Talkative-Rock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

145

Trades

386

lifetime

Volume

$32.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

$176

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-27 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

48% 59% +$411

Politics

48% 45% -$1,691

Sports

4% 53% -$201

Crypto

0% 20% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+114	$100	80¢	$91	-$9	10-27 18:26
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+81	-$2	63¢	$51	+$53	10-27 18:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+204	$40	6¢	$13	-$27	10-22 18:53
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+125	$20	8¢	$11	-$9	10-22 19:02
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+30	$10	30¢	$9	-$1	10-27 18:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	30	$3.8K	2,392	2,392	+0	Yes	-$136	03-30 23:12
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	10	$2.7K	2,916	2,414	+502	No	-$1,210	03-05 07:01
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	8	$1.6K	1,317	1,195	+122	Yes	+$154	03-08 22:48
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	3	$1.3K	833	833	+0	Yes	-$108	07-04 22:01
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	4	$1.3K	707	707	+0	Yes	+$82	03-10 18:31
will uae strike iran by march 31	10	$1.3K	1,263	631	+631	No	-$791	03-08 13:38
will iran strike israel on march 8	4	$1.3K	638	638	+0	Yes	+$9	03-08 14:35
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	7	$1.3K	1,164	577	+587	Yes	+$207	03-08 16:09
will iran strike israel on march 10	24	$1.0K	934	878	+56	Yes	+$63	03-11 22:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$797	455	455	+0	Yes	+$97	04-08 00:28
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	3	$691	351	351	+0	Yes	+$10	03-08 22:49
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	15	$678	5,318	1,262	+4,055	No	-$128	03-11 09:16
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	2	$600	659	0	+659	Yes	+$59	06-21 18:41
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$560	595	0	+595	No	+$35	04-21 12:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	11	$514	403	344	+59	Yes	+$30	04-07 23:49
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	4	$504	294	294	+0	No	+$4	05-03 17:14
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	2	$471	272	272	+0	Yes	+$71	03-08 21:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	2	$447	249	247	+2	Yes	+$49	04-07 20:41
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	4	$430	267	267	+0	Yes	+$30	07-02 20:30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$402	406	325	+81	open	—	10-27 18:36
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	1	$400	500	0	+500	Yes	+$100	06-26 10:58
nba phx okc 2026 04 19	1	$400	444	0	+444	Thunder	+$44	04-19 07:53
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$381	295	295	+0	Yes	+$207	02-28 08:14
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	3	$321	307	307	+0	Yes	+$291	02-28 08:14
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	4	$321	172	172	+0	Yes	+$21	06-23 17:18
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	1	$300	390	0	+390	Yes	+$90	06-30 13:12
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	2	$300	337	0	+337	76ers	-$300	04-20 19:58
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$242	262	119	+143	No	-$38	03-13 22:10
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	5	$230	147	110	+37	No	-$12	03-30 08:38
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$229	130	130	+0	Yes	+$29	04-12 21:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:36:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	325	62¢	$202	0xdf9ece…
10-27 18:26:38	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xa191da…
10-27 18:26:24	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x4764a0…
10-27 18:23:45	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x77dc3c…
10-27 18:22:56	Will Dems win 12-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6d3b4f…
10-27 18:22:38	Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	110	38¢	$42	0xc8ad4b…
10-27 18:22:12	Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0x216335…
10-27 18:21:17	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xbe2915…
10-27 18:18:48	Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0x03c496…
10-27 18:18:32	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd7cd33…
10-27 18:17:36	Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?	Yashar	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xa55eb9…
10-22 19:25:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	160	63¢	$100	0x12d52a…
10-22 19:20:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0xa856da…
10-22 19:02:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xfa2cde…
10-22 19:02:02	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xc36350…
10-22 18:53:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	204	20¢	$40	0xc9aa21…
09-07 08:42:55	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	229	22¢	$50	0xeb707e…
09-07 08:36:46	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	96¢	$107	0xa42099…
07-24 11:43:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0x4b08ac…
07-15 20:48:29	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x13d1cc…
07-15 20:47:20	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	105	16¢	$17	0xb8a88f…
07-15 20:19:56	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	105	9¢	$10	0x220ea3…
07-07 20:19:10	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x53f169…
07-07 08:46:43	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xa4a8b8…
07-07 08:46:13	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x4e6569…
07-07 08:43:52	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x7ead1a…
07-04 22:07:01	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	34¢	$9	0x70a022…
07-04 22:06:20	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xdd298f…
07-04 22:01:11	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	833	71¢	$592	0x7fd817…
07-03 23:28:44	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	28	35¢	$10	0xd4930f…
07-03 22:27:40	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x9dce36…
07-03 22:25:58	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	116	82¢	$95	0x6a8a03…
07-03 20:39:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x7cd89a…
07-02 20:30:31	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	133	98¢	$131	0x1ca602…
07-02 18:08:47	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	133	74¢	$99	0xe2e1dc…
07-02 18:03:32	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x89ce73…
07-02 18:01:58	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0xe95b3a…
07-02 18:01:28	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xfa31f1…
07-02 17:48:14	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x6be5fc…
07-01 15:30:10	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x2d5e75…
07-01 15:29:32	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x0a4c44…
07-01 15:27:49	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x8a9c2b…
06-30 13:12:04	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0xdf979a…
06-30 13:07:49	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x7ff6be…
06-29 21:02:25	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x8eea62…
06-29 17:56:19	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	66	45¢	$30	0x2b6c04…
06-28 07:24:46	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x47a465…
06-27 21:55:58	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	59	73¢	$43	0xd9ad1e…
06-27 15:31:13	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x23341c…
06-27 15:27:08	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x0ed404…
06-27 12:12:16	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x109bf4…
06-26 10:58:41	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x413406…
06-25 22:09:38	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xe62a3c…
06-25 15:58:47	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x0de9b7…
06-25 15:57:13	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x628dbe…
06-25 15:51:50	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xb4d7ea…
06-25 15:50:43	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xde7c48…
06-24 17:34:38	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x1e9f92…
06-23 20:55:47	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	62	66¢	$41	0xdd9721…
06-23 17:18:55	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	172	99¢	$171	0x5e0bbe…
06-23 17:03:34	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x937b76…
06-23 17:03:10	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xd4ccef…
06-23 16:20:52	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x81fdcc…
06-23 07:48:26	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0xa2cd7a…
06-23 07:48:04	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x978f58…
06-23 07:27:52	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x0fb96f…
06-23 07:27:11	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xbed934…
06-23 07:26:22	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x57b0eb…
06-23 07:24:10	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x29132f…
06-23 07:18:40	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xc2bf5a…
06-21 21:09:11	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x41f295…
06-21 18:41:34	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0x22a4d9…
06-21 16:09:50	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xebabb1…
06-21 16:08:14	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xd21823…
06-21 16:04:40	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x5a125f…
06-21 16:03:46	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xc5a35b…
06-21 16:01:14	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xc75ffb…
06-21 07:39:25	Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x3eb119…
06-20 21:18:40	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x7f934f…
06-20 21:18:02	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xf2bde5…
06-20 21:16:23	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	78	23¢	$18	0xf41158…
06-17 18:51:08	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xd32421…
06-17 18:50:34	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x2ca6cf…
06-17 18:48:55	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x6e4fb0…
06-17 18:47:32	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x4c884a…
06-17 18:39:01	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x150422…
06-17 18:38:25	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xb3334b…
06-15 19:02:19	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x0d8483…
06-15 18:51:52	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x437df2…
06-11 21:31:06	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xe26a54…
06-11 21:30:54	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xffb0a6…
06-11 18:55:30	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x97c50f…
06-10 18:49:39	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x7b7cf7…
06-07 21:57:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	45	29¢	$13	0x1a1564…
06-07 21:57:04	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x2ffaca…
06-07 19:38:52	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe8df91…
06-07 19:27:33	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf0a25f…
06-07 19:26:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	65	30¢	$20	0x273060…
06-07 19:26:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xa64a3b…
06-07 18:47:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x9ba06b…