Elated-Grandfather — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$255

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

14,386 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.95K

$280.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-05 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 48% -$3,022

Politics

8% 43% -$346

Other

8% 51% -$58

Sports

0% 17% -$10

Tech

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		-1	-$1	83¢	$-1	$0	05-26 18:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	178	$7.1K	49,295	49,293	+2	Yes	-$236	08-12 11:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	117	$5.0K	15,025	15,025	+0	No	+$139	08-08 01:25
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	113	$2.4K	9,217	9,217	+0	Yes	+$46	08-02 03:12
bitcoin up or down january 16 1am et	8	$2.3K	1,594	1,594	+0	Up	+$102	01-16 07:00
bitcoin up or down january 14 12pm et	5	$2.2K	1,521	1,521	+0	Down	+$822	01-14 18:01
bitcoin up or down january 16 5am et	15	$2.1K	1,271	1,835	-563	Down	-$97	01-16 11:03
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	49	$2.0K	8,879	8,879	+0	Yes	+$44	08-08 17:59
bitcoin up or down january 16 3am et	4	$1.8K	928	1,309	-381	Up	+$46	01-16 09:01
bitcoin up or down january 15 8am et	14	$1.7K	1,236	1,236	+0	Down	-$36	01-15 13:57
bitcoin up or down february 28 3am et	13	$1.7K	1,750	1,401	+348	Down	-$140	02-28 08:27
bitcoin up or down january 21 11pm et	27	$1.6K	1,055	1,055	+0	Up	-$33	01-22 05:00
bitcoin up or down january 12 7am et	3	$1.4K	742	742	+0	Up	+$77	01-12 13:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	20	$1.4K	2,768	2,768	+0	No	-$1	08-19 01:59
ethereum up or down january 15 8am et	5	$1.4K	801	801	+0	Up	+$2	01-15 14:00
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	55	$1.4K	3,492	3,492	+0	open	—	11-05 05:02
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	23	$1.4K	9,161	9,161	+0	No	-$92	08-12 15:44
bitcoin up or down january 15 7am et	7	$1.3K	948	948	+0	Up	+$234	01-15 12:50
ethereum up or down january 15 5am et	8	$1.3K	1,019	1,019	+0	Down	+$1	01-15 10:57
bitcoin up or down february 24 9am et	28	$1.2K	946	946	+0	Up	+$51	02-24 14:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	41	$1.2K	8,900	8,900	+0	Yes	+$7	08-17 15:43
Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	30	$1.2K	949	949	+0	Yes	+$153	10-16 17:16
bitcoin up or down january 20 5am et	32	$1.2K	764	764	+0	Up	+$28	01-20 10:42
bitcoin up or down january 15 3am et	7	$1.1K	1,586	1,586	+0	Up	-$418	01-15 08:59
ethereum up or down january 16 5am et	4	$1.1K	668	668	+0	Down	+$61	01-16 10:45
xrp up or down january 15 5am et	6	$1.1K	781	781	+0	Down	+$24	01-15 10:40
bitcoin up or down january 12 6am et	2	$1.1K	684	684	+0	Up	+$301	01-12 12:01
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4pm et	5	$1.1K	777	666	+111	Down	+$3	03-22 20:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	34	$1.0K	3,281	3,281	+0	Yes	+$15	08-04 14:01
bitcoin up or down january 25 1am et	20	$1.0K	908	908	+0	Down	-$21	01-25 06:30
bitcoin up or down february 27 8am et	16	$1.0K	943	943	+0	Up	-$5	02-27 13:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 05:02:19	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	393	5¢	$18	0x06de18…
11-05 03:49:48	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	121	5¢	$6	0xeca4d4…
11-05 02:48:45	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x7fab15…
11-05 02:43:48	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	201	6¢	$12	0x6f856a…
11-05 02:33:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	121	5¢	$6	0xe455ec…
11-05 02:32:00	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	205	7¢	$14	0xda3259…
11-04 13:54:19	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	201	84¢	$170	0xe65d7f…
11-04 12:52:28	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	201	85¢	$171	0x7763cc…
11-04 12:11:42	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	80	85¢	$68	0x090ced…
11-04 12:05:06	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	123	85¢	$105	0x7fdc90…
11-04 11:37:51	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	85	84¢	$71	0xbfb156…
11-04 11:27:30	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	168	84¢	$140	0x92511f…
11-04 11:24:01	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	240	83¢	$199	0x023045…
11-04 11:05:49	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x22f170…
11-04 11:03:03	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	287	14¢	$40	0x96967e…
11-04 10:30:22	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	134	14¢	$18	0xdf31c3…
11-04 10:30:04	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	153	13¢	$20	0xebf0de…
11-04 09:50:00	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	210	10¢	$21	0x791e4f…
11-04 09:46:36	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x890b47…
11-04 09:40:49	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	264	8¢	$20	0x78270c…
11-04 07:08:37	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	213	15¢	$31	0xa59367…
11-04 07:08:00	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x8c14dc…
11-04 07:01:21	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	130	20¢	$26	0x0d4470…
11-04 07:00:54	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xedb0ad…
11-04 06:52:28	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x5089b7…
11-04 06:49:31	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xc46b7f…
11-04 06:43:52	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	270	3¢	$8	0x1fd9ce…
11-04 06:42:21	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	171	3¢	$5	0x3c97b4…
11-04 06:42:19	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x36464e…
11-04 06:40:46	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xc2663c…
11-04 06:39:01	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xca454a…
11-04 06:37:37	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	114	3¢	$3	0xf020c5…
11-04 06:37:28	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0xed73ce…
11-04 06:15:58	Will Xavier reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xa037f2…
11-04 06:15:49	Will Wake Forest reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x9a74f3…
11-04 06:14:06	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	203	5¢	$10	0x871272…
11-04 06:08:57	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	210	6¢	$13	0x895bf6…
11-04 06:00:40	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x2b4c56…
11-04 06:00:13	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0a93d3…
11-04 06:00:07	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x135dd6…
11-04 05:57:27	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	108	7¢	$8	0x96aed6…
11-04 05:55:39	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xb4f356…
11-04 05:54:13	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xd5ae16…
11-04 05:53:13	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xe993fc…
11-04 05:52:24	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$7	0x833097…
11-04 05:51:33	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4da317…
11-04 05:50:36	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	180	8¢	$14	0xa4befa…
11-04 05:48:57	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x89b172…
11-04 05:48:46	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x97c948…
11-04 05:44:37	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	342	7¢	$24	0x71d245…
11-04 05:41:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x1ee9bd…
11-04 05:37:48	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	110	6¢	$7	0xd3634b…
11-04 05:37:00	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xeb60eb…
11-04 05:37:00	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xce5eb4…
11-04 05:34:36	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	130	6¢	$8	0x11f14c…
11-04 05:33:07	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	59	6¢	$4	0x4caf94…
11-04 05:32:21	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0x6f75fa…
11-04 05:31:18	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	81	6¢	$5	0x426349…
11-04 05:29:51	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x2c73e9…
11-04 05:29:34	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	70	88¢	$62	0xf3eb3a…
11-04 05:29:27	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	80	88¢	$71	0x9f95eb…
11-04 05:26:22	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	121	88¢	$106	0x2cf9ab…
11-04 05:26:13	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xe2997b…
11-04 05:26:06	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	160	8¢	$13	0xfe2ec0…
11-04 05:24:07	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x081e6c…
11-04 05:24:04	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x8526c6…
11-04 05:24:04	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	28	9¢	$3	0x39a21c…
11-04 05:23:34	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	68	9¢	$6	0x48a9e2…
11-04 05:22:39	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x18e15d…
11-04 05:22:31	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x72111b…
11-04 05:22:31	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x6c0246…
11-04 05:22:16	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	59	86¢	$51	0xb66170…
11-04 05:22:10	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	52	86¢	$45	0x77f00d…
11-04 05:20:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xebc7ff…
11-04 05:19:51	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	210	8¢	$17	0xa8289c…
11-04 05:19:45	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x9e5028…
11-04 05:18:07	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaa2a5e…
11-04 05:18:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xffc8c3…
11-04 05:18:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x05933d…
11-04 05:18:01	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x460cb0…
11-04 05:17:55	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5cb5fa…
11-04 05:17:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x43a1f9…
11-04 05:15:33	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	210	8¢	$17	0xfb17ae…
11-04 05:13:07	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	210	9¢	$19	0xb05b4d…
11-04 05:09:51	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	210	10¢	$21	0x4bb5a0…
11-04 05:06:06	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xc77cc0…
11-04 05:05:01	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcb26b9…
11-04 05:02:12	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	135	10¢	$13	0xbf36fc…
11-04 05:02:00	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0x63cb5b…
11-04 05:01:49	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x876b06…
11-04 04:22:15	will xavier reach the 2027 ncaa mens basketball final four	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x336b05…
11-04 04:20:58	will wake forest reach the 2027 ncaa mens basketball final four	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x690abe…
11-04 04:20:28	will wake forest reach the 2027 ncaa mens basketball final four	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x5cbed2…
11-04 04:20:15	will wake forest reach the 2027 ncaa mens basketball final four	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6aef2e…
10-16 17:16:15	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x9e37e3…
10-13 03:23:30	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb544da…
10-11 01:57:54	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbf8a22…
10-10 15:44:37	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x46c081…
10-10 13:47:51	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x2eb858…
10-10 13:46:19	Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x76f9e0…