Elated-Grandfather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.69K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

3,775

Trades

14,292

lifetime

Volume

$278.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-16 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 48% -$3,022

Other

8% 50% -$313

Politics

8% 43% -$346

Sports

0% 17% -$10

Tech

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		-1	-$1	82¢	$-1	+$0	05-26 18:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	178	$7.1K	49,295	49,293	+2	Yes	-$236	08-12 11:28
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	117	$5.0K	15,025	15,025	+0	No	+$139	08-08 01:25
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	113	$2.4K	9,217	9,217	+0	Yes	+$46	08-02 03:12
bitcoin up or down january 16 1am et	8	$2.3K	1,594	1,594	+0	Up	+$102	01-16 07:00
bitcoin up or down january 14 12pm et	5	$2.2K	1,521	1,521	+0	Down	+$822	01-14 18:01
bitcoin up or down january 16 5am et	15	$2.1K	1,271	1,835	-563	Down	-$97	01-16 11:03
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	49	$2.0K	8,879	8,879	+0	Yes	+$44	08-08 17:59
bitcoin up or down january 16 3am et	4	$1.8K	928	1,309	-381	Up	+$46	01-16 09:01
bitcoin up or down january 15 8am et	14	$1.7K	1,236	1,236	+0	Down	-$36	01-15 13:57
bitcoin up or down february 28 3am et	13	$1.7K	1,750	1,401	+348	Down	-$140	02-28 08:27
bitcoin up or down january 21 11pm et	27	$1.6K	1,055	1,055	+0	Up	-$33	01-22 05:00
bitcoin up or down january 12 7am et	3	$1.4K	742	742	+0	Up	+$77	01-12 13:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	20	$1.4K	2,768	2,768	+0	No	-$1	08-19 01:59
ethereum up or down january 15 8am et	5	$1.4K	801	801	+0	Up	+$2	01-15 14:00
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	23	$1.4K	9,161	9,161	+0	No	-$92	08-12 15:44
bitcoin up or down january 15 7am et	7	$1.3K	948	948	+0	Up	+$234	01-15 12:50
ethereum up or down january 15 5am et	8	$1.3K	1,019	1,019	+0	Down	+$1	01-15 10:57
bitcoin up or down february 24 9am et	28	$1.2K	946	946	+0	Up	+$51	02-24 14:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	41	$1.2K	8,900	8,900	+0	Yes	+$7	08-17 15:43
Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	30	$1.2K	949	949	+0	open	—	10-16 17:16
bitcoin up or down january 20 5am et	32	$1.2K	764	764	+0	Up	+$28	01-20 10:42
bitcoin up or down january 15 3am et	7	$1.1K	1,586	1,586	+0	Up	-$418	01-15 08:59
ethereum up or down january 16 5am et	4	$1.1K	668	668	+0	Down	+$61	01-16 10:45
xrp up or down january 15 5am et	6	$1.1K	781	781	+0	Down	+$24	01-15 10:40
bitcoin up or down january 12 6am et	2	$1.1K	684	684	+0	Up	+$301	01-12 12:01
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4pm et	5	$1.1K	777	666	+111	Down	+$3	03-22 20:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	34	$1.0K	3,281	3,281	+0	Yes	+$15	08-04 14:01
bitcoin up or down january 25 1am et	20	$1.0K	908	908	+0	Down	-$21	01-25 06:30
bitcoin up or down february 27 8am et	16	$1.0K	943	943	+0	Up	-$5	02-27 13:50
bitcoin up or down january 30 3am et	38	$986	611	611	+0	Down	+$25	01-30 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 17:16:15	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x9e37e3…
10-13 03:23:30	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb544da…
10-11 01:57:54	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbf8a22…
10-10 15:44:37	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x46c081…
10-10 13:47:51	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x2eb858…
10-10 13:46:19	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x76f9e0…
10-10 10:34:51	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	165	65¢	$107	0xdbccfe…
10-09 07:35:46	Will Nolan McLean win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x16a5ab…
10-08 15:27:17	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x434259…
10-08 15:25:20	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x433319…
10-08 15:05:33	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x973d49…
10-08 15:05:23	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xb253d8…
10-08 14:45:09	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xe3d940…
10-08 14:44:50	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8ab057…
10-08 14:38:36	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x169e15…
10-08 14:24:41	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xfcf6a4…
10-08 14:15:57	Will Nolan McLean win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x8180ca…
10-08 13:30:36	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	280	76¢	$213	0x7df70a…
10-08 03:09:11	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x3d6541…
10-07 02:45:15	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x506f62…
10-07 02:27:45	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x588d39…
10-06 19:32:23	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x625bbf…
10-06 10:07:27	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x503fa7…
10-06 10:06:57	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x978716…
10-06 09:51:36	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x480973…
10-06 02:08:14	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb6b2a6…
10-06 01:55:04	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	31	79¢	$25	0x9f5a96…
10-05 09:06:07	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x047309…
10-05 09:05:28	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x9fd6b1…
10-05 00:43:35	will corbin carroll win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x2d4cf6…
10-03 12:42:53	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	55	62¢	$34	0xfb2e91…
10-01 18:29:09	will corbin carroll win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	SELL	82	76¢	$62	0xa8f2c6…
10-01 13:04:38	will corbin carroll win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x356fbc…
10-01 13:03:35	will corbin carroll win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	BUY	305	45¢	$138	0xaae931…
10-01 08:17:20	will alex bregman win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	SELL	44	38¢	$17	0xba9fa3…
10-01 07:46:15	will alex bregman win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xa30f08…
10-01 06:05:38	will corbin carroll win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xbf32fe…
10-01 06:05:38	will corbin carroll win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	SELL	180	73¢	$131	0x1413be…
10-01 06:05:36	will corbin carroll win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x66a21a…
10-01 05:45:51	will alex bregman win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0xa00214…
10-01 05:40:27	will christian walker win a 2026 al gold glove award	Yes	SELL	87	54¢	$47	0x9100f3…
10-01 05:35:42	will christian walker win a 2026 al gold glove award	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xdc97d7…
10-01 05:34:15	will christian walker win a 2026 al gold glove award	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd809de…
10-01 05:08:23	will christian walker win a 2026 al gold glove award	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x3c928c…
10-01 05:08:06	will christian walker win a 2026 al gold glove award	Yes	BUY	80	22¢	$18	0xcd4060…
10-01 04:48:59	will joe mack win a 2026 nl gold glove award	Yes	SELL	178	47¢	$83	0x417475…
10-01 04:39:47	will alex bregman win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x1c223c…
10-01 04:33:17	will alex bregman win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x5a5fb5…
10-01 04:22:00	will joe mack win a 2026 nl gold glove award	Yes	SELL	115	47¢	$54	0x0b0772…
10-01 04:21:15	will alex bregman win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	SELL	146	43¢	$63	0x0837b8…
10-01 03:50:44	will alex bregman win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x31fb02…
10-01 03:47:23	Will Joe Mack win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	293	42¢	$123	0xde1cda…
10-01 03:41:09	will corbin carroll win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	BUY	180	41¢	$74	0xc1d5a1…
10-01 02:28:38	will alex bregman win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x94e00d…
10-01 01:47:26	will alex bregman win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x4f023b…
10-01 01:44:06	will alex bregman win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	SELL	62	87¢	$53	0x9bd5cc…
10-01 01:16:23	will alex bregman win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x3ccb6b…
10-01 00:54:50	will alex bregman win a 2026 nl gold glove award	No	BUY	208	20¢	$42	0x6e73b5…
09-30 17:46:50	will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	No	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x318ae2…
09-30 17:42:17	Will SC Freiburg finish top 8 in UECL league phase?	Yes	SELL	101	62¢	$63	0x5580fd…
09-30 17:37:20	Will Brighton & Hove Albion finish top 8 in UECL league phase?	Yes	SELL	41	69¢	$28	0x11de0a…
09-30 17:02:24	will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x8240d3…
09-30 16:49:53	Will SC Freiburg finish top 8 in UECL league phase?	Yes	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x3e241b…
09-30 16:36:48	Will SC Freiburg finish top 8 in UECL league phase?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xc9bd45…
09-30 16:26:06	Will SC Freiburg finish top 8 in UECL league phase?	Yes	BUY	221	58¢	$128	0x9b2f15…
09-30 16:25:50	Will Brighton & Hove Albion finish top 8 in UECL league phase?	Yes	BUY	41	69¢	$28	0x95a258…
09-30 16:01:23	will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x68ebfc…
09-30 15:47:18	will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xbeaf0b…
09-25 15:49:44	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	Yes	SELL	66	4¢	$3	0xf425ea…
09-25 15:27:02	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xb8d3e0…
09-25 14:15:35	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x866140…
09-25 14:10:35	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xbb61f7…
09-22 17:56:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	300	33¢	$99	0x2be66c…
09-22 17:00:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	235	33¢	$78	0xe4fe1f…
09-22 17:00:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	65	33¢	$21	0xa1e074…
09-22 15:41:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0xa53833…
09-22 14:55:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x83d8be…
09-22 14:51:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	SELL	213	3¢	$7	0x61f52b…
09-22 11:25:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x51efb4…
09-22 10:02:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x1035ed…
09-22 08:57:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	SELL	639	5¢	$29	0x9a2743…
09-22 08:45:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x9b0e82…
09-22 08:45:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	429	3¢	$13	0x022e5a…
09-22 07:29:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	SELL	375	5¢	$18	0x8c91b8…
09-22 05:15:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1cf8c2…
09-22 04:44:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6f07ca…
09-22 03:59:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x84cc69…
09-22 03:45:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x27cc16…
09-22 03:13:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0x1798fb…
09-21 21:30:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0xa548a0…
09-21 21:29:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x6fadb0…
09-21 21:11:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xcd251b…
09-21 20:56:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xace6b1…
09-21 20:20:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xda98b8…
09-21 18:40:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x184dfa…
09-21 12:56:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0xa31cc6…
09-21 12:20:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xd5b132…
09-21 12:15:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x378cde…
09-21 12:02:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	SELL	39	6¢	$2	0xcf1340…
09-21 11:24:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x9af8ef…