Reckless-Metric — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$121

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$1.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-24 07:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

97% 76% -$101

Politics

3% 33% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?	4	$62	32	32	+0	No	+$2	05-17 02:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	3	$60	73	73	+0	Yes	-$60	05-16 02:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?	3	$49	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	05-17 23:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?	3	$32	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	10-22 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?	2	$30	41	0	+41	Yes	+$11	06-03 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?	3	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	06-05 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	2	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	06-01 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 1?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	06-01 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-17 23:35
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-16 02:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-16 11:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 02:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-16 11:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 31?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 1?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?	2	$20	28	0	+28	No	+$8	06-03 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?	2	$20	51	0	+51	No	-$20	06-05 03:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?	2	$20	25	0	+25	No	-$20	06-05 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?	1	$20	23	0	+23	Yes	+$3	05-27 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	2	$20	29	0	+29	Yes	+$9	05-14 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	2	$20	29	0	+29	Yes	+$9	06-03 07:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3?	2	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	06-03 08:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?	2	$20	22	0	+22	Yes	-$10	05-31 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?	2	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	06-05 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	2	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	-$20	06-05 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	1	$15	20	0	+20	No	-$15	10-24 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15?	2	$15	22	0	+22	No	-$15	10-15 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	10-16 06:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	05-15 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?	2	$13	15	15	+0	No	-$7	05-17 10:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 07:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xcdcd3b…
10-24 07:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x57b858…
10-23 10:36:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1f731b…
10-22 13:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x152887…
10-22 12:59:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb7b792…
10-22 07:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa43171…
10-22 05:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 22?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x63d013…
10-22 05:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x84d214…
10-20 09:56:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x00ed05…
10-20 05:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5cbd33…
10-16 06:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x38d3a2…
10-16 06:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1d5ab1…
10-15 05:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe13380…
10-15 03:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x677f96…
10-15 02:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0737d2…
10-15 02:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x582ba6…
10-15 02:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4b03da…
10-14 01:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x124b32…
10-13 09:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4d6f80…
10-12 11:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x02248f…
10-12 06:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdce6ba…
10-12 06:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x19c278…
10-09 07:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd2efdb…
10-04 12:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x32b0fa…
09-30 05:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2a71da…
06-08 07:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x0591e5…
06-08 07:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe0a0d8…
06-05 14:56:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xfe7210…
06-05 14:55:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x019708…
06-05 13:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xaa7f3a…
06-05 13:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x9c592d…
06-05 03:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xedbff2…
06-05 03:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x251e14…
06-05 03:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x956997…
06-05 03:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd0a3cd…
06-05 02:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x1c206d…
06-04 08:04:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd7d416…
06-04 07:13:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa0221e…
06-04 07:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xbcad3b…
06-04 07:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x84da8d…
06-04 07:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8940cc…
06-04 02:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x6c0462…
06-03 09:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xa57271…
06-03 08:33:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x347b45…
06-03 08:05:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xebb31d…
06-03 07:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xfe21d5…
06-03 07:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x9815db…
06-02 09:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf15777…
06-02 09:41:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa3d8ee…
06-02 09:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x06ab0b…
06-02 09:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4e0a72…
06-02 09:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4673f5…
06-01 09:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 2?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xdc006d…
06-01 09:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x058dd7…
06-01 09:21:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6f1d86…
06-01 09:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfd4958…
06-01 09:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0xd28549…
06-01 09:20:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6209b1…
06-01 09:20:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x797296…
06-01 09:20:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8c1535…
05-31 14:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 1?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xbbb599…
05-31 14:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 1?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6335d5…
05-31 14:18:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaaae62…
05-31 14:18:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x19a688…
05-31 09:29:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6f77b0…
05-31 09:29:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x356cd3…
05-27 12:55:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x76a30e…
05-27 12:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc3e58a…
05-27 12:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x2f6e63…
05-27 12:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 28?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x2f7a4a…
05-27 12:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0xafe375…
05-21 14:48:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x322b40…
05-21 14:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 22?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1fc07b…
05-21 14:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x521e42…
05-18 03:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 19?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdb7def…
05-17 23:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfed332…
05-17 23:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xc02c93…
05-17 10:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xf33293…
05-17 10:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x72f81d…
05-17 10:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb6bc1c…
05-17 05:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2aee44…
05-17 05:03:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 17?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x83ccb3…
05-17 05:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x96a8b7…
05-17 02:18:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x77196b…
05-17 02:18:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x6b0a6f…
05-16 13:44:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0b66eb…
05-16 11:41:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x041ccb…
05-16 11:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x38992e…
05-16 11:18:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9d3893…
05-16 11:11:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x47e3b7…
05-16 11:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdeed44…
05-16 11:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe421a0…
05-16 02:43:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 16?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x40fafb…
05-16 02:43:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x30f640…
05-16 02:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	No	SELL	73	0¢	$0	0xd5b6f9…
05-16 02:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2b41b8…
05-16 02:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0e2c88…
05-16 02:16:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x41dcf1…
05-15 15:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x506593…
05-15 09:21:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x7dd77e…