Frightened-Raisin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-04 09:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 100% +$0

Politics

10% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	13	$46	5,807	5,807	+0	open	—	03-16 12:50
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	03-04 10:20
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-10 09:39
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-09 13:50
bitcoin above 76k on april 8	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-08 09:48
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-07 10:19
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-05 18:38
will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-04 15:23
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-01 04:04
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	03-31 08:16
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	03-30 11:12
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	03-29 10:24
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	03-28 12:27
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	03-27 13:03
bitcoin above 76k on march 26	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	03-26 02:16
ethereum above 1900 on march 25	1	$38	39	0	+39	open	—	03-25 08:25
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-24 09:23
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-23 09:45
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 22	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-22 15:16
ethereum above 2300 on march 21	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-21 12:53
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-20 09:08
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-19 12:48
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-18 13:41
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	1	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	03-07 20:52
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-17 08:45
will iran strike israel on march 8	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	03-08 09:50
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-11 09:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	2	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	05-10 12:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	2	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-03 10:26
bitcoin above 62k on march 16	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-16 01:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 09:50:30	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8a2203…
05-28 06:41:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62a373…
05-23 12:23:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6730d4…
05-21 12:26:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd3b701…
05-19 15:44:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa97802…
05-14 08:51:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xae83d3…
05-10 12:34:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1c8962…
05-10 12:33:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xecfeb1…
05-07 14:11:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x50c236…
05-03 10:26:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x668215…
05-03 09:16:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x50f7b4…
04-27 10:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a522f…
04-24 10:39:24	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x54c210…
04-23 12:03:32	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x420f76…
04-22 12:58:24	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x562ae6…
04-20 14:35:16	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x45f8bc…
04-19 13:24:34	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a0626…
04-18 14:46:08	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x13864e…
04-17 15:33:14	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x741424…
04-15 09:59:26	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa630c3…
04-14 12:34:07	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x60402b…
04-13 09:58:29	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x93ad9e…
04-13 01:26:11	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcf8e2a…
04-11 19:51:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8a33cb…
04-11 19:50:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1cd4d9…
04-10 09:39:47	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x341fcb…
04-09 13:50:29	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x8a6f0d…
04-08 09:48:33	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xa20caa…
04-07 10:19:55	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xd4a8c5…
04-05 18:38:35	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xf7c69a…
04-04 15:23:31	will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xbd6ee5…
04-01 04:04:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x5e9321…
03-31 08:16:55	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x279db3…
03-30 11:12:24	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x517db9…
03-29 10:24:48	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xd89fe9…
03-28 12:27:17	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x5852c2…
03-27 13:03:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xf68032…
03-26 02:16:11	bitcoin above 76k on march 26	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xff7122…
03-25 08:25:25	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$38	0xbecf0a…
03-24 09:23:03	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x1b770c…
03-23 09:45:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xd077cd…
03-22 15:16:25	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 22	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xa6fd1d…
03-21 12:53:05	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x8f1811…
03-20 09:08:19	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x5f5231…
03-19 12:48:59	bitcoin above 74k on march 19	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xf33a77…
03-18 13:41:45	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xd7ebe7…
03-17 08:45:23	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x6ba68d…
03-16 13:16:39	will bitcoin reach 81k on march 16	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf84c60…
03-16 12:50:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	2,360	0¢	$9	0xadacc1…
03-16 12:47:37	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,208	0¢	$5	0x220328…
03-16 12:47:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,152	0¢	$5	0x060768…
03-16 01:13:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 16	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x31e928…
03-11 09:53:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcecdfb…
03-11 09:17:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,891	0¢	$8	0x1fdf8e…
03-11 08:59:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,509	0¢	$6	0x4a57fe…
03-11 08:59:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xc406ff…
03-11 08:59:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x3ed776…
03-11 08:58:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xf3f977…
03-11 08:58:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x8e1afd…
03-11 08:58:35	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	336	0¢	$1	0x119c3b…
03-08 09:50:41	will iran strike israel on march 8	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x1a72e6…
03-07 20:52:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x7bb2fe…
03-04 10:20:25	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x8a7c82…
03-03 16:08:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,555	0¢	$6	0x5ebaa9…
03-03 13:34:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0x790476…
03-03 13:34:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,325	0¢	$5	0xaf8591…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	47	$111.1K	2,095	06-01 20:20
Complete-Rocket 0x67f8…4576	47	$1.21K	70	06-04 10:48
(anonymous) 0xb03f…2071	46	$1.15K	57	06-04 11:14
Primary-Traffic 0x571a…9d38	46	$1.13K	120	06-04 11:01
Forked-Pier 0xcd7e…293d	46	$1.12K	95	06-04 11:14
Useful-Orchestra 0x1b46…29a2	46	$1.11K	126	06-04 09:47
Wiggly-Rhetoric 0x112a…ca80	46	$1.10K	144	06-04 11:01
Cluttered-Maracas 0x45a5…1928	46	$1.07K	137	06-04 10:54