Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$867

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

$125

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 05:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

57% 35% +$891

Politics

42% 33% -$23

Sports

1% 50% +$5

Crypto

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,040	$55	3¢	$35	-$20	10-13 20:37
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+4,375	$35	1¢	$28	-$7	10-22 20:30
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	-625	-$50	4¢	$-24	+$26	05-06 09:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	-962	-$56	2¢	$-19	+$37	05-06 09:12
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+105	$21	18¢	$18	-$3	10-13 20:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us anti cartel strikeoperation on foreign soil by january 31 2026	8	$1.7K	1,103	1,103	+0	Yes	+$424	01-03 09:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$1.4K	1,977	1,000	+977	Yes	+$435	03-25 21:45
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$790	1,024	1,024	+0	No	+$196	03-09 16:26
aus ade ccm 2026 01 04 ccm	2	$778	397	397	+0	Yes	+$15	01-04 11:00
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	4	$720	564	564	+0	Yes	+$332	02-28 07:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	3	$474	300	300	+0	Yes	+$124	03-07 04:45
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$472	499	499	+0	Yes	-$7	03-05 09:06
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$443	308	308	+0	Yes	+$43	03-07 10:13
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	5	$440	653	653	+0	Yes	+$120	02-28 07:38
will donald trump say maria or corina or machado during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday	2	$410	606	0	+606	No	-$410	01-03 17:21
cl up or down on march 9 2026	2	$378	300	300	+0	Up	+$204	03-08 23:53
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	3	$344	307	307	+0	Yes	+$268	02-28 08:38
lal rso mad 2026 01 04 mad	3	$332	394	250	+144	No	-$77	01-04 18:13
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$286	1,940	1,940	+0	open	—	05-22 22:37
Iran leadership change by April 30?	1	$260	700	0	+700	No	-$260	03-18 10:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$250	526	0	+526	Yes	-$250	04-08 09:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$226	818	555	+263	No	+$6	01-14 20:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$212	1,270	1,270	+0	Yes	-$16	03-01 18:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$209	543	543	+0	Yes	+$9	01-06 12:05
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	1	$201	515	0	+515	Yes	+$314	04-28 15:48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	16	$188	385	385	+0	Yes	+$1	02-05 13:33
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$181	614	614	+0	No	-$19	01-03 09:42
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$176	405	405	+0	No	-$34	03-09 16:19
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	3	$162	524	524	+0	No	-$68	03-13 13:31
epl lee mun 2026 01 04 btts	2	$136	86	86	+0	Yes	+$36	01-04 15:43
lal cel val 2026 01 03 cel	2	$118	70	70	+0	Yes	+$18	01-03 14:27
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	2	$92	204	204	+0	No	-$2	03-07 06:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$90	200	0	+200	No	-$90	05-23 14:35
epl lee mun 2026 01 04 mun	2	$86	229	0	+229	No	-$86	01-04 12:41
us anti cartel operation on foreign soil by december 31	5	$74	39,823	0	+39,823	Yes	-$74	01-01 23:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 05:32:53	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,308	1¢	$11	0xa6258c…
10-25 05:32:41	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	417	0¢	$2	0xf33a78…
10-22 20:30:38	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,375	1¢	$35	0x8d0462…
10-13 21:20:36	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	417	3¢	$12	0xac2e96…
10-13 20:42:21	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	105	20¢	$21	0x24cb05…
10-13 20:37:27	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,040	5¢	$55	0x27af09…
10-13 20:34:09	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	714	2¢	$15	0x0b627f…
10-13 20:28:01	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	593	1¢	$7	0x087c13…
05-23 14:35:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x879428…
05-22 22:37:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,940	5¢	$101	0x34bf34…
05-12 14:41:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	9¢	$36	0x0ef626…
05-08 05:35:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,540	10¢	$149	0x91bdcb…
05-06 22:16:05	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0xc199e2…
05-06 09:12:36	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	625	8¢	$50	0x7f0519…
05-06 09:12:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	962	6¢	$56	0x3af088…
05-06 09:12:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	738	4¢	$26	0x952f60…
05-06 09:12:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	834	7¢	$60	0x797b8b…
04-29 17:36:26	Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0xefdce5…
04-28 15:48:10	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	515	39¢	$201	0x09a65c…
04-08 09:36:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	526	47¢	$250	0x5cb2b8…
03-27 08:22:37	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	226	15¢	$33	0x78a99d…
03-25 21:45:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	977	50¢	$488	0x41518d…
03-24 01:56:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	1,000	45¢	$446	0x5246c4…
03-23 19:40:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xcb56e9…
03-22 22:33:11	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	226	18¢	$40	0xe472a6…
03-22 09:25:33	hillary clinton charged by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,072	1¢	$8	0xb47708…
03-19 19:36:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	1,034	2¢	$20	0x8972ce…
03-19 14:04:57	will trump post ayatollah or khamenei on truth social this week	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x644552…
03-18 10:38:01	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	700	37¢	$260	0x0126cb…
03-17 17:24:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	1,034	3¢	$30	0x940d5e…
03-16 08:44:15	will trump post ayatollah or khamenei on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xc3cdbe…
03-13 13:31:21	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	524	9¢	$47	0x083b8a…
03-12 21:51:01	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xe331e4…
03-09 16:26:39	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	1,024	48¢	$493	0x4050db…
03-09 16:19:09	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	405	18¢	$71	0x64bcca…
03-08 23:53:45	cl up or down on march 9 2026	Up	SELL	300	97¢	$291	0x8795d1…
03-08 22:57:45	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	405	26¢	$105	0x38f4ef…
03-08 04:37:17	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	457	46¢	$210	0x8f1775…
03-07 10:13:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	308	79¢	$243	0xfbbc42…
03-07 07:59:31	cl up or down on march 9 2026	Up	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0x628840…
03-07 06:57:33	Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	204	22¢	$45	0x97c7b6…
03-07 04:45:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x4c0f6c…
03-06 15:34:23	Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	204	23¢	$47	0x3430c3…
03-06 14:38:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0xa96c5b…
03-06 11:52:31	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	198	25¢	$50	0x65febf…
03-05 20:13:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x52a87c…
03-05 16:06:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	252	60¢	$150	0x513a0a…
03-05 09:06:17	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	499	47¢	$233	0x303421…
03-05 07:35:51	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	499	48¢	$239	0xbcbbef…
03-05 07:28:35	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	370	10¢	$37	0xd56e23…
03-04 18:19:51	will leavitt say iran during the next white house press briefing	No	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0xc4d086…
03-04 18:19:49	will leavitt say iran during the next white house press briefing	No	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x983044…
03-04 18:17:49	will leavitt say ai or artificial intelligence during the next white house press briefing 969	Yes	BUY	35	67¢	$23	0x99a511…
03-03 19:53:11	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	374	27¢	$100	0x0b4881…
03-01 18:36:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0xf1de74…
03-01 00:16:29	will iran strike israel in march	No	SELL	169	2¢	$3	0x671a5e…
02-28 22:34:11	will iran strike israel in march	No	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0x0fd207…
02-28 22:33:45	will iran strike israel in march	No	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0xd47bbc…
02-28 21:54:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xd05438…
02-28 16:49:25	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xccfa9a…
02-28 16:35:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x49d5c1…
02-28 16:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdd6638…
02-28 16:32:35	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	Yes	SELL	221	0¢	$0	0x444c35…
02-28 16:32:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	433	10¢	$42	0xf3af7e…
02-28 16:18:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xe39dd5…
02-28 16:17:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x25efac…
02-28 16:17:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa53ad6…
02-28 15:08:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	114	27¢	$31	0x8652be…
02-28 13:24:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	114	10¢	$12	0x491801…
02-28 08:38:37	will the us next strike iran on march 2 2026 et	Yes	SELL	353	0¢	$1	0xe26117…
02-28 08:38:21	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	307	100¢	$306	0xf7fe9f…
02-28 08:38:09	will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et	Yes	SELL	395	0¢	$1	0x7745a7…
02-28 07:39:07	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	504	100¢	$503	0x205943…
02-28 07:38:53	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0xfe04c2…
02-28 06:58:19	will the us next strike iran on march 3 2026 et	Yes	SELL	277	0¢	$1	0x33ef06…
02-28 06:24:57	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	SELL	231	0¢	$0	0xfcde77…
02-27 14:13:19	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	BUY	231	10¢	$23	0xda8345…
02-27 14:13:03	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	38¢	$23	0xf27eda…
02-27 13:38:23	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	39¢	$94	0xa79ca1…
02-27 13:23:59	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x53eb89…
02-27 13:23:31	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	159	13¢	$20	0xb25dca…
02-27 13:22:37	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	147	12¢	$18	0x2de915…
02-27 13:22:13	will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et	Yes	BUY	132	8¢	$10	0xac67da…
02-27 13:22:03	will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et	Yes	BUY	264	8¢	$20	0x241761…
02-24 22:00:00	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	Yes	BUY	221	3¢	$7	0x5597f8…
02-24 21:59:48	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	Yes	BUY	220	4¢	$8	0x842f5c…
02-24 21:59:26	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	Yes	BUY	403	2¢	$10	0xcffbe7…
02-23 18:18:52	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x5be75c…
02-23 18:18:26	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0x0785bb…
02-23 18:18:12	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x74311d…
02-19 19:26:32	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1,075	6¢	$68	0x23eedb…
02-19 10:55:04	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0xcf33d9…
02-18 17:52:12	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	187	11¢	$20	0xd36425…
02-18 17:09:44	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x3d2e06…
02-18 17:08:38	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,075	9¢	$100	0xd5cadd…
02-05 13:33:29	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	Yes	SELL	194	3¢	$6	0xb35a04…
02-05 13:33:15	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	185	23¢	$43	0xeb600a…
02-05 13:33:03	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	SELL	135	2¢	$2	0xfea994…
02-05 13:32:25	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	455	18¢	$82	0xa269c1…
02-04 18:40:13	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	Yes	BUY	194	4¢	$7	0xf592ad…