Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$3.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.6%

Resolved (7d)

1,044

Trades (7d)

1,311

6,500 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$19.7K

$140.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-24

last 11-04 21:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

95% 56% -$4,038

Crypto

5% 88% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 337 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	13	$5.9K	4,888	1,061	+3,827	No	+$62	10-27 16:05
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	60	$5.9K	4,338	4,338	-0	Yes	-$2,593	10-30 13:58
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	6	$5.7K	5,208	559	+4,649	No	+$31	10-24 14:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	19	$5.7K	2,862	2,862	+0	No	+$31	10-28 06:52
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	9	$5.2K	3,232	2,009	+1,223	No	+$26	10-26 07:32
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	7	$4.9K	4,905	0	+4,905	No	+$54	10-28 07:00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	24	$4.5K	4,608	0	+4,608	No	+$130	10-23 13:12
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	29	$3.5K	3,600	0	+3,600	No	+$125	10-26 07:33
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	41	$2.7K	1,568	1,568	-0	Yes	+$222	10-13 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	7	$2.6K	1,310	1,310	+0	No	+$43	10-16 14:46
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	4	$2.6K	1,318	1,318	+0	No	+$67	10-16 15:46
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	6	$2.3K	1,154	1,154	+0	Yes	+$36	10-14 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	23	$2.3K	1,148	1,148	+0	No	+$40	10-23 13:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$2.2K	1,175	1,175	+0	Yes	-$9	10-27 16:31
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	11	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	-0	No	-$1	10-13 12:03
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	31	$1.9K	1,166	1,166	+0	No	-$58	10-27 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	21	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$57	11-03 13:04
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	9	$1.8K	930	930	+0	No	+$30	10-10 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	37	$1.7K	1,053	1,053	-0	No	-$185	10-13 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	9	$1.7K	876	876	+0	No	+$61	10-12 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	14	$1.6K	967	967	+0	No	-$148	11-03 13:01
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	49	$1.5K	1,126	1,126	+0	No	-$215	10-30 09:22
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	16	$1.4K	1,465	0	+1,465	No	+$16	10-21 10:51
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	7	$1.4K	1,444	0	+1,444	No	+$47	10-20 07:40
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	6	$1.3K	651	651	+0	No	+$32	10-10 08:26
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	13	$1.3K	1,293	0	+1,293	No	+$34	10-17 12:02
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	8	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	+$51	10-09 14:39
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	5	$886	451	451	+0	No	+$15	10-09 23:49
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	9	$828	435	435	+0	No	+$38	09-21 14:52
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$803	407	407	+0	No	+$10	10-09 10:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0e3e4f…
11-04 22:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc6f4e6…
11-04 22:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x96017d…
11-04 21:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8eed24…
11-04 21:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x912ca2…
11-04 21:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa93b72…
11-04 21:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x411652…
11-04 21:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x83bdb1…
11-04 21:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x25167c…
11-04 21:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0c9a68…
11-04 21:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1b7a26…
11-04 20:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x01d58f…
11-04 20:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd609e2…
11-04 20:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1acfe9…
11-04 20:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x567abb…
11-04 20:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9a9907…
11-04 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe2ed4a…
11-04 19:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3326fe…
11-04 19:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdd3a31…
11-04 19:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcedb4b…
11-04 19:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x48a56e…
11-04 19:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3cf807…
11-04 19:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe5babe…
11-04 19:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xacf2e7…
11-04 19:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9e5dbc…
11-04 19:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdc1a0d…
11-04 19:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb475ed…
11-04 19:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x10435e…
11-04 19:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xafd177…
11-04 19:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x03e79a…
11-04 18:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7b7b54…
11-04 18:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0776cd…
11-04 18:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3c8bf0…
11-04 18:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb59475…
11-04 18:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa71697…
11-04 18:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xac91f6…
11-04 18:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb91c8b…
11-04 18:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa94acb…
11-04 18:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6222d2…
11-04 18:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x667812…
11-04 18:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa527d4…
11-04 18:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x89fc8a…
11-04 18:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x547767…
11-04 18:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x74eae9…
11-04 18:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3a14b9…
11-04 17:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9c03a1…
11-04 17:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x45792b…
11-04 17:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfd01ca…
11-04 17:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb77920…
11-04 17:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9539e8…
11-04 17:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4a4971…
11-04 17:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x48118a…
11-04 17:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe452e8…
11-04 17:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6bd23f…
11-04 17:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe511e7…
11-04 17:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x718125…
11-04 17:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x553a5b…
11-04 17:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8f09e3…
11-04 16:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa91387…
11-04 16:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xeaa780…
11-04 16:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	320	99¢	$318	0x31db58…
11-04 16:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	279	99¢	$277	0xbb6ce0…
11-04 16:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9a87e7…
11-04 16:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x18566f…
11-04 16:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x345f89…
11-04 16:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x94b4c8…
11-04 16:24:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0x91b9c1…
11-04 16:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0632d0…
11-04 16:24:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x700763…
11-04 16:24:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6bde16…
11-04 16:23:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x8bf662…
11-04 16:22:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x611bb7…
11-04 16:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xca52eb…
11-04 16:20:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3e8e9a…
11-04 16:19:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6cedba…
11-04 16:19:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$296	0xe9378f…
11-04 16:19:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd1b2a7…
11-04 16:19:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x850bd6…
11-04 16:19:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x6df54f…
11-04 16:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3c390e…
11-04 16:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbb6ee3…
11-04 16:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x425a3d…
11-04 16:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbc5ee6…
11-04 16:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3e6bbb…
11-04 15:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7d1b6a…
11-04 15:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x36fdb2…
11-04 15:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x256191…
11-04 15:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xec9f35…
11-04 15:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x469868…
11-04 15:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0ef20a…
11-04 15:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc5a2f4…
11-04 15:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x26c310…
11-04 15:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x896458…
11-04 15:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xced65f…
11-04 15:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb733b7…
11-04 15:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x649ab1…
11-04 15:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa79cf1…
11-04 13:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x66f1cf…
11-04 13:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc4f093…
11-04 13:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x86a3aa…