Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

148

Trades

937

lifetime

Volume

$362.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$387

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-18

last 10-19 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 64% +$287

Politics

33% 64% -$6,305

Other

26% 56% +$1,075

Sports

2% 100% +$770

Tech

1% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	6	$25.5K	16,824	9,320	+7,504	Yes	+$162	10-14 18:09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	14	$19.9K	10,209	10,209	+0	Yes	+$509	10-18 21:07
Fed rate hike in 2026?	31	$18.8K	15,500	15,500	+0	Yes	-$460	08-04 19:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	7	$17.8K	9,097	9,097	+0	Yes	+$236	10-12 18:04
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	12	$17.6K	14,746	14,746	+0	open	—	10-14 17:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	9	$17.3K	11,197	11,197	-0	Yes	-$97	07-01 16:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	5	$17.1K	8,596	8,596	-0	Yes	+$8	10-18 18:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	33	$15.7K	15,120	15,120	+0	Yes	-$6,978	10-19 16:41
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 1 Sevilla FC?	2	$13.8K	7,000	7,000	+0	No	+$98	10-18 20:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	5	$11.7K	5,858	5,858	+0	Yes	+$13	10-10 05:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	15	$9.2K	9,439	0	+9,439	Yes	+$237	10-17 04:04
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?	12	$9.0K	9,026	0	+9,026	No	+$42	10-12 18:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	8	$8.4K	4,188	4,188	+0	Yes	+$15	10-08 16:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 10?	5	$7.3K	3,658	3,658	+0	No	-$28	10-10 06:36
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 10?	6	$6.7K	6,728	0	+6,728	No	+$20	10-10 20:19
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	19	$6.3K	3,639	3,639	+0	open	—	08-20 18:54
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$5.7K	24,589	24,589	+0	Yes	+$770	07-03 16:19
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 7?	5	$5.7K	5,961	0	+5,961	No	+$248	10-07 19:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 10?	10	$4.5K	4,611	0	+4,611	No	+$64	10-10 06:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$4.3K	2,600	2,600	+0	No	-$13	06-30 16:38
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	2	$3.8K	2,350	2,350	+0	open	—	10-14 15:46
Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	7	$3.7K	3,787	0	+3,787	No	+$86	10-08 18:03
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	9	$3.7K	2,719	2,719	+0	Yes	-$228	07-22 15:15
will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	12	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$27	06-20 09:31
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 0 Sevilla FC?	2	$3.0K	1,540	1,540	+0	No	+$29	10-18 20:17
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	3	$3.0K	5,500	5,500	+0	No	+$393	07-26 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	30	$3.0K	3,123	0	+3,123	Down	+$123	10-19 16:23
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	8	$2.7K	1,448	1,448	+0	open	—	06-20 09:31
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	4	$2.6K	7,546	7,546	+0	open	—	10-19 16:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	2	$2.5K	2,480	0	+2,480	Yes	+$23	10-16 04:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2c58ba…
10-19 16:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xfe5405…
10-19 16:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x264854…
10-19 16:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x1af328…
10-19 16:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x63929f…
10-19 16:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x3e3b9f…
10-19 16:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x6ff60f…
10-19 16:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x0dd7e5…
10-19 16:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x24b831…
10-19 16:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xa104f8…
10-19 16:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x121d43…
10-19 16:41:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	2,164	72¢	$1,566	0x85bae2…
10-19 16:32:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x81cbea…
10-19 16:31:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	553	80¢	$442	0xdf9cb3…
10-19 16:31:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,099	80¢	$879	0x35f840…
10-19 16:31:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x2a2056…
10-19 16:31:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	65	80¢	$52	0x48f947…
10-19 16:31:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	206	80¢	$165	0x7e89f4…
10-19 16:31:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	65	80¢	$52	0xe2eafe…
10-19 16:31:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	74	78¢	$58	0x0a89a8…
10-19 16:31:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$32	0xa85799…
10-19 16:31:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	39	78¢	$31	0xf0f52c…
10-19 16:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x6a75c8…
10-19 16:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x5a0a85…
10-19 16:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x2080be…
10-19 16:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x5ed901…
10-19 16:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xeeccbf…
10-19 16:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x80ebb4…
10-19 16:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7a58b0…
10-19 16:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5c3a0b…
10-19 16:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x66f695…
10-19 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x231b47…
10-19 16:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xce5642…
10-19 16:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x717c09…
10-19 16:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9f684d…
10-19 16:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6fa193…
10-19 16:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8c49e1…
10-19 16:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd84491…
10-19 16:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x72d211…
10-19 16:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x24078c…
10-19 16:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x73e606…
10-19 16:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x80a8fc…
10-19 16:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x34f8a3…
10-19 16:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x8bacc1…
10-19 16:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x31b5eb…
10-19 16:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x48c6b6…
10-19 16:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x353bbb…
10-19 16:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x8251ae…
10-19 16:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x766bc0…
10-19 16:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x1a7d98…
10-19 16:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x30b112…
10-19 16:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xa70ab2…
10-19 16:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x5cf9e2…
10-19 16:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x40931a…
10-19 16:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xfb9e86…
10-19 16:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x6e110f…
10-19 16:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x7643db…
10-19 16:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	242	47¢	$114	0x83c6c7…
10-19 16:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0x6f815d…
10-19 16:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xcd592e…
10-19 16:09:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	900	60¢	$543	0x08d74b…
10-19 16:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe1d208…
10-19 16:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2153cb…
10-19 16:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3046c2…
10-19 16:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xf46f13…
10-19 16:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xb44c97…
10-19 16:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x71d2cb…
10-19 16:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x5bf9a5…
10-19 16:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0xdbfdf9…
10-19 16:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x1f6321…
10-19 16:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x9db78a…
10-19 16:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x3d3f3d…
10-19 16:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x0608e3…
10-19 16:08:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	1,480	61¢	$906	0x5cd4ca…
10-19 16:07:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	7,546	15¢	$1,132	0x52fd70…
10-19 16:07:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	900	74¢	$663	0xfbef38…
10-19 16:07:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	1,902	8¢	$154	0xf3f353…
10-19 16:07:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	5,717	11¢	$629	0x67dc0d…
10-19 16:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x93bf89…
10-19 16:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x9c1279…
10-19 16:03:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	3,187	63¢	$2,002	0x52e4ab…
10-19 16:03:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8ade0d…
10-19 16:02:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1f1f93…
10-19 16:02:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x38f3cb…
10-19 16:01:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	4,156	62¢	$2,556	0x80a56c…
10-19 16:01:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	75	62¢	$46	0x2a5396…
10-19 16:01:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfa76de…
10-19 16:01:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x68820d…
10-19 16:01:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd2085c…
10-19 16:01:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb2a6cd…
10-19 16:01:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x77e283…
10-19 16:01:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x1134c7…
10-19 16:01:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x06eebc…
10-19 15:58:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	4,437	33¢	$1,464	0x9d5ee1…
10-19 15:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x24861f…
10-19 15:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdefe44…
10-19 15:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x71cee3…
10-19 15:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc94ad6…
10-19 15:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe31cd9…
10-19 15:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xa17031…