09-26 06:06:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x58e69f…
09-25 05:46:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x138aff…
09-25 05:37:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x38295c…
09-23 06:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x9aaa29…
09-23 05:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x39c2dd…
09-22 06:33:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x4cd763…
09-22 06:32:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf30df0…
09-03 05:46:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3ddb02…
09-02 06:13:18	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0xf55ff8…
09-02 06:01:09	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa67f56…
09-02 05:57:16	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x424ca0…
09-02 05:56:31	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x62c0d7…
09-01 05:49:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x846197…
09-01 05:43:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:40 UTC	Up	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x51de0b…
09-01 05:42:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x003993…
09-01 05:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x664d60…
09-01 05:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	579	1¢	$5	0x15a61e…
08-31 06:16:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	24	91¢	$21	0x9e97ab…
08-31 06:15:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xb63f17…
08-28 06:18:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xd159c0…
08-28 06:16:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x0b0be3…
08-28 06:11:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5c46b1…
08-28 05:38:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xf37db3…
08-28 05:37:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x3b11f0…
08-27 06:09:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:05 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x25d276…
08-27 06:05:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb4e659…
08-27 05:47:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	94¢	$18	0x97967f…
08-27 05:45:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x917cd1…
08-27 05:23:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x1899a1…
08-27 05:21:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0ed4cd…
08-25 06:17:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x508c23…
08-25 06:16:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xfe001f…
08-25 05:53:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x94a7f0…
08-25 05:49:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x623573…
08-25 05:49:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xaacfec…
08-25 05:43:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:40 UTC	Down	SELL	18	63¢	$11	0xc62907…
08-25 05:43:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xf45b39…
08-25 05:31:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x826d40…
08-25 05:24:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x10e16a…
08-25 05:22:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3020d4…
08-25 05:18:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0xb2cc6b…
08-25 05:17:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xf1c351…
08-24 06:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x5d1e7e…
08-24 06:23:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:20 UTC	Down	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x4dea32…
08-24 06:22:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xfeb9b0…
08-24 06:16:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe57dd2…
08-22 06:54:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x104853…
08-22 06:53:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0xb79aa8…