Rural-Ostrich — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.60K

Unrealized P&L

-$214

Hit rate

16.3%

Resolved

224

Trades

828

lifetime

Volume

$82.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-31 09:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

66% 24% -$1,066

Sports

25% 21% -$396

Crypto

6% 33% -$131

Politics

4% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No		+760	$244	4¢	$30	-$214	07-22 06:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$4.5K	3,600	3,600	+0	No	-$36	05-06 14:08
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5	6	$2.0K	2,050	2,050	+0	Under	-$10	05-14 15:22
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lukas Neumayer	3	$1.5K	1,072	1,072	+0	Lukas Neumayer	+$21	05-20 04:56
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5	10	$1.5K	1,580	1,580	+0	Over	-$5	05-14 12:25
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	7	$1.4K	2,051	2,051	+0	Over	-$2	05-15 12:18
Saint-Malo: Chloe Paquet vs Whitney Osuigwe	7	$1.4K	1,074	1,074	+0	Whitney Osuigwe	-$48	04-27 17:53
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	2	$1.4K	1,029	1,029	+0	Daniil Medvedev	-$10	05-11 09:35
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	6	$1.4K	1,581	1,581	+0	Over	-$16	05-01 12:09
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	17	$1.4K	1,220	1,220	+0	Cleveland Guardians	-$10	05-11 09:28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landaluce	4	$1.4K	1,157	1,157	+0	Martin Landaluce	-$10	05-11 21:27
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	6	$1.3K	1,247	1,247	+0	Under	+$0	05-11 13:33
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5	6	$1.3K	1,252	1,252	+0	Under	+$0	05-11 09:09
Bordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	9	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	-$44	05-14 01:00
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm	3	$1.2K	993	993	+0	Martin Damm	-$10	05-14 19:30
Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly	9	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Kimmer Coppejans	-$19	05-14 05:20
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$1.2K	608	608	+0	No	+$0	04-28 14:50
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	2	$1.2K	1,071	1,071	+0	Under	-$21	04-30 12:44
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$1.1K	626	626	+0	Yes	-$5	04-28 21:29
Netanyahu out by June 30?	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	-$6	04-28 20:45
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	2	$1.1K	1,038	1,038	+0	Gujarat Titans	-$10	05-11 19:14
Cordoba: Santiago De La Fuente vs Murkel Dellien	4	$1.1K	695	695	+0	Murkel Dellien	-$6	05-12 05:27
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	10	$1.0K	1,060	1,060	+0	No	-$15	05-13 21:26
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	9	$1.0K	1,143	1,143	+0	Team Spirit	-$31	05-17 01:15
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	4	$1.0K	1,164	1,164	+0	Weibo Gaming	-$88	05-09 10:40
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	2	$1.0K	1,083	1,083	+0	Under	-$11	04-28 13:24
Abidjan 2: Aziz Dougaz vs Florent Bax	3	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Florent Bax	-$30	04-29 23:51
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaume Munar	3	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Adolfo Vallejo	-$10	05-16 09:26
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	14	$965	1,000	1,000	+0	Minnesota Twins	-$15	05-13 18:19
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5	9	$940	1,068	1,068	+0	Over	+$0	04-30 09:03
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	3	$920	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	-$20	04-29 23:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 09:05:57	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	1,810	4¢	$64	0x649c06…
07-22 06:43:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	760	32¢	$244	0x16b526…
07-22 06:43:34	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	1,016	20¢	$200	0x14d238…
07-22 06:43:00	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,810	6¢	$100	0x4a258b…
07-19 02:36:06	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	286	93¢	$266	0x4cc8d4…
07-16 08:14:58	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x80085e…
07-16 07:54:59	Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xc3aed3…
07-16 07:54:20	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	3,333	3¢	$100	0x06cdf4…
07-15 15:35:53	Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x7bfb6d…
07-14 05:35:11	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0xa3f903…
07-14 05:34:37	Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	909	22¢	$200	0xc96488…
07-14 05:34:28	Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	488	41¢	$200	0xd477fc…
07-09 13:29:20	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0x4953df…
07-09 13:28:07	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x110367…
07-09 13:27:41	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x2c9ac0…
07-09 13:27:26	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 assists michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x6f822c…
07-05 14:31:17	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x2b3504…
07-05 13:54:07	Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xeeb63e…
07-03 11:22:25	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x2fdfae…
07-03 11:22:11	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x094ce3…
07-03 11:21:56	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xf6983e…
07-03 04:04:29	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	292	34¢	$100	0xb9c8d7…
07-02 09:33:11	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,639	6¢	$100	0xbf23c0…
06-29 06:17:32	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xab9876…
06-29 06:14:13	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x300866…
06-29 06:12:31	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x888642…
06-29 06:09:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x7da85f…
06-29 06:06:44	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x3cdc6b…
06-29 05:50:37	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xf938cc…
06-29 05:50:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xbac055…
06-29 05:50:04	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	667	18¢	$120	0x898971…
06-11 16:16:55	mlbb tlid btr1 2026 06 12	Team Liquid ID	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x1e80dc…
06-11 16:16:34	mlbb tlid btr1 2026 06 12	Team Liquid ID	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0xa70baa…
06-11 16:16:24	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game1 kill over 27pt5	Over	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xae068a…
06-11 16:16:22	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game1 kill over 27pt5	Over	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xdabef3…
06-11 16:16:22	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game1 kill over 27pt5	Over	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x2f0781…
06-11 16:15:58	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game1 kill over 27pt5	Over	SELL	128	48¢	$61	0xed1ab6…
06-11 16:15:57	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game1 kill over 27pt5	Over	SELL	320	48¢	$154	0xd00b73…
06-11 16:15:40	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game1 kill over 27pt5	Over	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x0dc840…
05-28 06:40:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xfb47ad…
05-28 06:40:26	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x86b905…
05-24 10:47:03	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	127	90¢	$114	0x5c75ea…
05-24 10:46:19	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	271	75¢	$203	0x7f57e0…
05-21 10:05:47	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0xa3700b…
05-21 10:04:56	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x5844b9…
05-21 10:04:47	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x87a724…
05-21 10:04:40	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x0f4726…
05-20 04:56:39	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer	SELL	368	71¢	$262	0xd35f21…
05-20 04:56:39	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer	SELL	704	71¢	$500	0xada1b1…
05-20 04:56:13	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	1,072	69¢	$740	0xb7bc79…
05-20 02:11:45	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	Thiago Seyboth Wild	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xbf4f01…
05-20 02:11:33	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x044b8c…
05-19 07:15:49	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Kimmer Coppejans	Kimmer Coppejans	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x373d75…
05-19 07:15:14	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Kimmer Coppejans	Kimmer Coppejans	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x7bd9f2…
05-19 00:40:53	Bengaluru 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yusuke Takahashi	Yusuke Takahashi	SELL	126	74¢	$93	0x7cfa2b…
05-19 00:40:33	Bengaluru 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yusuke Takahashi	Yusuke Takahashi	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xbd0281…
05-19 00:40:33	Bengaluru 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yusuke Takahashi	Yusuke Takahashi	SELL	60	75¢	$45	0x1fc13c…
05-19 00:40:18	Bengaluru 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yusuke Takahashi	Yusuke Takahashi	BUY	91	75¢	$68	0x958e67…
05-19 00:40:18	Bengaluru 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yusuke Takahashi	Yusuke Takahashi	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x2b0106…
05-17 21:27:40	Geneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsen	Alex Michelsen	SELL	391	36¢	$141	0xf25716…
05-17 21:27:22	Geneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsen	Alex Michelsen	SELL	125	37¢	$46	0x8d9765…
05-17 21:26:58	Geneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsen	Alex Michelsen	BUY	516	37¢	$191	0xb217c2…
05-17 13:56:59	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabher	Jil Teichmann	SELL	355	43¢	$153	0xf0044b…
05-17 13:56:41	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabher	Jil Teichmann	SELL	353	44¢	$155	0x8a5e94…
05-17 13:56:11	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabher	Jil Teichmann	SELL	262	45¢	$118	0xd054e8…
05-17 13:56:11	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabher	Jil Teichmann	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x8e7cc5…
05-17 13:56:04	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabher	Jil Teichmann	BUY	1,000	46¢	$460	0x4ebd24…
05-17 10:33:57	Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	MIBR	SELL	500	58¢	$290	0x441cdd…
05-17 10:33:41	Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	MIBR	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0x4e1f0f…
05-17 08:52:13	Hamburg European Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	SELL	171	55¢	$94	0xabc2aa…
05-17 08:51:54	Hamburg European Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	SELL	312	55¢	$172	0x7479b0…
05-17 08:51:33	Hamburg European Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0xe0348e…
05-17 08:51:08	Hamburg European Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0x7fc7fc…
05-17 08:51:08	Hamburg European Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	453	57¢	$258	0x15f55d…
05-17 07:02:00	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	SELL	250	40¢	$100	0x50c496…
05-17 07:01:58	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	SELL	750	40¢	$300	0x0bf7b9…
05-17 07:01:47	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	BUY	1,000	39¢	$390	0x7e3183…
05-17 05:58:53	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0xe0d201…
05-17 05:58:35	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0x9c56af…
05-17 04:11:26	LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOUD	SELL	565	26¢	$147	0x265469…
05-17 04:11:12	LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	565	31¢	$175	0x466076…
05-17 03:46:22	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x900d3d…
05-17 03:46:05	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x76ec45…
05-17 03:40:22	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	247	62¢	$153	0xcb52eb…
05-17 03:40:06	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	247	62¢	$153	0x5249c2…
05-17 01:15:42	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	SELL	444	88¢	$391	0x674602…
05-17 01:15:24	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0xbbf244…
05-17 01:15:02	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x1cb33c…
05-17 01:14:48	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Movistar KOI	SELL	543	46¢	$250	0x4952c5…
05-17 01:14:25	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	543	46¢	$250	0x7eb5cd…
05-17 01:03:46	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	ex-HEROIC	SELL	106	9¢	$10	0x1eb3e5…
05-17 01:03:29	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	ex-HEROIC	SELL	104	10¢	$10	0xe66065…
05-17 01:03:29	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	ex-HEROIC	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xe18a3b…
05-17 01:03:27	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	ex-HEROIC	SELL	74	10¢	$7	0x9af307…
05-17 01:03:27	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	ex-HEROIC	SELL	259	10¢	$26	0x94324b…
05-17 01:03:11	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	ex-HEROIC	BUY	643	14¢	$90	0xd62150…
05-17 00:50:33	Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Aurora	SELL	389	82¢	$319	0xf16bc4…
05-17 00:50:19	Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Aurora	BUY	389	82¢	$319	0x43b898…
05-16 23:38:19	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x82454f…
05-16 23:38:03	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xf83b7a…