Luxurious-Urge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

89.5%

Resolved

111

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$23.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$126

Open exposure

$131

1 position

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-26 11:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

51% 99% +$56

Crypto

28% 100% +$17

Politics

15% 94% -$49

Tech

6% 100% +$30

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No		+131	$130	100¢	$131	+$1	10-26 11:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	4	$1.9K	964	964	+0	Yes	-$31	04-14 05:41
will ethereum reach 2700 april 6 12	1	$948	949	0	+949	No	+$1	04-12 01:07
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$827	830	0	+830	No	+$3	04-20 12:57
ethereum above 2600 on april 7	2	$759	760	0	+760	No	+$1	04-05 08:12
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$661	668	0	+668	Yes	+$7	02-28 06:15
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$654	656	0	+656	No	+$2	03-01 11:09
ethereum above 2400 on february 9	1	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	02-09 06:38
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$573	333	333	+0	No	-$67	05-03 22:22
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	14	$561	430	200	+230	Yes	+$17	02-14 08:17
will elon musk be richest person on march 31	5	$542	549	0	+549	Yes	+$7	03-08 09:57
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	11	$529	266	266	+0	No	+$1	03-21 15:43
will xrp reach 2 april 13 19	1	$515	516	0	+516	No	+$1	04-18 01:29
nvda above 220 on february 27 2026	1	$500	507	0	+507	No	+$7	02-23 10:49
will open close between 8 and 9 week april 10 2026	1	$465	465	0	+465	No	+$0	04-08 07:33
will ethereum reach 2700 february 9 15	1	$459	464	0	+464	No	+$5	02-10 07:24
nvda above 145 on april 10 2026	1	$452	452	0	+452	Yes	+$0	04-08 07:35
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 200plus	2	$428	429	0	+429	No	+$1	04-15 10:22
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	6	$409	210	210	+0	No	+$3	05-19 15:44
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$338	338	0	+338	No	+$0	05-01 12:02
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	2	$306	155	155	+0	No	+$3	07-29 06:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$304	160	160	+0	Yes	+$3	06-11 07:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$303	158	158	+0	No	+$3	06-03 09:54
us strike on colombia by march 31	3	$297	300	0	+300	No	+$3	03-22 12:16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	4	$296	149	149	+0	No	+$1	06-10 12:57
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$284	305	0	+305	No	+$21	05-06 01:05
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	1	$238	238	0	+238	No	+$0	07-15 01:53
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	2	$231	116	116	+0	No	+$0	09-02 10:26
will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	1	$221	221	0	+221	No	+$0	02-14 07:42
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$217	217	0	+217	No	+$0	05-16 17:06
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on June 12?	1	$210	210	0	+210	No	+$0	06-11 07:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 11:30:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x9c5bd8…
10-26 08:29:26	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xe5ad0f…
10-18 04:44:00	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xbc2c6e…
10-18 04:43:09	nflx above 30 on october 23 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd18dbc…
10-18 04:42:56	nflx above 20 on october 23 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfea475…
10-18 04:42:47	nflx above 10 on october 23 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x07c21e…
10-18 04:42:35	nflx above 130 on october 23 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfff12b…
10-17 17:22:02	will open close between 5 and 6 week october 23 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xb268e7…
10-10 13:40:12	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $20?	Yes	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x03a92d…
10-10 13:39:27	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $1.00?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6c444c…
10-10 13:38:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x2c63d3…
09-22 05:23:12	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x4e311a…
09-21 10:56:05	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xace612…
09-21 09:09:44	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xe035a2…
09-13 00:41:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xa8d542…
09-10 06:02:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x624c8f…
09-02 10:32:45	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x7be0bc…
09-02 10:26:58	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x04d818…
09-02 05:20:58	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x99dba2…
09-01 08:17:42	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x1d5c8b…
09-01 07:51:24	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x672d90…
08-22 10:30:48	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0xc3a872…
08-22 10:21:22	will trump meet with vladimir putin in august 2026 20260731154202612	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x858e97…
08-18 07:11:33	open above 5pt5 on august 21 2026	No	BUY	204	100¢	$203	0x60205d…
08-09 01:49:36	open above 0pt5 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xb616f1…
08-09 01:48:57	open above 6pt5 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x2185bb…
08-04 12:10:45	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xdad081…
08-04 06:51:18	xrp above 1pt5 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x75896b…
08-04 06:49:02	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x000938…
07-30 07:00:21	will chainlink dip to 2 in july	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x2eada3…
07-29 06:05:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$154	0xc8a127…
07-26 15:12:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	155	98¢	$152	0xd6ec8a…
07-21 12:12:06	Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	163	99¢	$162	0xe53806…
07-21 09:01:13	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x342789…
07-15 01:56:50	nflx above 110 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x63eb73…
07-15 01:53:29	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x2fddad…
07-08 08:34:52	will ng reach 3 90 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0xa6816b…
07-07 07:38:11	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xcc7113…
07-07 07:37:28	Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xb97331…
07-01 23:27:08	xrp above 1pt4 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeeb1fd…
06-26 23:41:58	will hood dip to 65 in june 2026	No	BUY	82	98¢	$81	0x521c19…
06-26 23:38:11	nvda above 240 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd6796f…
06-26 23:31:02	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x00cf37…
06-26 23:30:43	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x1d3977…
06-26 23:30:23	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x1d0756…
06-26 23:29:05	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x3335be…
06-26 23:28:43	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x93ff8c…
06-26 23:28:14	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6fbc55…
06-23 23:40:49	nflx above 20 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x325195…
06-23 00:43:14	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xf7a6a3…
06-22 00:25:47	Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x3036c1…
06-22 00:21:41	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb906bb…
06-20 10:33:52	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xfd1934…
06-20 10:32:19	Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x327634…
06-20 10:28:28	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4956cd…
06-20 10:27:50	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd02def…
06-14 03:46:31	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 15 above $120?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x197c0b…
06-14 03:46:09	nflx above 50 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe178d8…
06-14 03:45:43	nflx above 40 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf36796…
06-14 03:45:04	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x789e15…
06-14 03:44:09	open above 1pt5 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x478344…
06-11 15:53:34	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x1d5db7…
06-11 07:30:01	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on June 12?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x63aaef…
06-11 07:26:43	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on June 12?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x3f0437…
06-11 07:12:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	160	96¢	$154	0x0d0b34…
06-10 12:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0xb197b1…
06-10 12:54:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5d6a0a…
06-09 12:31:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x2fc896…
06-09 09:56:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x7d3d79…
06-08 02:19:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0x7bb04e…
06-04 06:57:48	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on June 6?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x278d65…
06-04 06:56:55	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 5?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x6b8bec…
06-03 09:54:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	158	97¢	$153	0xbf59d0…
06-02 14:06:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x02c6e6…
06-02 14:05:20	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x54bf15…
06-02 14:03:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	164	66¢	$108	0xfd6e3a…
06-02 14:01:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x7153b2…
05-27 09:12:49	Will Chainlink reach $16 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x201312…
05-27 09:12:26	Will Ethena reach $0.24 in May?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x54affb…
05-25 11:17:08	Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xac0dfc…
05-20 10:53:53	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on May 23?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x750dd9…
05-19 15:44:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$44	0x319ee4…
05-19 15:44:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	125	98¢	$123	0x5de2cb…
05-19 15:44:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x431902…
05-19 15:43:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xb29694…
05-19 07:27:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0xb6ef08…
05-19 07:27:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	189	97¢	$183	0x59b721…
05-18 14:48:55	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x48b789…
05-18 05:31:39	Will Ethena reach $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0x61cbab…
05-17 15:02:26	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd869ca…
05-17 14:51:57	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x667398…
05-16 17:06:40	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xabb4e0…
05-16 17:05:51	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x22edf0…
05-16 17:05:28	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xf8add4…
05-10 08:21:02	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xd99455…
05-10 08:20:29	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xca4230…
05-06 01:05:42	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	305	93¢	$284	0xccf2ec…
05-03 22:22:52	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	333	76¢	$253	0xd1e105…
05-02 10:44:52	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	333	96¢	$320	0x19261c…
05-01 12:02:14	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	338	100¢	$338	0x5f620f…