Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$3.31K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved (30d)

2,533

Trades (30d)

3,127

8,096 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$168.0K

$236.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-24

last 11-13 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

56% 56% -$4,038

Crypto

44% 86% -$964

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 337 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	13	$5.9K	4,888	1,061	+3,827	No	+$62	10-27 16:05
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	60	$5.9K	4,338	4,338	-0	Yes	-$2,593	10-30 13:58
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	6	$5.7K	5,208	559	+4,649	No	+$31	10-24 14:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	19	$5.7K	2,862	2,862	+0	No	+$31	10-28 06:52
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	9	$5.2K	3,232	2,009	+1,223	No	+$26	10-26 07:32
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	7	$4.9K	4,905	0	+4,905	No	+$54	10-28 07:00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	24	$4.5K	4,608	0	+4,608	No	+$130	10-23 13:12
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	29	$3.5K	3,600	0	+3,600	No	+$125	10-26 07:33
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	41	$2.7K	1,568	1,568	-0	Yes	+$222	10-13 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	7	$2.6K	1,310	1,310	+0	No	+$43	10-16 14:46
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	4	$2.6K	1,318	1,318	+0	No	+$67	10-16 15:46
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	6	$2.3K	1,154	1,154	+0	Yes	+$36	10-14 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	23	$2.3K	1,148	1,148	+0	No	+$40	10-23 13:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$2.2K	1,175	1,175	+0	Yes	-$9	10-27 16:31
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	11	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	-0	No	-$1	10-13 12:03
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	31	$1.9K	1,166	1,166	+0	No	-$58	10-27 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	21	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$57	11-03 13:04
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	9	$1.8K	930	930	+0	No	+$30	10-10 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	37	$1.7K	1,053	1,053	-0	No	-$185	10-13 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	9	$1.7K	876	876	+0	No	+$61	10-12 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	14	$1.6K	967	967	+0	No	-$148	11-03 13:01
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	49	$1.5K	1,126	1,126	+0	No	-$215	10-30 09:22
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	16	$1.4K	1,465	0	+1,465	No	+$16	10-21 10:51
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	7	$1.4K	1,444	0	+1,444	No	+$47	10-20 07:40
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	6	$1.3K	651	651	+0	No	+$32	10-10 08:26
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	13	$1.3K	1,293	0	+1,293	No	+$34	10-17 12:02
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	8	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	+$51	10-09 14:39
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	5	$886	451	451	+0	No	+$15	10-09 23:49
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	9	$828	435	435	+0	No	+$38	09-21 14:52
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$803	407	407	+0	No	+$10	10-09 10:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 17:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf26556…
11-13 17:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6f0646…
11-13 17:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x352643…
11-13 17:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x33deb5…
11-13 17:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa57a4b…
11-13 17:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x247934…
11-13 17:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x0ddf30…
11-13 17:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x74c988…
11-13 17:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x448e66…
11-13 17:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf96060…
11-13 17:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf4ea9c…
11-13 17:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x5995b3…
11-13 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd6cd6c…
11-13 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc1f5bc…
11-13 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x7501ea…
11-13 16:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x66bd87…
11-13 16:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x94b4cb…
11-13 16:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xada22e…
11-13 16:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xba0f13…
11-13 16:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xb195b9…
11-13 16:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x94b1cd…
11-13 16:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xf4e8d8…
11-13 16:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x273a81…
11-13 16:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x791737…
11-13 16:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x5e9ca4…
11-13 16:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x744403…
11-13 16:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xcba5e5…
11-13 16:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xf998af…
11-13 15:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xcf2e84…
11-13 15:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xf0b986…
11-13 15:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x430211…
11-13 15:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x412ad1…
11-13 15:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x3882b6…
11-13 15:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x0a3fef…
11-13 15:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x1bc765…
11-13 15:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xad57b7…
11-13 15:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x060016…
11-13 15:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x032e1c…
11-13 15:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x336116…
11-13 15:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xc5d23d…
11-13 15:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xff1554…
11-13 15:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x84e40d…
11-13 15:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x712af1…
11-13 15:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x1186d5…
11-13 15:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x93a2b2…
11-13 15:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf16c68…
11-13 15:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x3e4d19…
11-13 15:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x081761…
11-13 15:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xe84e13…
11-13 15:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb913ec…
11-13 15:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x5bfdc5…
11-13 12:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x31369b…
11-13 12:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x721be1…
11-13 12:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb15e94…
11-13 12:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x8d9871…
11-13 12:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc7e708…
11-13 12:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe7f9ae…
11-13 12:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x0f1757…
11-13 12:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa09263…
11-13 12:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x5b14a3…
11-13 12:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x7d260f…
11-13 12:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa65b8a…
11-13 12:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x110189…
11-13 10:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x61dc67…
11-13 10:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1d1354…
11-13 10:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x774d46…
11-13 10:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x73e32a…
11-13 10:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xdd7fec…
11-13 10:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x850075…
11-13 10:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x04ee99…
11-13 10:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x92892b…
11-13 10:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x216916…
11-13 10:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x5a9939…
11-13 10:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb0dfcf…
11-13 10:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x35e4e8…
11-13 09:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x9b50d7…
11-13 09:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xfd8460…
11-13 09:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xfd3721…
11-13 09:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x9b09d8…
11-13 09:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xeb4b41…
11-13 09:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xd5ea3a…
11-13 09:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xbeba10…
11-13 09:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x3086ee…
11-13 09:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xc3bc7f…
11-13 09:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9f57c7…
11-13 09:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x46c02b…
11-13 09:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xd9dbc9…
11-13 09:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x8874c1…
11-13 09:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x1c0b80…
11-13 09:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x234210…
11-13 09:22:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x478b5a…
11-13 09:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xb61b77…
11-13 09:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3d3692…
11-13 09:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x11a4d1…
11-13 09:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf5591f…
11-13 09:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x7d6e29…
11-13 09:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x69a2ec…
11-13 09:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xbaa8a5…
11-13 09:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x51a580…
11-13 09:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x685da5…