Clear-Cut-Body — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$419

Unrealized P&L

+$75

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,669

lifetime

Volume

$392.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$235

Open exposure

$179

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-27 23:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

54% 50% +$87

Other

37% 100% +$4

Sports

7% 67% +$328

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No		+253	$100	70¢	$179	+$79	06-19 15:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		-5	$4	1¢	$-0	$-4	06-25 12:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	26	$21.3K	12,059	12,059	+0	open	—	03-01 02:07
will axiom be accused of insider trading	40	$21.2K	16,163	15,963	+200	open	—	02-26 07:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$17.6K	9,103	9,103	+0	open	—	04-28 16:57
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	31	$17.1K	8,894	8,894	+0	open	—	02-28 06:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	141	$16.2K	23,287	23,287	+0	open	—	03-05 23:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	13	$15.3K	11,962	4,919	+7,042	open	—	04-08 01:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$11.7K	11,355	1,175	+10,179	open	—	02-02 21:12
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	29	$10.9K	5,884	5,884	+0	open	—	03-01 00:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	27	$10.6K	8,024	8,024	+0	open	—	03-01 02:26
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	9	$8.6K	8,831	240	+8,591	open	—	04-28 21:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	9	$8.1K	4,263	4,263	+0	open	—	05-17 13:13
will larchibufphinepit win their 2026 nfl wild card round games	15	$7.6K	4,425	3,838	+588	open	—	01-12 01:32
will the pittsburgh steelers win the afc north 1	18	$7.2K	7,224	0	+7,224	open	—	01-05 05:56
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	6	$7.0K	7,154	0	+7,154	open	—	01-07 06:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	15	$7.0K	8,181	2,435	+5,746	open	—	06-01 17:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	16	$6.2K	7,479	0	+7,479	open	—	01-17 23:28
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	27	$6.2K	3,789	3,789	+0	open	—	05-16 02:19
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	4	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	01-10 00:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	38	$5.8K	5,575	5,656	-81	open	—	04-23 20:50
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	18	$4.8K	7,991	6,864	+1,127	open	—	03-13 19:11
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	4	$4.7K	2,549	2,549	+0	open	—	03-07 03:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	3	$4.6K	2,441	2,441	+0	open	—	01-25 23:52
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	18	$4.6K	4,498	2,712	+1,786	open	—	05-16 02:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	24	$4.6K	3,420	3,420	+0	open	—	04-24 01:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	10	$4.5K	5,319	0	+5,319	open	—	06-15 17:54
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	3	$4.3K	2,260	2,260	+0	Pat Sabatini	+$198	05-09 22:39
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	19	$4.2K	3,190	3,190	+0	open	—	01-14 23:03
will georgia win the 2026 college football national championship	6	$4.2K	4,284	0	+4,284	open	—	01-02 04:46
will indiana and miami win their 2026 cfp semifinal games	26	$4.0K	5,227	23	+5,204	open	—	01-10 02:11
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	21	$3.9K	6,979	6,979	+0	open	—	02-28 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 23:33:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	44	80¢	$35	0x7cd9ff…
06-27 23:33:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	800	19¢	$152	0x27f999…
06-26 21:54:44	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1,076	44¢	$479	0xac101c…
06-25 23:49:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	785	28¢	$220	0x69264b…
06-25 23:08:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x59c8bf…
06-25 23:06:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x5ef381…
06-25 23:04:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x48ec21…
06-25 13:51:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	456	50¢	$228	0xf9355d…
06-25 13:48:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	194	51¢	$99	0x8747dd…
06-25 13:47:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xd244e4…
06-25 13:45:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	184	51¢	$94	0x7031c9…
06-25 13:45:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	82	51¢	$42	0x8db314…
06-25 13:40:11	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0xb385ab…
06-25 13:37:13	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x0407fd…
06-25 13:27:34	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x63edbf…
06-25 12:38:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb452ae…
06-25 09:28:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,117	5¢	$55	0xff9c30…
06-25 09:27:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x627c1f…
06-25 09:26:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x557b8f…
06-25 09:26:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xadde1b…
06-25 09:25:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	119	5¢	$6	0xa3a2a4…
06-25 09:24:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	67	5¢	$3	0xc574d5…
06-25 09:23:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x98276e…
06-25 09:22:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x9d5077…
06-25 09:21:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xb24cf8…
06-25 09:18:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xcc11e4…
06-25 09:16:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x24315e…
06-25 09:16:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x3b7204…
06-25 09:15:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	306	5¢	$15	0xe1d16c…
06-25 09:15:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	306	5¢	$15	0xd34832…
06-25 09:15:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,041	5¢	$100	0x44c84d…
06-25 09:14:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xe0b730…
06-25 09:13:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xdf99fe…
06-25 09:12:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x38f656…
06-25 07:30:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	71	35¢	$25	0xf360ad…
06-25 07:25:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	34	35¢	$12	0xe4963b…
06-25 07:25:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	68	35¢	$24	0x9e00f1…
06-25 07:25:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	45	35¢	$16	0x470a45…
06-25 07:25:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	46	35¢	$16	0x293f56…
06-25 07:24:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	536	35¢	$187	0x780201…
06-25 06:31:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	800	35¢	$280	0x96178c…
06-25 06:24:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4,006	5¢	$200	0x966993…
06-21 01:25:40	ufc kyo man1 2026 06 20	Manel Kape	BUY	484	62¢	$300	0xb85e33…
06-19 15:13:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	253	39¢	$100	0x12f4bb…
06-19 08:58:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xf2b955…
06-19 01:43:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	918	37¢	$340	0xc33b43…
06-19 01:43:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	73	37¢	$27	0x4cd0b8…
06-19 01:43:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x6d516e…
06-19 01:33:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x14128e…
06-15 17:57:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	977	97¢	$952	0x316c5f…
06-15 17:54:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,063	97¢	$2,000	0x492ba2…
06-15 04:07:06	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x360e50…
06-15 03:53:48	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	597	67¢	$400	0xbb4dd0…
06-15 02:13:01	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0xfce103…
06-15 02:12:00	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Sean O'Malley	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x7b5024…
06-15 02:10:43	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Josh Hokit	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x35a2ce…
06-14 22:05:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	638	78¢	$500	0xa38a2f…
06-14 22:04:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	668	75¢	$500	0xa8f6ff…
06-14 22:03:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	385	74¢	$285	0xc56537…
06-14 22:03:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x94f1fa…
06-14 22:03:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x451a73…
06-14 22:03:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe7cdf1…
06-14 22:03:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x63c026…
06-14 21:59:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	40¢	$160	0x380b70…
06-14 21:56:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	650	77¢	$500	0xbf0c55…
06-14 21:53:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	801	75¢	$600	0x10c433…
06-01 17:07:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,246	100¢	$5,236	0x2d2e8f…
06-01 14:58:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	54¢	$270	0x3cc480…
06-01 14:19:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,058	34¢	$364	0xaff2d7…
06-01 13:13:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xdc7031…
06-01 13:12:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xf4374b…
06-01 13:11:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	31¢	$311	0x27e257…
06-01 12:59:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	698	35¢	$244	0x148f10…
06-01 12:58:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	286	35¢	$100	0xbf439c…
06-01 12:58:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	35¢	$16	0x1fc108…
06-01 12:58:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x090e5c…
06-01 12:58:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	35¢	$20	0xbeb1b8…
06-01 12:58:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x9ef57b…
06-01 12:58:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	286	35¢	$100	0xd0931b…
06-01 12:47:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	527	19¢	$100	0x506a9d…
06-01 12:41:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	851	23¢	$200	0x0cf6f8…
06-01 02:25:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	668	75¢	$500	0xfba376…
05-26 15:07:02	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	1,909	21¢	$407	0x40f994…
05-25 23:21:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	628	11¢	$69	0xe5ce8f…
05-25 23:21:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xc25c42…
05-25 23:17:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	11¢	$8	0x14b813…
05-25 23:15:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x6e078e…
05-25 23:10:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	11¢	$88	0xa0665a…
05-25 23:09:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xc1aa08…
05-25 23:09:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x04171e…
05-25 23:08:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	268	11¢	$29	0xdb9640…
05-25 15:37:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	13¢	$23	0xb16e7e…
05-25 15:36:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xc19797…
05-25 15:36:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,792	13¢	$233	0x476634…
05-24 22:56:27	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	No	BUY	600	85¢	$512	0x4a036b…
05-24 21:26:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	24¢	$96	0x90e34c…
05-24 14:29:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0x30bfd0…
05-24 01:30:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	400	16¢	$64	0x575335…
05-24 01:12:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xe4da5d…
05-24 01:12:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	58¢	$42	0x18ae6f…