Serpentine-Eyelash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

551

lifetime

Volume

$7.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-24 03:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

49% — —

Crypto

35% 56% $-42

Other

13% 0% $-4

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	26	$627	726	726	+0	open	—	04-21 15:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	32	$558	719	719	+0	open	—	04-23 12:52
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	28	$412	590	590	+0	open	—	04-23 21:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	28	$387	457	457	+0	open	—	04-21 19:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	20	$378	551	551	+0	open	—	04-23 10:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	16	$320	476	476	+0	open	—	04-23 21:34
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	16	$286	268	268	+0	open	—	04-22 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	6	$256	472	153	+319	open	—	05-24 03:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	12	$239	542	542	+0	open	—	04-23 10:15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$217	121	121	+0	open	—	04-29 05:14
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	10	$217	231	231	+0	open	—	04-12 23:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	14	$158	220	117	+103	Up	+$3	05-09 01:08
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$150	291	0	+291	open	—	04-29 05:16
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	12	$144	205	196	+9	open	—	04-22 02:50
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	4	$102	137	137	+0	open	—	04-21 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$101	370	0	+370	open	—	05-24 03:46
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	4	$101	81	80	+0	open	—	04-21 22:49
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	10	$97	188	188	+0	open	—	04-19 16:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$92	64	64	+0	open	—	04-21 09:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	4	$88	84	84	+0	open	—	05-01 04:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	4	$86	115	115	+0	open	—	04-23 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$84	60	60	+0	open	—	05-24 03:42
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	12	$81	224	224	+0	open	—	04-16 19:33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	6	$75	200	200	+0	open	—	04-20 12:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	6	$71	59	59	+0	open	—	05-02 03:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	7	$70	58	58	+0	open	—	05-02 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	5	$70	77	74	+3	open	—	04-26 19:21
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$67	72	72	+0	open	—	04-26 20:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	4	$61	81	81	+0	open	—	04-19 21:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$58	48	48	+0	open	—	05-02 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 03:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xe59d1c…
05-24 03:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x208549…
05-24 03:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	60	61¢	$36	0x38e4de…
05-24 03:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	93	65¢	$60	0x891096…
05-24 03:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	93	42¢	$39	0x41aca9…
05-24 03:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	309	23¢	$71	0x6c729d…
05-24 03:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x352fd6…
05-24 03:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0x70cacf…
05-24 03:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x6ac143…
05-24 03:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xaf4d44…
05-24 03:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xcb4db8…
05-24 03:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x7bff4f…
05-18 18:50:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0xc16f4e…
05-18 18:50:18	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x6bb3e4…
05-16 18:14:07	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xaeb9ef…
05-09 22:13:49	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x148ebd…
05-09 19:07:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x9a86fa…
05-09 18:23:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0xd5dd57…
05-09 18:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x3fcda0…
05-09 18:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8742b9…
05-09 18:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x573a23…
05-09 18:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x2f3e3e…
05-09 18:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x619579…
05-09 17:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0xf361ee…
05-09 17:27:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3665b8…
05-09 17:27:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb93f9f…
05-09 17:25:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xc07073…
05-09 17:09:28	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	27	45¢	$12	0x58d134…
05-09 12:46:31	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,542	1¢	$11	0x5ffdcb…
05-09 01:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x956176…
05-09 01:06:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xf2320f…
05-09 01:06:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xdef22e…
05-09 01:06:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x7930be…
05-09 01:06:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x7092c5…
05-09 01:06:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x6d1fbb…
05-09 01:06:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x267f29…
05-09 01:06:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0xdb134e…
05-09 01:06:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0xc74c15…
05-09 01:06:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x9ad15c…
05-09 01:06:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe831c4…
05-09 01:06:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x96a2e9…
05-09 01:06:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x32726d…
05-09 01:05:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	117	34¢	$40	0x314e4f…
05-09 01:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc57848…
05-09 01:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x6686ad…
05-09 01:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x37e21c…
05-09 00:57:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x23527b…
05-09 00:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x08a59b…
05-09 00:50:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x918344…
05-09 00:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x7a264d…
05-09 00:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x56d961…
05-09 00:49:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa4075e…
05-09 00:48:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x4d1e37…
05-09 00:46:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xccab20…
05-09 00:44:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0x1242ca…
05-09 00:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x6309c7…
05-09 00:38:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe1fb2e…
05-09 00:30:46	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x6be826…
05-09 00:25:55	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,542	1¢	$10	0xd8a729…
05-02 03:56:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x6c54d1…
05-02 03:55:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	88	23¢	$20	0x8b8b34…
05-02 03:49:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0xa47a9d…
05-02 03:37:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	76	53¢	$40	0x5a038e…
05-02 03:35:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0xe3f626…
05-02 03:35:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x8b9f60…
05-02 03:35:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x0e27cc…
05-02 03:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xa8c9bb…
05-02 03:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x89f71b…
05-02 03:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x4f4a28…
05-02 03:33:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	39	60¢	$23	0x4f20fc…
05-02 03:32:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	57	52¢	$30	0x63100f…
05-02 03:26:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x438a73…
05-02 03:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xb356bb…
05-02 03:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x6a22e7…
05-02 03:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x517de9…
05-02 03:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x436bcd…
05-02 03:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x29106f…
05-02 03:22:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xf4b8e9…
05-02 03:21:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xc947f4…
05-02 03:21:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x197324…
05-02 03:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	70¢	$11	0xee7a3a…
05-02 03:19:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x6a9ae7…
05-02 03:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x9ac2fb…
05-02 03:18:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x43e92f…
05-02 03:17:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	70¢	$7	0x96e9e8…
05-02 03:17:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0x125e98…
05-02 03:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	26	70¢	$18	0xda99c5…
05-02 03:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0xee723f…
05-02 03:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xd644a2…
05-02 03:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0xad2eb6…
05-02 03:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x23a45e…
05-02 03:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xaf54a1…
05-02 03:01:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x1996cd…
05-02 03:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xc08a9f…
05-02 03:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xb9a28e…
05-02 03:00:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x9444ef…
05-02 03:00:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xc25689…
05-02 03:00:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x803fa6…
05-02 03:00:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x7b0d6b…
05-02 03:00:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x6d4516…