Lumbering-Founding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-22 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

62% 100% +$0

Other

38% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes		+6	$1	10¢	$1	$-0	06-19 09:44
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes		+10	$1	3¢	$0	$-1	06-19 09:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	06-19 09:44
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1	12	+12	open	—	05-05 15:41
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	open	—	06-19 09:42
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	200	+200	open	—	06-22 11:44
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 15:20
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	1	$1	10	+10	open	—	06-19 09:40
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	05-06 06:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$1	333	+333	open	—	06-19 09:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	05-05 15:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	06-19 09:43
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	1	$1	20	+20	Yes	$-1	05-06 06:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$1	11	+11	open	—	06-19 09:43
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	06-19 09:47
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	7	+7	open	—	05-05 15:41
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	1	$1	10	+10	open	—	06-19 09:42
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	1	$1	7	+7	open	—	06-19 09:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$1	8	+8	open	—	05-06 06:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 15:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-05 15:45
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	$-1	05-06 06:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-05 15:45
Will "Obsession" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$1	10	+10	open	—	05-05 15:37
US bank failure by May 31?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-05 15:22
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	05-05 15:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 11:44:49	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2e3f72…
06-19 09:47:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa88d52…
06-19 09:46:14	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x453d2c…
06-19 09:44:52	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xab7356…
06-19 09:44:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x3d2d80…
06-19 09:43:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdcfe58…
06-19 09:43:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x613993…
06-19 09:42:37	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5329ad…
06-19 09:42:28	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xde13a0…
06-19 09:40:53	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2a9f1c…
05-06 06:41:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5bd08b…
05-06 06:39:14	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x33dabe…
05-06 06:37:12	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7a0b79…
05-06 06:21:44	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf0d0d9…
05-05 15:45:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8855cf…
05-05 15:45:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9cfe00…
05-05 15:41:46	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9e1a5d…
05-05 15:41:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x08f3e2…
05-05 15:38:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8dd6d3…
05-05 15:38:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x023976…
05-05 15:37:12	Will "Obsession" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9917fb…
05-05 15:22:28	US bank failure by May 31?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x14fdd4…
05-05 15:20:12	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xef1057…
05-05 15:20:02	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xddebb5…