Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$238

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

Trades

213

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-15 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

53% 50% -$252

Politics

40% 33% +$171

Sports

4% 57% -$98

Crypto

3% 75% -$58

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No		+30	$19	40¢	$12	-$7	06-29 14:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: Other	11	$3.3K	2,200	1,100	+1,100	No	+$9	05-25 15:14
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$3.0K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$5	02-19 10:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	29	$1.7K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	-$33	04-14 16:40
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$916	918	0	+918	Yes	+$2	04-05 06:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$820	500	500	+0	Yes	-$20	02-21 08:23
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$760	0	800	-800	No	-$40	05-03 12:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	10	$457	291	291	+0	No	+$3	04-14 11:57
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$401	700	0	+700	Yes	+$299	03-23 11:09
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	5	$368	490	270	+220	No	-$114	02-22 12:13
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	2	$362	200	200	+0	No	+$6	02-17 16:48
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	7	$345	200	200	+0	Under	-$39	07-01 21:51
will the bank of israel make no change to the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	36	$323	1,421	1,277	+144	Yes	-$15	02-22 17:15
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	11	$309	400	400	+0	Yes	-$101	01-08 08:13
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	8	$275	300	300	+0	Yes	-$1	08-15 15:35
will the bank of israel decrease the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	12	$119	240	0	+240	No	+$1	02-22 10:42
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	3	$112	60	60	+0	No	+$7	03-27 11:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	6	$110	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$0	03-02 14:43
will sweden win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$95	100	0	+100	No	+$5	02-16 06:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	6	$80	2,120	0	+2,120	Yes	-$80	04-14 09:17
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$74	80	0	+80	No	+$6	02-16 07:55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$68	120	120	+0	Yes	-$6	02-16 06:56
sea cag lec 2026 02 16 spread home 1pt5	2	$66	80	0	+80	US Lecce	+$14	02-16 08:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$60	200	0	+200	No	-$60	03-16 09:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$48	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$48	02-21 05:59
nhl lak cbj 2026 01 26	2	$46	100	0	+100	Kings	-$46	02-21 08:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$46	45	45	+0	No	+$4	05-07 16:03
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$43	3,300	3,300	+0	No	-$3	02-17 16:42
deepseek v4 released by february 28	1	$42	50	0	+50	No	+$8	02-22 00:31
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	2	$40	50	0	+50	Yes	+$9	05-04 00:17
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 31?	1	$38	40	0	+40	Yes	+$2	07-31 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 16:57:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0xe38e0d…
08-15 16:53:37	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 14 and 16 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x8d1139…
08-15 16:47:43	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 14 and 16 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x77af68…
08-15 15:40:28	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 14 and 16 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	35	30¢	$10	0x38e85a…
08-15 15:40:16	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 14 and 16 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x81497b…
08-15 15:40:15	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 14 and 16 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x2630d5…
08-15 15:35:04	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0xf23a49…
08-15 15:32:15	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xf12214…
08-15 15:18:24	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	88	59¢	$52	0x945793…
08-15 15:18:24	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x945793…
08-15 14:58:04	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xfae5ae…
08-15 14:56:37	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x7398c9…
08-15 14:55:54	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x16f2d8…
08-15 13:37:42	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x6d5f52…
07-31 01:52:59	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xbd6d8a…
07-30 15:04:51	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0xb9711a…
07-30 14:28:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 30?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xca19fe…
07-13 04:38:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x8a181c…
07-01 21:51:59	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xffa094…
07-01 21:51:59	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	65	76¢	$50	0xc450dc…
07-01 21:51:59	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	71	76¢	$54	0x8f3391…
07-01 21:51:59	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x76137f…
07-01 21:51:59	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x55f053…
07-01 21:51:59	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	39	76¢	$30	0x51f175…
07-01 21:48:07	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x111357…
06-29 14:10:23	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x434728…
06-29 12:43:49	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xb8559a…
06-28 19:44:19	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xe1e7c1…
06-26 19:12:23	crict20blast war wor 2026 06 26	Warwickshire	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x2cfeb6…
06-26 19:09:46	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x815ca4…
06-26 19:09:38	crict20blast war wor 2026 06 26	Warwickshire	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x56054d…
06-26 19:09:35	crict20blast war wor 2026 06 26	Warwickshire	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb64742…
06-26 18:36:14	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6ee3b8…
05-25 15:14:28	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	SELL	1,100	99¢	$1,093	0x27e942…
05-09 22:20:51	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	895	99¢	$889	0xb35b98…
05-09 19:45:41	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd268da…
05-09 17:24:39	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xa13191…
05-09 17:18:14	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa57585…
05-09 17:12:30	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x79edb9…
05-09 08:58:33	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x8871c8…
05-09 04:47:17	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7da694…
05-09 04:02:20	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe3ce52…
05-09 02:41:40	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x16afd7…
05-08 09:30:03	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	1,200	99¢	$1,192	0xd6ad5c…
05-07 16:03:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0xf50ec8…
05-07 14:34:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa6df68…
05-07 14:33:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	36	47¢	$17	0x5b6104…
05-07 14:29:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x43412d…
05-04 00:17:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x5fc6e8…
05-04 00:17:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x2fd99c…
05-03 12:41:06	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	800	95¢	$760	0xa870e6…
05-01 21:26:40	Will Trump say "Paper tiger" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa21caa…
05-01 21:24:40	Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6e5efe…
05-01 20:55:44	Will Trump say "Jerome Too Late" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xb8e651…
05-01 20:17:00	Will Trump say "Lunatic" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x4d71cc…
05-01 20:11:50	Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0xeff67a…
05-01 16:44:14	Will Trump say "Alaska" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x10dc3c…
05-01 16:38:50	Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe5bafe…
05-01 16:38:50	Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3f7a5d…
05-01 09:09:24	Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xab8634…
05-01 08:48:50	Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x9284d8…
04-14 16:40:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	67	78¢	$52	0xd5d714…
04-14 16:38:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x0702ec…
04-14 16:38:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	567	78¢	$442	0x8c98cc…
04-14 16:36:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x920ba2…
04-14 16:36:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x731845…
04-14 16:36:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x9ebe42…
04-14 16:36:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0x4f7028…
04-14 16:35:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x96e966…
04-14 16:35:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xfeb260…
04-14 16:34:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	387	78¢	$302	0x92dd98…
04-14 11:57:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	291	79¢	$230	0x387544…
04-14 10:17:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	124	81¢	$101	0xe433c2…
04-14 10:16:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xac61f7…
04-14 10:15:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0xea122e…
04-14 10:10:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x8e1f5c…
04-14 10:10:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x480099…
04-14 10:06:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	78	81¢	$63	0xd36a3c…
04-14 10:06:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x03e0af…
04-14 10:05:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x769992…
04-14 10:05:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5e2296…
04-14 10:05:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc83209…
04-14 10:04:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	53	81¢	$43	0x346420…
04-14 10:02:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x40d7c8…
04-14 10:01:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	35	81¢	$29	0x07dc3a…
04-14 09:58:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x1f59e9…
04-14 09:57:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x258670…
04-14 09:57:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	55	81¢	$45	0xd2b562…
04-14 09:52:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	526	81¢	$426	0x8c7503…
04-14 09:46:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xc546fc…
04-14 09:44:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x681e06…
04-14 09:17:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa2c782…
04-14 09:16:35	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x363905…
04-14 09:16:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	280	3¢	$9	0x61500d…
04-14 09:16:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xcc46c8…
04-14 09:08:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x79893b…
04-14 08:59:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x608b42…
04-14 08:57:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xbee87a…
04-14 08:52:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x47b3d3…
04-14 08:48:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x6dc8a1…