Secret-Buying — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

38 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$206

$5.61K lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-15 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

49% 93% +$12

Crypto

34% 100% +$5

Politics

14% 67% -$58

Tech

3% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$731	366	366	+0	No	+$0	02-25 04:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$529	314	314	+0	Yes	-$59	06-15 02:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$445	302	145	+157	No	+$2	05-24 06:30
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	1	$350	350	0	+350	No	+$0	02-25 04:49
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	1	$275	276	0	+276	No	+$1	04-20 06:19
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$244	246	0	+246	No	+$2	03-11 11:14
netanyahu out by july 31	1	$210	211	0	+211	No	+$1	07-07 09:49
will bnb dip to 200 in august	1	$210	211	0	+211	No	+$1	08-03 08:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$202	203	0	+203	No	+$1	07-07 09:50
bitcoin above 68k on august 4 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	08-03 08:17
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in january 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-08 10:00
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$173	174	0	+174	No	+$1	05-15 05:46
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	05-24 06:31
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$150	151	0	+151	No	+$1	01-08 09:59
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$141	73	73	+0	Yes	+$1	06-18 14:30
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	06-25 06:21
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$132	133	0	+133	No	+$1	06-09 10:38
will bitcoin reach 106k january 5 11	1	$125	126	0	+126	No	+$1	01-08 09:58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	1	$122	122	0	+122	No	+$0	04-08 05:45
will elon musk be richest person on march 31	1	$120	121	0	+121	Yes	+$1	03-17 08:26
solana above 70 on april 8	1	$120	120	0	+120	Yes	+$0	04-08 05:47
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	1	$113	113	0	+113	No	+$0	04-08 05:46
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	06-14 13:05
will the us confirm that aliens exist by october 31 396	1	$104	105	0	+105	No	+$1	10-15 08:56
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	02-07 12:12
cz binance of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 80 99	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	04-20 06:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	09-18 13:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	09-18 13:30
will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-17 08:25
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 115 139	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	01-24 04:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 08:56:46	will the us confirm that aliens exist by october 31 396	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x517148…
09-18 13:30:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xa4ff4c…
09-18 13:30:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xd9a1e5…
08-03 08:17:35	bitcoin above 68k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x3a69b8…
08-03 08:15:51	will bnb dip to 200 in august	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0xda743a…
07-07 09:50:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$202	0x0dc6d6…
07-07 09:49:22	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	211	99¢	$210	0x036212…
06-25 06:21:37	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x56536f…
06-18 14:30:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	73	98¢	$71	0x8ddcb7…
06-15 02:01:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	89	19¢	$17	0x5ca5df…
06-14 13:05:12	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xcd58a1…
06-14 13:01:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	89	90¢	$80	0xe356bf…
06-10 19:52:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	225	97¢	$219	0x452262…
06-09 10:41:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	225	95¢	$214	0x8b7ddd…
06-09 10:40:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x4e1978…
06-09 10:38:49	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x2676f8…
05-24 06:31:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x655b45…
05-24 06:30:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x00895c…
05-15 05:53:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0xb655b6…
05-15 05:46:44	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x272bce…
04-20 06:19:34	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	276	100¢	$275	0xa83e5c…
04-20 06:18:18	cz binance of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 80 99	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xf04262…
04-08 05:47:03	solana above 70 on april 8	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x8ad599…
04-08 05:46:05	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xad0f50…
04-08 05:45:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xb462ee…
03-17 08:26:13	will elon musk be richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x9f15b9…
03-17 08:25:25	will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xc7575f…
03-11 11:14:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	246	99¢	$244	0x0a187d…
02-25 04:49:22	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	350	100¢	$350	0x82fa03…
02-25 04:48:40	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	366	100¢	$366	0xbac86c…
02-07 12:12:23	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xd9f138…
02-07 11:27:55	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x65cb87…
02-07 11:14:07	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xdf7c7f…
02-07 11:13:41	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	366	100¢	$366	0xa723b7…
01-24 04:43:24	elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 115 139	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4493b3…
01-08 10:00:13	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in january 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc31319…
01-08 09:59:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x1a5334…
01-08 09:58:47	will bitcoin reach 106k january 5 11	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x55ec89…