Realized P&L (30d)
+$80
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved (30d)
15
Trades (30d)
46
55 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$471
$556 lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$154
15 positions
First seen
2026-07-19
last 11-05 17:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
62% 56% +$108
Other
21% 0% -$10
Sports
17% 14% -$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +122 $25 30¢ $36 +$11 11-04 15:52
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,500 $11 2¢ $26 +$15 10-16 13:09
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +15 $15 98¢ $15 $0 11-03 16:37
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +625 $10 2¢ $10 +$0 09-10 13:05
Jaguars vs. Ravens Ravens +53 $10 20¢ $10 +$0 11-05 17:23
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +270 $10 3¢ $9 -$1 11-03 17:30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +22 $10 43¢ $9 -$1 10-16 13:11
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +85 $10 9¢ $8 -$2 10-28 14:28
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +67 $10 10¢ $6 -$4 10-28 14:28
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +56 $10 11¢ $6 -$4 10-28 14:27
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-20 13:57
Heat vs. Warriors Heat +16 $5 30¢ $5 $0 11-05 17:26
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +598 $11 1¢ $4 -$7 10-16 13:11
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +67 $10 3¢ $2 -$8 11-04 13:47
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +66 $10 3¢ $2 -$8 11-04 13:48