Realized P&L (90d)
+$95
Unrealized P&L
-$34
Hit rate
78.2%
Resolved (90d)
13
Trades (90d)
52
53 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$536
$541 lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$133
14 positions
First seen
2026-07-19
last 11-04 15:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
64% 62% +$128
Other
22% 0% -$10
Sports
15% 25% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,500 $11 2¢ $26 +$15 10-16 13:09
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +122 $25 16¢ $19 -$6 11-04 15:52
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +15 $15 98¢ $15 $0 11-03 16:37
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +625 $10 2¢ $10 +$0 09-10 13:05
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +270 $10 3¢ $9 -$1 11-03 17:30
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +85 $10 10¢ $9 -$1 10-28 14:28
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +22 $10 40¢ $9 -$1 10-16 13:11
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +67 $10 12¢ $8 -$2 10-28 14:28
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +56 $10 12¢ $7 -$3 10-28 14:27
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-20 13:57
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +66 $10 8¢ $5 -$5 11-04 13:48
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +67 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 11-04 13:47
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +1,714 $20 0¢ $3 -$17 10-16 13:15
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +598 $11 1¢ $3 -$8 10-16 13:11