Sad-Discussion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

286 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$30

$3.01K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 11-10 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

93% 12% +$598

Politics

7% 50% +$128

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in June?	4	$630	629	629	+0	Yes	+$628	07-14 12:41
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?	5	$503	492	492	+0	Yes	+$480	07-14 12:41
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	8	$257	499	499	+0	No	-$38	04-26 06:47
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	5	$179	627	627	+0	No	-$73	07-02 09:06
will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	9	$143	420	420	+0	No	-$76	08-12 07:36
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	10	$132	293	293	+0	No	-$73	04-26 06:47
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	7	$130	485	485	+0	No	-$60	07-27 06:39
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	3	$114	235	235	+0	No	+$8	06-29 07:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$109	205	205	+0	No	-$2	07-02 09:32
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	5	$80	314	314	+0	No	-$40	05-30 07:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$63	59	59	+0	Yes	+$54	04-08 19:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$51	118	118	+0	No	+$11	04-14 07:37
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	1	$47	98	0	+98	Yes	+$51	07-02 09:36
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$47	48	48	+0	Yes	+$13	06-15 14:25
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	8	$41	923	923	+0	No	-$30	07-27 06:39
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	4	$40	174	174	+0	No	-$30	05-26 06:50
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$36	143	143	+0	No	-$4	05-30 07:50
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$35	167	167	+0	No	+$5	04-13 14:22
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	5	$34	169	0	+169	No	-$34	07-14 12:16
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741056	5	$32	368	368	+0	No	-$15	08-12 07:36
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?	6	$25	199	0	+199	No	-$25	09-11 11:09
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in June?	2	$25	262	0	+262	No	-$25	07-14 12:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$24	126	0	+126	Yes	+$102	03-30 11:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$22	197	0	+197	No	-$22	04-27 04:33
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October?	9	$18	101	0	+101	No	-$18	11-10 09:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$17	97	0	+97	No	-$17	05-30 07:51
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	2	$17	200	200	+0	No	-$3	07-27 06:39
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in August?	7	$16	120	0	+120	No	-$16	09-09 09:46
will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	4	$14	324	324	+0	No	-$10	08-12 07:36
Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-23?	1	$12	100	0	+100	Yes	+$88	07-23 14:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 12:15:04	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xa8c7ab…
11-10 12:15:04	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x3d651e…
11-10 11:22:27	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc68c31…
11-10 09:28:04	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x42f18c…
11-10 09:22:43	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x9d2611…
11-10 09:22:43	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x398c0c…
11-10 09:22:43	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	71	2¢	$1	0x334d35…
11-10 09:15:18	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xfdff55…
11-10 09:15:18	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xbd496a…
11-10 09:15:18	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xac5500…
11-10 09:15:18	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9cb8c7…
11-10 09:15:18	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x9918d3…
11-10 09:15:18	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x80c8bb…
11-10 09:15:18	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x7a2fa8…
11-10 09:15:18	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x437443…
11-10 09:15:18	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x42248c…
11-10 09:15:18	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x371706…
11-10 09:15:18	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x136778…
11-10 09:15:16	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x20ba41…
11-10 09:14:45	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xe3887a…
11-10 09:14:45	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x8eca5c…
11-10 09:14:45	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x16bf9f…
11-10 09:14:45	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x11e529…
11-10 08:31:58	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xdfdd88…
11-10 08:31:58	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x643232…
11-10 08:31:58	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x3d2436…
11-10 08:31:58	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x36bde1…
11-10 08:28:40	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbeb0a4…
11-10 08:21:00	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf08646…
11-10 08:21:00	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x8afc41…
11-10 08:21:00	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x0552fa…
11-10 08:20:49	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xe40e97…
11-10 08:20:49	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x4495f6…
11-10 08:20:49	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x297e5a…
11-10 08:20:48	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xcedc8f…
11-10 08:20:48	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0xc40683…
11-10 08:20:48	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xb8e09c…
11-10 08:20:48	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xb0c2bb…
11-10 08:20:48	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xa40e6a…
11-10 08:20:48	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x55d86d…
11-10 08:20:48	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in October?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x488cb6…
11-10 08:19:12	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xea3f69…
11-10 08:10:43	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in October?	Yes	BUY	174	1¢	$1	0x318d0d…
09-11 12:05:09	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xa52996…
09-11 12:03:36	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x82a867…
09-11 12:03:07	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xf27f33…
09-11 12:02:55	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x3293b3…
09-11 11:49:00	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x4023ca…
09-11 11:48:55	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7ca605…
09-11 11:33:36	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$2	0x2c4384…
09-11 11:26:04	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb427eb…
09-11 11:26:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x493c9d…
09-11 11:17:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xcfe534…
09-11 11:16:54	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa89d1e…
09-11 11:16:13	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	128	0¢	$0	0x28ce07…
09-11 11:15:30	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in August?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x923745…
09-11 11:09:36	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	59	11¢	$7	0x9bb10c…
09-11 11:09:25	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x83a9b5…
09-11 11:09:24	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x308074…
09-11 11:09:13	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe15d54…
09-11 11:09:10	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	56	12¢	$7	0xaf73a1…
09-11 11:08:09	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in August?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfe98f7…
09-09 12:53:06	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x7e53ef…
09-09 12:53:06	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in August?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x72e59a…
09-09 12:53:06	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x1b21fe…
09-09 12:53:04	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in August?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xe33f25…
09-09 12:53:04	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in August?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x9092dc…
09-09 12:53:04	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x7d8dbd…
09-09 12:53:04	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x764ddb…
09-09 12:53:04	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x26252c…
09-09 12:53:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in August?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe418a6…
09-09 12:53:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in August?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xcacf64…
09-09 12:53:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xc8d991…
09-09 12:53:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xab7a9d…
09-09 12:53:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in August?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x981376…
09-09 12:53:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x910d2a…
09-09 12:53:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x8d49ec…
09-09 12:53:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x69e914…
09-09 12:53:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4fc7a2…
09-09 12:53:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x4285f6…
09-09 12:53:01	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in August?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xdb289f…
09-09 12:53:01	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x66f4bd…
09-09 12:53:01	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x252563…
09-09 12:50:49	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x62bffb…
09-09 12:50:49	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x38c0b0…
09-09 12:50:49	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in August?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x09d738…
09-09 12:17:30	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in August?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x5fac94…
09-09 12:17:30	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x21b48a…
09-09 12:17:28	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x5ae155…
09-09 12:17:28	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x595d2d…
09-09 12:17:21	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc785cd…
09-09 12:17:21	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4f345f…
09-09 12:17:21	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in August?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x249518…
09-09 12:17:21	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x17375d…
09-09 12:07:12	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xb5f0f6…
09-09 12:07:12	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in August?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x4180c0…
09-09 12:03:58	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xcd7bdc…
09-09 12:01:10	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	39	14¢	$5	0x8359aa…
09-09 11:59:03	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x933d69…
09-09 11:57:37	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in August?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x572074…