Prize-Bunkhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$807

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-18 00:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

41% 100% +$2

Politics

37% — —

Sports

22% 0% $-20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	2	$136	72	72	+0	open	—	07-18 00:47
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$111	57	57	+0	open	—	04-06 12:53
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	1	$81	0	82	-82	open	—	06-04 10:17
russia coup attempt in 2026	2	$60	33	33	+0	open	—	07-18 00:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$51	57	0	+57	open	—	07-18 00:49
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$50	52	0	+52	Yes	+$2	04-06 12:55
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$43	56	56	+0	open	—	03-08 14:13
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	2	$40	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	03-08 14:12
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	1	$35	38	0	+38	open	—	03-08 14:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$32	65	65	+0	open	—	07-18 00:47
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	07-18 00:52
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	02-02 10:13
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$27	0	47	-47	Yes	$-20	01-21 10:03
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	1	$25	0	29	-29	open	—	06-04 10:17
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	03-08 14:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$16	0	19	-19	open	—	06-04 10:17
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	07-15 10:30
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	07-18 00:52
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	07-18 00:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 00:52:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3b08b7…
07-18 00:52:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2237e3…
07-18 00:52:15	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x4fd911…
07-18 00:49:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	57	90¢	$51	0x4cdbbb…
07-18 00:47:30	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	65	19¢	$12	0x2a7c28…
07-18 00:47:21	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0x804158…
07-18 00:47:10	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	72	95¢	$68	0x027be1…
07-15 10:30:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xfab92b…
06-04 10:21:30	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x90b218…
06-04 10:19:52	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	72	95¢	$68	0xa4b2a4…
06-04 10:19:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x9c2a02…
06-04 10:17:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	19	83¢	$16	0x7ed258…
06-04 10:17:45	Clavicular sentenced to prison?	No	SELL	29	84¢	$25	0xf734cb…
06-04 10:17:37	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x0e2fc0…
04-06 12:55:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x8cfcd1…
04-06 12:53:19	Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x85bd53…
03-08 14:16:59	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x1fba93…
03-08 14:14:31	Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x116098…
03-08 14:13:25	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xd4572b…
03-08 14:13:03	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	56	35¢	$20	0xce6353…
03-08 14:12:57	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0x706752…
02-02 10:14:18	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	56	41¢	$23	0x292994…
02-02 10:14:00	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xddc618…
02-02 10:13:16	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x6db807…
01-21 10:07:18	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0x3a9239…
01-21 10:03:42	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	47	58¢	$27	0x51da69…