Humble-Formamide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-02 11:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 100% +$1

Other

19% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	2	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	05-10 03:58
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-21 08:16
highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 17c	2	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-14 20:55
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-20 10:18
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-12 06:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	05-01 10:58
bitcoin above 82k on april 21	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-20 10:21
will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	2	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	01-26 11:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-26 18:26
will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-12 17:35
ethereum above 2500 on april 17	2	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-17 03:50
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-27 04:08
bitcoin above 70k on april 22	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-21 16:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-03 10:57
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 26c	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-23 07:06
will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-24 01:21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	05-25 15:45
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 27-May 3?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-01 13:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	05-07 13:04
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	01-24 12:05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-02 03:12
will giovanni mpetshi perricard win the 2026 australian open	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	01-16 00:29
bitcoin above 84k on april 24	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-23 15:37
Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	04-20 10:22
bitcoin above 78k on april 14	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-14 14:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-27 03:08
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-23 06:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	05-08 04:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	05-09 06:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-19 04:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 11:42:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf37aab…
06-01 17:10:51	Will Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3d69f0…
05-31 14:17:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2ee396…
05-30 18:51:58	Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2a1904…
05-29 14:30:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6c533b…
05-27 03:08:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x16a408…
05-26 05:28:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc1a4ad…
05-25 15:45:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xd92e64…
05-23 06:24:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x0793cf…
05-23 03:37:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9238d5…
05-22 01:21:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb4ada5…
05-21 10:24:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x5041fd…
05-20 16:29:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x51429b…
05-19 21:04:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x271723…
05-19 04:14:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x5e7374…
05-17 11:25:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xa96b2a…
05-12 06:26:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe39eed…
05-11 13:57:05	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbaebc5…
05-10 19:04:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3fd7ac…
05-10 03:58:57	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xab97eb…
05-10 00:50:11	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x18283e…
05-09 06:43:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xd56746…
05-08 19:12:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x5ece8e…
05-08 04:53:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xb7ff64…
05-07 13:04:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2fb99b…
05-06 08:27:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd5979a…
05-04 08:56:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x33e9fa…
05-03 10:57:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc68f1f…
05-03 09:08:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb136f3…
05-02 03:12:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc1188b…
05-01 13:22:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x47ae96…
05-01 10:58:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xf90367…
04-30 12:27:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x3d48ea…
04-29 03:55:54	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x426dc7…
04-28 17:48:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9d011c…
04-27 11:50:30	Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x229fac…
04-27 04:08:30	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdae9bf…
04-26 18:26:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x11a1e3…
04-26 13:15:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 20-26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74c80c…
04-25 13:30:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7507b8…
04-25 00:56:30	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa0fad8…
04-24 08:17:18	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4b84b7…
04-24 01:21:48	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5758a5…
04-23 15:37:34	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x547283…
04-23 07:06:28	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 26c	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1e43b9…
04-22 09:52:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5145a0…
04-22 06:51:46	bitcoin above 68k on april 24	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9cc88e…
04-21 16:30:48	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xf18de9…
04-21 08:16:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x395d3b…
04-20 10:22:14	Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa6ee36…
04-20 10:21:02	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xf088f3…
04-20 10:18:32	Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x38a83f…
04-20 09:04:06	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa08893…
04-18 20:19:38	bitcoin above 86k on april 21	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2b9bb8…
04-18 06:48:08	Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x404a68…
04-18 05:54:18	will ethereum reach 2900 april 13 19	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x04ba3e…
04-17 03:50:12	ethereum above 2500 on april 17	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x69fca0…
04-17 03:11:10	ethereum above 2500 on april 17	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6ffb14…
04-16 15:27:26	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdbe934…
04-16 09:54:52	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xac596d…
04-14 20:55:22	highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 17c	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa55213…
04-14 14:04:41	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x8439f4…
04-14 10:49:27	highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 17c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x19b23d…
04-13 23:12:59	bitcoin above 64k on april 16	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8730ab…
04-12 17:35:27	will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x826f1d…
04-12 01:49:43	will jake knapp win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfef4e4…
02-15 09:04:01	Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4f864e…
01-30 08:38:08	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa89ca2…
01-26 11:52:15	will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe5f334…
01-24 12:05:28	will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x32b0d3…
01-20 04:20:58	will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x373c12…
01-16 00:29:28	will giovanni mpetshi perricard win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x069b7f…
01-01 02:59:49	will trump sell 0 gold cards in 2025	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdac604…