Realized P&L
+$2.13K
Unrealized P&L
-$45
Hit rate
73.4%
Resolved
20
Trades
276
lifetime
Volume
$23.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$17.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 02:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Sports
44% 75% +$2,131
Other
32% — —
Politics
24% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +3,918 $3,770 96¢ $3.8K +$1 10-26 17:06
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +2,861 $2,726 96¢ $2.7K +$20 09-20 02:39
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,887 $1,833 98¢ $1.8K +$15 09-17 10:49
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,820 $1,785 99¢ $1.8K +$23 09-17 13:48
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,517 $1,478 97¢ $1.5K +$0 09-17 20:22
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,583 $1,348 85¢ $1.4K +$2 10-24 01:08
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +1,162 $1,089 96¢ $1.1K +$28 10-25 13:06
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +534 $474 88¢ $468 -$7 10-26 08:17
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +492 $476 94¢ $462 -$14 09-20 19:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +404 $335 100¢ $402 +$67 09-10 11:34
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,942 $296 15¢ $285 -$11 10-26 13:56
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +261 $254 99¢ $258 +$4 09-16 12:14
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +245 $242 100¢ $245 +$2 09-10 18:33
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +323 $239 74¢ $241 +$2 09-21 02:11
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +261 $240 92¢ $239 -$1 10-22 06:37
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +3,791 $158 4¢ $142 -$16 10-27 02:29
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +127 $122 97¢ $123 +$1 09-10 06:13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,861 $135 4¢ $116 -$19 09-21 02:55
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +323 $84 26¢ $82 -$2 09-18 13:39
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,661 $108 4¢ $64 -$44 10-25 14:55
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +391 $47 12¢ $49 +$2 10-26 21:27
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,887 $56 2¢ $39 -$17 09-15 23:27
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,517 $39 3¢ $39 -$1 09-15 21:00
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +492 $17 6¢ $30 +$13 09-18 01:12
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +261 $21 8¢ $22 +$1 10-21 21:49
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,820 $37 1¢ $12 -$26 09-21 03:01
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +127 $7 3¢ $4 -$3 09-10 15:27
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +257 $7 1¢ $3 -$4 09-13 17:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +404 $63 0¢ $2 -$61 09-10 07:59
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +245 $3 0¢ $0 -$2 09-10 06:18