Realized P&L (7d)
+$93
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
11
36 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$147
$352 lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$237
16 positions
First seen
2026-07-19
last 10-31 23:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
63% 50% +$106
Other
21% 0% -$10
Sports
15% 25% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +92 $70 78¢ $72 +$2 10-31 23:46
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,500 $11 2¢ $28 +$17 10-16 13:09
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +93 $20 30¢ $27 +$7 10-16 13:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $10 70¢ $14 +$4 10-16 13:20
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +59 $10 20¢ $11 +$1 10-29 15:47
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +625 $10 2¢ $11 +$1 09-10 13:05
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +67 $10 16¢ $10 +$0 10-28 14:28
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-16 13:21
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +1,714 $20 1¢ $9 -$11 10-16 13:15
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +85 $10 10¢ $9 -$1 10-28 14:28
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +56 $10 16¢ $9 -$1 10-28 14:27
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +22 $10 41¢ $9 -$1 10-16 13:11
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +598 $11 1¢ $6 -$5 10-16 13:11
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-20 13:58
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-20 13:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4 $1 42¢ $2 +$1 10-27 18:34