Watchful-Fault — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

559

Trades

9,210

lifetime

Volume

$42.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 61% $-185

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	9	$1.2K	1,684	1,684	+0	open	—	04-15 07:10
will bitcoin dip to 76k january 26 1	4	$288	499	499	+0	open	—	01-31 19:09
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	2	$258	167	167	+0	open	—	04-21 09:38
xrp updown 5m 1776709200	18	$247	236	226	+10	open	—	04-20 18:22
btc updown 15m 1770049800	9	$167	178	176	+2	open	—	02-02 16:36
bitcoin up or down february 2 11am et	10	$166	230	230	+0	open	—	02-02 16:32
btc updown 15m 1770050700	10	$159	162	159	+2	open	—	02-02 16:49
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?	6	$128	2,486	111	+2,375	open	—	04-14 12:23
will bitcoin dip to 88k january 19 25	1	$100	286	0	+286	open	—	01-20 21:43
bitcoin up or down february 3 5pm et	22	$96	96	96	+0	open	—	02-03 22:04
btc updown 5m 1773689100	3	$92	135	0	+135	open	—	03-16 19:29
eth updown 5m 1772890200	1	$83	102	0	+102	open	—	03-07 13:34
eth updown 5m 1772886000	2	$81	97	0	+97	open	—	03-07 12:24
eth updown 5m 1772891400	7	$81	96	0	+96	open	—	03-07 13:54
sol updown 5m 1772891400	6	$80	103	0	+103	open	—	03-07 13:54
sol updown 5m 1773688200	8	$79	66	66	+0	open	—	03-16 19:14
ethereum up or down february 3 5pm et	25	$76	100	100	-0	open	—	02-03 22:07
bitcoin up or down february 1 10am et	10	$73	32	112	-80	open	—	02-01 15:03
eth updown 5m 1772889600	6	$73	85	0	+85	open	—	03-07 13:24
eth updown 5m 1773687600	8	$72	56	56	+0	open	—	03-16 19:04
btc updown 5m 1776709200	16	$69	199	191	+8	open	—	04-20 18:23
xrp updown 5m 1774299900	6	$68	88	0	+88	open	—	03-23 21:09
xrp updown 5m 1772888100	6	$67	84	0	+84	open	—	03-07 12:59
btc updown 15m 1769958000	9	$60	40	85	-45	open	—	02-01 15:02
btc updown 15m 1768911300	7	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	01-20 22:31
sol updown 5m 1772901300	5	$57	80	0	+80	open	—	03-07 16:39
sol updown 5m 1774296600	6	$57	81	0	+81	open	—	03-23 20:14
btc updown 15m 1768668300	3	$55	600	396	+204	open	—	01-17 16:50
ethereum up or down february 3 5am et	18	$53	50	50	+0	open	—	02-03 10:35
eth updown 5m 1772891700	1	$53	67	0	+67	open	—	03-07 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:58:36	btc updown 5m 1781074800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xde774e…
06-10 06:53:36	btc updown 5m 1781074500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x843a83…
06-10 06:43:39	btc updown 5m 1781073900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb7d944…
06-10 06:08:31	btc updown 5m 1781071800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x282a30…
06-10 05:33:31	btc updown 5m 1781069700	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3c0bcb…
06-10 05:18:31	btc updown 5m 1781068800	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf47fb7…
06-10 04:53:28	btc updown 5m 1781067300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x65567d…
06-10 02:18:30	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6792a2…
06-10 01:58:34	btc updown 5m 1781056800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa796df…
06-10 01:49:12	btc updown 5m 1781056200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7124bf…
06-10 01:23:33	btc updown 5m 1781054700	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf7073d…
06-10 01:18:34	btc updown 5m 1781054400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x63e16e…
06-10 01:14:09	btc updown 5m 1781054100	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9cb5d5…
06-10 00:53:31	btc updown 5m 1781052900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9d6bef…
06-10 00:18:34	btc updown 5m 1781050800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa02255…
06-10 00:08:33	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd2be94…
06-10 00:03:34	btc updown 5m 1781049900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7e373b…
06-09 23:58:36	btc updown 5m 1781049600	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd1bec1…
06-09 23:48:30	btc updown 5m 1781049000	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xac42b5…
06-09 23:28:37	btc updown 5m 1781047800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd5bbb4…
06-09 23:23:36	btc updown 5m 1781047500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc1c12e…
06-09 22:58:33	btc updown 5m 1781046000	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0af939…
06-09 22:38:31	btc updown 5m 1781044800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7e081b…
06-09 22:23:33	btc updown 5m 1781043900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd00f47…
06-09 22:18:31	btc updown 5m 1781043600	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2d0bbc…
06-09 22:03:36	btc updown 5m 1781042700	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2ec153…
06-09 21:43:36	btc updown 5m 1781041500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x13de16…
06-09 21:18:36	btc updown 5m 1781040000	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x346ecd…
06-09 21:13:33	btc updown 5m 1781039700	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcf1b4f…
06-09 20:33:31	btc updown 5m 1781037300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x982a6c…
06-09 20:08:30	btc updown 5m 1781035800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9723e9…
06-09 19:58:34	btc updown 5m 1781035200	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x081152…
06-09 19:38:31	btc updown 5m 1781034000	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x40f81f…
06-09 19:28:31	btc updown 5m 1781033400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd013ac…
06-09 19:08:36	btc updown 5m 1781032200	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0b02fd…
06-09 18:08:30	btc updown 5m 1781028600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2283c8…
06-09 17:38:31	btc updown 5m 1781026800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd7b24d…
06-09 16:53:39	btc updown 5m 1781024100	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x379b81…
06-09 16:28:34	btc updown 5m 1781022600	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf11878…
06-09 16:23:34	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0bc082…
06-09 15:43:34	btc updown 5m 1781019900	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x09e663…
06-09 13:58:33	btc updown 5m 1781013600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8fcf3d…
06-09 13:48:31	btc updown 5m 1781013000	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xea8ee6…
06-09 13:33:37	btc updown 5m 1781012100	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe16969…
06-09 13:03:37	btc updown 5m 1781010300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcef2c4…
06-09 12:13:33	btc updown 5m 1781007300	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe4ac19…
06-09 10:53:34	btc updown 5m 1781002500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x15ad2a…
06-09 10:48:39	btc updown 5m 1781002200	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x48cd60…
06-09 10:18:39	btc updown 5m 1781000400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x317666…
06-09 10:08:36	btc updown 5m 1780999800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf94e99…
06-09 10:03:37	btc updown 5m 1780999500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8925a8…
06-09 09:23:33	btc updown 5m 1780997100	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd24dd6…
05-29 04:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9bc055…
05-29 04:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe472d2…
05-29 04:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1f0f1e…
05-29 04:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2a10dc…
05-29 04:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x53771f…
05-29 04:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x292b84…
05-29 04:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6568c2…
05-29 03:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x244314…
05-29 03:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x17dbbc…
05-29 03:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb28ad4…
05-29 03:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x13a344…
05-29 03:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcf240e…
05-29 03:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1f0e42…
05-29 03:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xafbfed…
05-29 03:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7228e7…
05-29 02:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x57c9db…
05-29 02:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5ed60c…
05-29 02:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xff3be3…
05-29 02:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe09b76…
05-29 02:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2b0d5f…
05-29 02:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfd7e45…
05-29 02:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb6af13…
05-29 02:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x110856…
05-29 01:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7ef560…
05-29 01:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x33b113…
05-29 01:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8615f6…
05-29 01:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x029362…
05-29 01:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc63b12…
05-29 01:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x7357d5…
05-29 01:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4ca27f…
05-29 01:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbfc9bb…
05-29 01:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9e8174…
05-29 01:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbc4960…
05-29 01:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc60fc9…
05-29 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8289c2…
05-29 00:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9b1513…
05-29 00:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x496263…
05-29 00:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe0a960…
05-29 00:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x05839b…
05-29 00:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x73c438…
05-29 00:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcafc78…
05-29 00:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb79abf…
05-29 00:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x031005…
05-29 00:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x107079…
05-29 00:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xff2f0b…
05-29 00:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x884f11…
05-29 00:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc0c8d7…
05-29 00:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7bc86a…