Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$252

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

228

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-19 17:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

56% 63% +$147

Politics

34% 74% $-393

Crypto

8% 66% $-71

Tech

2% 100% +$23

Sports

1% 100% +$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	2	$1.1K	531	531	+0	No	+$2	02-01 05:23
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$1.0K	956	94	+861	Yes	+$45	02-03 20:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$923	1,112	0	+1,112	Yes	$-923	02-25 22:09
will xauusd dip to 3800 in august 2026	2	$875	500	500	+0	open	—	08-07 05:14
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$669	336	336	+0	No	+$1	01-26 21:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	4	$652	330	330	+0	No	+$1	04-19 00:11
will silver si hit high 160 by end of february 597 366 984 937	2	$590	377	377	+0	No	+$90	01-31 17:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$478	0	480	-480	No	$-2	07-01 13:49
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$444	229	229	+0	No	+$5	01-28 20:53
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	1	$400	417	0	+417	No	+$17	01-04 23:36
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$372	0	750	-750	No	$-3	03-07 21:46
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$371	0	744	-744	Yes	$-1	03-07 22:17
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	4	$366	356	154	+202	No	+$38	01-19 13:31
will donald trump say dictator at least three times during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday	4	$362	270	270	+0	Yes	+$162	01-03 17:09
will claude 5 be released on february 18 2026	1	$359	359	0	+359	No	+$0	02-17 21:32
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	5	$353	211	211	+0	No	+$53	02-17 21:43
will silver si hit low 65 by end of february 598 917 186 187 154 235 433 943	2	$336	252	252	+0	No	+$36	02-17 20:46
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$336	197	197	+0	No	+$36	02-01 20:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$333	172	172	+0	No	+$9	04-18 02:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$323	176	176	+1	No	+$24	04-18 02:10
will trump meet with nicols maduro in january 2026	2	$318	172	172	+0	No	+$18	01-11 22:33
will opinion launch a token on february 26	1	$312	313	0	+313	No	+$0	02-25 21:11
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$312	164	164	+0	No	+$12	04-28 19:27
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	3	$306	600	0	+600	Flavio Cobolli	$-6	04-28 19:53
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	2	$277	308	308	+0	No	$-123	01-25 20:03
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$277	159	159	+0	No	+$37	03-25 00:42
will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	3	$277	162	162	+0	open	—	08-18 09:22
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$275	161	161	+0	No	+$35	03-19 21:10
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$257	139	138	+1	No	+$18	01-15 03:31
israel strikes iran by january 13 2026	2	$242	122	122	+0	No	+$2	01-14 04:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 17:27:06	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	232	86¢	$200	0x1c7d08…
08-18 09:22:09	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	151	98¢	$149	0xc247e3…
08-18 08:57:58	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd40f18…
08-18 06:07:15	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x398a32…
08-07 05:14:30	will xauusd dip to 3800 in august 2026	No	SELL	500	95¢	$475	0xfb6a64…
08-05 20:03:51	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	162	73¢	$118	0xedfad6…
08-04 09:52:36	will xauusd dip to 3800 in august 2026	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x94031e…
07-13 20:49:11	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	108	48¢	$52	0xf9f99c…
07-09 19:39:34	spcx above 150 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	59	42¢	$25	0xa0689a…
07-09 19:38:35	spcx above 140 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	338	26¢	$86	0xe873c0…
07-09 04:19:17	spcx above 140 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	62	89¢	$55	0x24a075…
07-07 20:13:07	spcx above 140 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	400	16¢	$64	0xeedb6e…
07-06 22:30:56	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x65f3c5…
07-06 22:29:04	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	145	83¢	$120	0xdf3d28…
07-04 17:15:53	spcx above 150 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	59	37¢	$22	0x066db1…
07-01 13:49:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	480	100¢	$478	0xd3df52…
06-13 12:12:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	189	44¢	$83	0x2d2ac1…
06-13 12:11:18	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	SELL	143	38¢	$55	0x8ccb8c…
06-11 20:56:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xb8c135…
06-10 19:37:09	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x40b5aa…
05-20 21:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xa4b030…
05-20 21:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0x700b6b…
05-20 21:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x666149…
05-20 21:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd34066…
05-20 21:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x92bc86…
05-20 21:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x8ab5d9…
05-20 21:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x094181…
05-20 21:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x71f6c1…
05-20 21:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xf6f417…
05-20 21:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x1200ff…
05-20 21:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xcb8a78…
05-20 20:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x05b2c4…
05-20 20:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x578440…
05-20 20:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xfc7163…
05-20 20:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd44ff7…
05-20 20:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x987020…
05-20 20:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x726d16…
05-20 20:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x18ee41…
05-20 20:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc1a108…
05-20 20:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xf6526e…
05-20 20:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x561052…
05-20 20:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3b9ad7…
05-20 20:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x951452…
05-20 19:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xfb2dbc…
05-20 19:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xfbef63…
05-20 19:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xd566ee…
05-20 19:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x6f5468…
05-20 19:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf437b9…
05-20 19:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x94b5ca…
05-20 19:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb63abf…
05-20 19:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xd6021e…
05-20 19:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x8a7ebb…
05-20 19:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x42b299…
05-20 19:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9f8948…
05-20 19:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9e4d44…
05-20 19:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x868217…
05-20 19:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x5d02c7…
05-20 19:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf2c89d…
05-20 19:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa51192…
05-20 19:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x20f34b…
05-20 19:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x114755…
05-20 19:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x535980…
05-20 19:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x47c9d3…
05-20 19:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x1f5e3f…
05-20 19:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd49652…
05-20 19:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0xbf4b36…
05-20 19:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb9accb…
05-20 19:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x9beda6…
05-20 19:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x068905…
05-20 19:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x1d9f7f…
05-20 19:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0x1ae039…
05-20 19:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0ce264…
05-20 18:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x01df03…
05-06 20:55:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xac3ffd…
05-06 20:29:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	281	0¢	$1	0xa4ae29…
04-28 19:53:14	Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	220	76¢	$167	0x403795…
04-28 19:52:48	Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	80	76¢	$61	0x9227e2…
04-28 19:47:38	Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0xac65a4…
04-28 19:27:50	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	164	99¢	$162	0x72288e…
04-23 20:15:50	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	164	92¢	$150	0x1f1409…
04-23 19:59:56	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x47fff8…
04-23 19:58:54	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x567d77…
04-23 19:54:28	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x56b5b4…
04-23 19:51:26	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	SELL	1,400	0¢	$4	0x52a6b7…
04-23 19:50:30	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xb5ddf5…
04-23 19:50:18	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x4edb13…
04-23 19:49:36	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x519929…
04-23 19:45:14	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x12595a…
04-23 19:43:52	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	190	0¢	$1	0xba97dc…
04-23 19:43:38	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5f1dc1…
04-23 19:37:54	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcf43b1…
04-23 19:37:30	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf386dd…
04-23 19:35:14	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6782d1…
04-20 14:19:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x3b573f…
04-19 00:11:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x73f9ff…
04-18 02:19:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	172	99¢	$171	0xfa3f92…
04-18 02:13:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0xdc19d5…
04-18 02:13:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xc8ff41…
04-18 02:12:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	175	98¢	$172	0x20b118…
04-18 02:11:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	175	99¢	$173	0x4fbdd3…