Broken-Umbrella — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.14K

Unrealized P&L

+$102

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

664

Trades

2,135

lifetime

Volume

$118.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$351

1 position

First seen

2026-02-02

last 11-01 00:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

40% 42% -$692

Politics

28% 60% +$4,244

Sports

22% 50% +$1,848

Crypto

9% 63% -$225

Tech

1% 50% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes		+646	$249	54¢	$351	+$102	10-27 23:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	83	$17.3K	19,390	15,732	+3,657	Yes	+$3,587	10-25 22:40
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	67	$10.9K	13,009	13,009	+0	No	+$702	10-25 22:06
nba den okc 2026 03 09	9	$2.8K	3,497	2,843	+654	Thunder	-$234	03-10 01:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	13	$2.1K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	10-27 23:17
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	11	$2.0K	2,552	2,552	+0	No	+$117	05-08 14:41
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	7	$1.9K	1,042	1,042	+0	Yes	+$201	05-12 21:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 09:15 UTC	15	$1.9K	7,300	1,486	+5,815	Up	-$56	02-06 09:30
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	30	$1.5K	166,134	122,017	+44,116	No	+$527	05-16 16:05
ucl bru1 atm1 2026 02 18 total 1pt5	2	$1.4K	887	887	+0	Over	-$17	02-18 14:29
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	23	$1.4K	5,447	4,662	+786	No	-$479	05-16 22:47
nba dal phx 2026 02 10	2	$1.2K	632	632	+0	Suns	+$22	02-11 03:36
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	5	$1.2K	750	750	+0	Yes	+$15	02-05 19:27
nba mem den 2026 02 11	2	$1.1K	909	454	+454	Nuggets	+$68	02-11 23:42
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$1.1K	626	626	+0	Yes	+$125	05-14 21:17
will i lied to you sinners win best original song at the 98th academy awards	24	$1.1K	4,935	3,783	+1,152	No	-$149	03-15 22:15
nba nyk den 2026 03 06	5	$1.1K	1,205	1,034	+170	Knicks	-$90	03-07 00:02
nba was cle 2026 02 11	2	$1.0K	549	549	+0	Cavaliers	+$33	02-12 01:12
ucl qar1 new 2026 02 18 total 1pt5	2	$1000	588	588	+0	Over	+$0	02-18 15:04
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$946	916	916	+0	Yes	+$884	07-19 22:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 08:15 UTC	8	$936	953	806	+148	Down	+$0	02-06 08:27
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	3	$932	487	487	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$40	05-16 14:34
nba dal lal 2026 02 12	2	$928	668	668	+0	Lakers	-$7	02-13 01:21
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$896	523	523	+0	Yes	-$14	05-15 14:39
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	5	$840	473	473	+0	Yes	+$55	05-17 00:24
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	4	$839	577	577	+0	Yes	+$43	06-11 19:31
nba den lac 2026 02 19 rebounds nikola jokic 12pt5	2	$826	527	527	+0	Yes	+$226	02-20 08:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	8	$824	458	458	+0	Yes	+$4	08-09 15:58
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$704	400	400	+0	Thunder	+$8	05-06 01:58
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to minnesota timberwolves	13	$703	2,094	2,094	+0	No	-$273	02-04 19:06
will jonathan kuminga be traded this season	4	$699	420	420	+0	Yes	-$18	02-05 05:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:34:31	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Hawks	SELL	300	15¢	$44	0x87517e…
10-31 14:57:25	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Spurs	BUY	215	49¢	$105	0xe0fc54…
10-31 14:56:48	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Hawks	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0x603df9…
10-30 15:04:33	Nuggets vs. Suns	Nuggets	BUY	254	63¢	$160	0x3e28ce…
10-29 17:50:50	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	118	94¢	$110	0xbf2061…
10-29 17:50:32	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xe09eaa…
10-29 07:16:31	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	207	72¢	$149	0x61bca9…
10-28 17:54:53	Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	1,111	3¢	$32	0x14e039…
10-28 08:52:29	Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xf9ab4e…
10-28 07:19:01	Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	667	2¢	$15	0x0cc93f…
10-28 07:17:49	ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Partizan	Partizan	BUY	482	50¢	$241	0x065fa0…
10-28 07:15:50	nba den nop 2026 10 28 assists nikola jokic 9pt5	Yes	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0xd25f60…
10-28 07:15:50	nba den nop 2026 10 28 assists nikola jokic 9pt5	Yes	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x52deb2…
10-28 07:15:50	nba den nop 2026 10 28 assists nikola jokic 9pt5	Yes	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x3dbff4…
10-28 07:15:37	nba den nop 2026 10 28 assists nikola jokic 9pt5	Yes	BUY	105	65¢	$68	0x2851b8…
10-28 01:41:12	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	459	75¢	$344	0x112458…
10-28 00:42:53	Kings vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5	Under	SELL	385	2¢	$9	0xfc6abf…
10-27 23:58:23	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	459	61¢	$280	0x49b664…
10-27 23:57:41	nba sac sas 2026 10 27 team total sac 98pt5	Under	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x9003c5…
10-27 23:57:11	Kings vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5	Under	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x398b95…
10-27 23:55:05	Spread: Celtics (-12.5)	Celtics	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x0d31e7…
10-27 23:31:35	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	646	39¢	$249	0x53bee5…
10-27 23:19:00	Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	700	2¢	$18	0xa43636…
10-27 23:17:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,500	42¢	$1,050	0x55cb18…
10-27 22:53:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	827	43¢	$356	0xbcf599…
10-27 22:53:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	105	43¢	$45	0xa2d70c…
10-27 22:53:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0x36f3e2…
10-27 22:53:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb0379c…
10-27 22:53:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xf56374…
10-27 22:52:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x736fc4…
10-27 22:52:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x1a7c14…
10-27 22:52:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x62d83d…
10-27 22:52:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	650	43¢	$280	0xc1d245…
10-27 22:52:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	349	43¢	$150	0xf67cda…
10-27 22:52:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x335c7c…
10-27 07:27:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	27¢	$81	0xc68d3b…
10-26 15:55:05	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	776	14¢	$105	0x5e5179…
10-26 11:06:45	Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	357	6¢	$21	0x71682b…
10-26 11:04:59	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	458	33¢	$151	0x6068c1…
10-26 11:04:51	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	380	28¢	$106	0x4180b0…
10-26 11:03:47	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x357a71…
10-26 11:03:14	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	215	73¢	$157	0x63b468…
10-26 08:41:44	Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	11,066	0¢	$55	0xd83800…
10-26 01:58:21	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	466	11¢	$52	0xe63372…
10-25 22:40:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,032	100¢	$1,027	0x1b9dd5…
10-25 22:06:12	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	822	99¢	$817	0xf20033…
10-25 21:10:50	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xdbf9ca…
10-25 21:10:50	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0x6762c3…
10-25 21:10:50	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	77	61¢	$47	0x3bd0fd…
10-25 21:09:56	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	166	61¢	$100	0x530057…
10-25 20:48:44	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	194	68¢	$131	0xbff8c8…
10-25 20:48:17	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	87	85¢	$74	0x5cca87…
10-25 20:38:44	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	Yes	BUY	317	34¢	$109	0x5bc5aa…
10-25 20:37:42	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	472	49¢	$230	0x55b23e…
10-25 20:37:27	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	763	96¢	$734	0x8cde45…
10-25 19:55:48	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	280	29¢	$81	0x10b536…
10-25 17:04:38	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	822	46¢	$378	0x17faba…
10-25 17:04:03	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	254	21¢	$52	0x1b1df4…
10-25 16:11:38	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,277	61¢	$779	0xb6abaa…
10-25 15:51:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	58¢	$580	0xaf6653…
10-25 15:47:53	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	365	56¢	$205	0x6d095c…
10-25 15:29:33	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0x592db7…
10-25 15:28:09	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x8117e2…
10-25 12:36:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0x9d2578…
10-25 12:35:42	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x0ab189…
10-25 12:31:20	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,779	56¢	$996	0x7cfa91…
10-25 12:31:05	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	57¢	$285	0x8bb92b…
10-25 12:28:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	500	62¢	$310	0xf90d64…
10-25 12:26:30	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	221	56¢	$124	0x871128…
10-25 12:25:27	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	500	60¢	$300	0x45916f…
10-25 12:18:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	500	57¢	$285	0xf9840f…
10-25 12:18:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	500	57¢	$285	0x63131a…
10-25 12:15:36	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	500	57¢	$285	0xbc12cb…
10-25 12:14:35	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0xdc11de…
10-25 12:09:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	500	54¢	$268	0x605a50…
10-25 12:09:05	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	500	57¢	$285	0x4f6625…
10-25 11:00:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	295	54¢	$159	0x41710a…
10-25 10:59:57	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x10e726…
10-25 10:59:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0x662f6d…
10-25 10:58:32	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	747	53¢	$396	0xd3cb9f…
10-25 10:56:54	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	422	26¢	$109	0xddd602…
10-25 10:56:32	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0x9cef30…
10-25 10:56:32	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	53	52¢	$28	0x83fa98…
10-25 10:56:26	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	500	52¢	$260	0xdff962…
10-25 10:53:05	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	500	46¢	$230	0x6e2a9c…
10-25 10:52:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	500	52¢	$260	0xd3e37a…
10-25 10:52:38	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0xef9139…
10-25 10:51:44	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	381	46¢	$175	0x7df62f…
10-25 10:51:41	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x32f7af…
10-25 10:51:36	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	117	46¢	$54	0x52d325…
10-25 10:50:47	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	53	47¢	$25	0xe97117…
10-25 10:50:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0xd34289…
10-25 10:50:26	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	161	48¢	$77	0x58cb86…
10-25 10:50:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	95	47¢	$45	0x4bbaa8…
10-25 10:50:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x0c4286…
10-25 10:49:14	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	257	44¢	$113	0xb04d17…
10-25 10:48:59	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xcc0f3e…
10-25 10:48:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x58a9aa…
10-25 10:48:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x44932c…
10-25 10:48:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x443e29…