Realized P&L
+$5.77K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.80K
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved
315
Trades
2,516
lifetime
Volume
$483.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$192
Open exposure
$10.9K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 15:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 136 days
Categories
Politics
55% 53% +$1,370
Other
35% 58% +$5,502
Sports
7% 51% -$1,532
Crypto
2% 44% +$325
Tech
0% 67% +$108
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,158 -$3,098 80¢ $-3347 -$249 07-30 17:32
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +2,633 $961 94¢ $2.5K +$1,502 07-13 02:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,471 $1,000 68¢ $1.0K +$7 10-28 15:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,000 $932 48¢ $970 +$38 10-28 01:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -987 -$642 85¢ $-838 -$195 05-19 19:02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +750 $652 94¢ $705 +$52 07-30 17:18
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +500 $240 98¢ $490 +$250 07-20 17:23
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +700 $469 68¢ $473 +$4 10-09 18:37
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +612 $300 65¢ $398 +$98 07-18 09:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +400 $100 36¢ $146 +$46 10-10 06:30
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +19 $17 98¢ $19 +$2 05-10 17:25
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +92 $58 3¢ $3 -$55 09-10 09:11
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1 -$2 92¢ $1 +$3 07-19 11:50
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +0 -$296 94¢ $0 +$296 07-07 21:37