Impractical-Complexity — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved (90d)

108

Trades (90d)

150

457 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$304

$1.38K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-28 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Other

90% 26% +$5

Politics

7% 40% -$13

Crypto

2% 0% -$25

Sports

1% 20% -$6

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 Mali?	4	$56	89	89	+0	Yes	+$40	06-04 20:39
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Costa Rica?	2	$50	44	44	+0	Yes	+$36	06-10 23:11
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	5	$38	24	24	+0	Yes	+$4	06-11 21:05
Exact Score: Poland 2 - 2 Nigeria?	2	$38	35	35	+0	Yes	+$32	06-03 20:55
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09?	3	$37	30	30	+0	Yes	+$23	06-09 21:04
Exact Score: Armenia 1 - 1 Kazakhstan?	2	$29	25	25	+0	Yes	+$21	06-06 15:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$26	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	07-29 10:47
Exact Score: Liechtenstein 0 - 2 Cyprus?	2	$25	22	22	+0	Yes	+$18	06-07 15:33
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	06-11 13:00
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Sweden?	2	$20	19	19	+0	Yes	+$17	06-01 18:57
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$19	25	25	+0	Yes	-$3	06-22 09:12
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10?	3	$19	42	0	+42	No	-$19	06-10 15:29
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Chile?	3	$18	106	37	+69	No	-$10	06-06 17:36
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Iceland?	4	$18	52	52	+0	No	-$1	06-09 21:11
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Northern Ireland?	2	$17	15	15	+0	Yes	+$14	06-08 21:06
Exact Score: Slovakia 2 - 1 Malta?	2	$16	15	15	+0	Yes	+$13	06-01 18:57
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	5	$16	17	11	+6	No	-$4	06-02 15:22
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	09-21 08:17
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	4	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	05-20 21:14
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 3 - 1 Burnley FC?	2	$13	12	12	+0	Yes	+$11	05-01 21:25
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	06-10 12:33
will iran strike dimona by march 31	2	$11	47	47	+0	No	-$4	03-21 21:35
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$10	14	14	+0	No	-$8	06-24 09:07
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	10-04 22:22
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	3	$10	14	7	+6	No	-$3	05-27 17:28
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	3	$10	6	6	+0	Jose Ochoa	+$2	05-09 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:20 UTC	2	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$10	06-04 15:24
Will Vanuatu win on 2026-06-09?	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	-$10	06-09 03:56
Exact Score: Guatemala 0 - 3 Czechia?	1	$10	71	0	+71	No	-$10	06-04 20:55
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$10	28	0	+28	No	-$10	06-06 19:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 22:45:31	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x939749…
10-28 13:41:02	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4c5a60…
10-28 12:45:59	SSV Jeddeloh II vs. Hertha BSC: Team to Advance	SSV Jeddeloh II	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x261430…
10-28 12:44:55	Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x71de76…
10-28 12:36:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3e8445…
10-27 18:07:30	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb8939b…
10-27 18:04:32	Will Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x67a101…
10-27 18:03:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xcf5067…
10-27 10:51:47	Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xc609e4…
10-27 10:50:36	Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x15ba37…
10-27 09:43:59	Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x4c6555…
10-27 09:42:53	Shanghai Port FC vs. Cong An Ha Noi FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x47cf77…
10-27 09:42:35	Will PSS Sleman win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x2cc1de…
10-27 00:48:18	Shanghai Port FC vs. Cong An Ha Noi FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0f8bf4…
10-27 00:26:45	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa35141…
10-27 00:07:12	Exact Score: CR Flamengo 2 - 1 CA Mineiro?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x45a61b…
10-27 00:01:00	Coritiba FBC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x6dbee0…
10-26 21:58:33	Coritiba FBC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x205eb4…
10-26 21:58:17	Coritiba FBC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x7e8981…
10-26 21:57:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe5ec4a…
10-26 21:19:50	Exact Score: Sevilla FC 1 - 0 CA Osasuna?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3fcfba…
10-26 20:39:45	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa2ced6…
10-25 23:19:03	Exact Score: CA River Plate 1 - 0 Racing Club?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xeca457…
10-25 20:23:18	Sporting CP vs. Académico de Viseu FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x88f46d…
10-25 20:12:51	CA Independiente vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xd62b4d…
10-25 20:12:39	Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xdea3fd…
10-25 20:01:47	CA Independiente vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6ddf1c…
10-25 20:01:20	Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf9683a…
10-25 13:34:21	Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x1b4281…
10-25 13:32:39	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x2b4942…
10-24 09:24:29	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x80d320…
10-24 09:23:05	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9f9f56…
10-21 22:33:51	Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xafcaba…
10-21 22:31:05	SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xebb42d…
10-21 22:30:30	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x090c0b…
10-21 10:59:54	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x441468…
10-21 10:56:59	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x87fe43…
10-21 10:56:05	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x82c805…
10-19 08:35:20	Will Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe8f90d…
10-19 08:33:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x3cd386…
10-18 21:36:02	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x6981d6…
10-18 21:33:00	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x9508b6…
10-18 18:00:08	Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3bbf4d…
10-18 14:01:36	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x80e0c8…
10-18 13:57:12	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4c57d8…
10-18 13:56:06	FC Lorient vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x4a804b…
10-18 11:01:06	SG Dynamo Dresden vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3fe5d5…
10-18 11:00:03	Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x0b0508…
10-18 10:57:45	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xe71dae…
10-17 23:17:48	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x1f9195…
10-17 18:35:21	Will Pisa SC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x998f40…
10-17 18:34:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x263e47…
10-17 18:34:44	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x54d802…
10-16 19:03:58	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x6250ad…
10-16 19:02:31	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf04d01…
10-16 19:01:38	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xcda2ba…
10-16 18:59:22	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x51c15f…
10-16 18:58:14	Will Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x104cf4…
10-14 23:31:51	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x59fd33…
10-14 17:13:24	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 btts	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0d0a29…
10-14 09:04:58	Will FC Astana win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x380d23…
10-14 07:54:17	kaz1 irt fca 2026 10 14 btts	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xb2e8f8…
10-14 06:46:41	kaz1 irt fca 2026 10 14 btts	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xbfb9b0…
10-14 06:44:23	Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xc906eb…
10-14 06:44:05	Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x48ac82…
10-14 06:15:40	Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8112b7…
10-14 06:12:28	Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x502a3a…
10-13 21:03:22	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9bd3ea…
10-13 20:42:04	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x300ad7…
10-13 18:45:16	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x22fd35…
10-13 18:41:25	ucl gal fcb 2026 10 13 ags lamine yamal 90110679	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x25116c…
10-13 18:40:43	ucl gal fcb 2026 10 13 goals lamine yamal 90110679 gte2	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xecaebf…
10-13 13:59:01	Racing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xfb5cc2…
10-12 19:45:15	Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1ebd81…
10-12 19:28:39	Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa3607b…
10-12 19:03:11	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe64faf…
10-12 14:34:56	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd2c19b…
10-11 08:32:48	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x8df61c…
10-11 08:32:15	Will Como 1907 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe4f2d6…
10-09 19:54:23	Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3d4e58…
10-09 13:00:39	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x308cf0…
10-09 12:01:58	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x45dd57…
10-08 21:03:38	Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa7aa9f…
10-08 11:35:29	Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-10?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x31171f…
10-08 11:34:32	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x926404…
10-08 11:33:17	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x98c65b…
10-07 21:56:09	Will Clube do Remo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1155af…
10-07 02:01:24	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xaad8ea…
10-07 01:57:24	Mexico vs. Chile: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8eeb4e…
10-07 01:57:03	Will French Guiana win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6468ba…
10-07 01:53:00	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x774fc3…
10-06 17:37:35	Will Messi score 3+ goals vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x313d21…
10-06 17:27:03	Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x58f9a9…
10-06 15:33:45	Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x66b43b…
10-06 15:31:02	Croatia vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x372d98…
10-06 15:24:17	Will Nigeria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x1a13d0…
10-06 15:11:20	Argentina vs. Benin: Argentina O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x9b4feb…
10-04 22:22:16	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xad1db3…
10-04 22:21:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xa41ed2…
10-04 21:19:43	Trinidad and Tobago vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x25868b…