Troubled-Skullduggery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.17K

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

289

Trades

2,152

lifetime

Volume

$186.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$11.0K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 58% -$1,531

Other

3% 57% -$82

Politics

3% 75% +$140

Tech

0% 100% +$57

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	+4,057	$3,439	99¢	$4.0K	+$564	10-24 16:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	+2,847	$2,113	97¢	$2.8K	+$649	10-28 18:13
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	+2,038	$1,279	99¢	$2.0K	+$748	10-28 19:21
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	+1,435	$1,076	86¢	$1.2K	+$165	10-24 17:07
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	+830	$764	97¢	$807	+$44	10-24 17:05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+300	$195	66¢	$200	+$4	10-26 00:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	8	$9.1K	5,186	5,186	+0	No	+$929	08-25 03:57
will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	40	$7.0K	4,005	4,005	+0	No	+$905	09-29 15:29
will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	19	$5.2K	2,912	2,912	+0	No	+$522	08-18 22:40
will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in october 2026	8	$5.0K	2,733	2,733	+0	open	—	10-24 16:13
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	7	$4.8K	2,875	2,875	+0	No	+$188	09-29 15:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	13	$4.7K	2,632	2,632	+0	No	+$491	09-22 16:06
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	26	$4.7K	2,954	2,754	+200	No	+$486	02-11 16:45
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 18	15	$4.3K	2,313	2,313	+0	No	+$232	09-29 16:31
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	13	$4.2K	2,277	2,277	+0	No	+$270	09-28 06:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	7	$4.1K	2,170	2,170	+0	open	—	10-24 16:13
will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	10	$3.8K	2,275	2,275	+0	No	+$697	09-30 04:07
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	13	$3.7K	2,229	2,229	+0	No	+$567	07-28 10:12
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	17	$3.7K	2,154	2,154	+0	No	+$540	07-27 01:16
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	16	$3.7K	3,266	1,228	+2,038	open	—	10-28 19:21
will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	9	$3.5K	2,055	2,055	+0	No	+$267	09-29 15:45
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	32	$3.4K	2,136	2,136	+0	No	+$294	07-29 18:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	11	$3.4K	4,057	0	+4,057	open	—	10-24 16:51
will bitcoin dip to 65k in august 2026 from august 19	31	$3.4K	1,964	1,964	+0	No	+$511	08-28 10:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	4	$2.9K	1,522	1,522	+0	open	—	10-28 12:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	65	$2.8K	3,197	350	+2,847	open	—	10-28 18:13
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	8	$2.7K	2,521	1,121	+1,400	No	+$200	07-26 19:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	13	$2.6K	1,700	1,700	+0	Yes	-$10	01-25 19:34
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	8	$2.5K	1,330	1,330	+0	No	+$97	09-28 09:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	17	$2.3K	1,220	1,220	+0	No	+$85	09-21 19:18
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	10	$2.3K	1,350	1,350	-0	No	+$237	02-11 00:11
will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	3	$2.3K	3,457	0	+3,457	Yes	-$2,326	08-21 08:02
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	9	$2.3K	1,329	1,329	+0	No	+$326	07-27 11:02
will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	7	$2.3K	1,260	1,260	+0	No	+$236	09-30 11:44
will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	19	$2.1K	2,474	260	+2,214	Yes	-$1,629	08-15 11:08
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	5	$2.1K	2,541	0	+2,541	Yes	-$2,102	08-19 23:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:21:11	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	389	100¢	$387	0x53ab50…
10-28 18:13:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	330	96¢	$317	0x420fb5…
10-28 18:08:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x11fbda…
10-28 17:25:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	225	4¢	$9	0x42620d…
10-28 16:13:52	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x93a4b4…
10-28 16:05:55	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	224	99¢	$223	0xe3ad28…
10-28 12:01:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	SELL	1,522	99¢	$1,513	0xccf082…
10-26 00:13:30	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	124	65¢	$81	0x5fe16e…
10-26 00:03:50	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	156	65¢	$101	0xb078b6…
10-26 00:01:05	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0x02be78…
10-25 23:52:33	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xd2513f…
10-24 17:07:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	735	75¢	$551	0xee20c0…
10-24 17:05:33	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	830	92¢	$764	0x0ccb49…
10-24 16:56:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	700	75¢	$525	0x5bb06d…
10-24 16:51:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	660	91¢	$603	0x48015d…
10-24 16:14:27	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	599	99¢	$591	0x131fde…
10-24 16:13:54	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	SELL	2,733	99¢	$2,700	0x68c8a3…
10-24 16:13:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	1,470	99¢	$1,455	0x3d603f…
10-24 16:03:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0x657587…
10-21 20:42:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x538911…
10-17 02:35:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	700	99¢	$692	0x7384c7…
10-06 11:42:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0x3b267b…
10-05 03:55:31	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xe6d329…
10-02 18:39:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0x43747f…
10-02 17:52:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x454f42…
10-02 17:32:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd3cd37…
10-02 17:24:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0x6bad7b…
10-02 16:23:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x43df50…
10-02 04:22:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	731	93¢	$678	0x4dcf89…
10-02 04:00:48	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0xccc430…
10-02 03:35:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	656	87¢	$571	0xe47e64…
10-02 03:02:23	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	576	85¢	$490	0x3acf09…
10-02 03:01:54	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x8d666c…
10-02 03:01:54	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x2bc621…
10-02 03:01:53	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x0a5067…
10-02 02:51:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	BUY	610	90¢	$549	0x101d3a…
10-02 02:49:45	will bitcoin reach 95k in october 2026	No	BUY	513	77¢	$395	0x094935…
10-02 01:41:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	12	76¢	$10	0x9c4a09…
10-02 00:56:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x6be2f9…
10-02 00:30:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0xcd95df…
10-02 00:16:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	220	77¢	$169	0x9d1256…
10-02 00:06:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x4e345c…
10-02 00:06:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x33328b…
10-02 00:05:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xc272f8…
10-02 00:05:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x75d1a8…
10-02 00:05:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xc8a04a…
10-02 00:05:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x953964…
10-02 00:04:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x36dd52…
10-02 00:04:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x607e6f…
10-02 00:04:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xcda934…
10-02 00:04:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x353769…
10-02 00:04:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x97292b…
10-02 00:03:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x53e7f7…
10-02 00:03:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x7b234c…
10-02 00:03:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x785045…
10-02 00:02:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xad29ae…
10-02 00:02:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xfbbb95…
10-02 00:02:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x9daaa8…
10-02 00:02:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x249c7c…
10-02 00:01:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x1cdb10…
10-02 00:01:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x028675…
10-02 00:01:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xa31f0b…
10-02 00:01:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x2d60d8…
10-01 21:52:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	BUY	630	91¢	$573	0x3395f8…
10-01 20:12:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0x8b8aa5…
10-01 20:12:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x4105ab…
10-01 20:10:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	46	77¢	$36	0xef5f35…
10-01 20:10:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x872771…
10-01 20:10:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0xe14a60…
10-01 20:10:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x694356…
10-01 20:10:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0xe64568…
10-01 20:09:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x3eef64…
10-01 20:09:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0xdb0175…
10-01 20:09:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x462b89…
10-01 20:09:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x34030d…
10-01 20:09:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x1dc780…
10-01 20:09:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x81c6ac…
10-01 20:08:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x7e5035…
10-01 20:08:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0xe40249…
10-01 20:08:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x875de7…
10-01 20:08:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x47c0e3…
10-01 20:07:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0xd38d23…
10-01 20:07:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x40c33b…
10-01 20:07:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0xff7019…
10-01 20:07:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x82a3c5…
10-01 20:07:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	41	77¢	$31	0x8d49bf…
10-01 20:06:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x7cebfe…
10-01 20:06:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0xf582a1…
10-01 20:06:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0xd20f9b…
10-01 20:06:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x1dd394…
10-01 20:05:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x3dbf53…
10-01 20:05:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x21530d…
10-01 20:05:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0xb70dc2…
10-01 20:05:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x2b02b5…
10-01 19:59:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0xb0c239…
10-01 19:44:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	192	77¢	$148	0xa30991…
10-01 19:42:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	731	91¢	$665	0xdc93f1…
10-01 18:20:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x9f672c…
10-01 18:16:41	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x412102…
10-01 18:12:57	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x657a8a…