Realized P&L
+$6.47K
Unrealized P&L
-$706
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
194
Trades
3,120
lifetime
Volume
$442.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$142
Open exposure
$5.18K
3 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 07-29 21:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
82%
54%
+$8,984
Other
17%
59%
-$2,052
Crypto
1%
12%
-$591
Sports
0%
100%
+$130
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | -5,359 | -$3,934 | 82¢ | $-4367 | -$433 | 05-23 20:43 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | -684 | -$378 | 94¢ | $-646 | -$268 | 05-17 22:22 | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | -190 | -$162 | 88¢ | $-167 | -$5 | 05-01 20:47 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | 27 | $28.8K | 16,923 | 15,923 | +1,000 | Yes | +$603 | 05-01 22:02 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 36 | $23.4K | 21,665 | 27,206 | -5,540 | Yes | +$6,938 | 04-07 23:15 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | 14 | $21.8K | 11,636 | 11,636 | +0 | Yes | +$85 | 05-01 21:37 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 63 | $19.8K | 18,702 | 18,702 | +0 | Yes | +$3,781 | 04-07 23:17 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 63 | $16.0K | 14,746 | 15,746 | -1,000 | No | +$375 | 05-23 20:52 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 14 | $15.0K | 8,746 | 8,746 | +0 | No | -$279 | 05-11 00:12 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 76 | $14.2K | 16,134 | 16,105 | +29 | No | -$208 | 04-21 16:11 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 40 | $13.6K | 7,053 | 6,582 | +471 | Yes | -$8 | 04-20 18:39 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 22 | $12.2K | 12,207 | 2,207 | +10,000 | No | -$108 | 05-01 04:26 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677 | 90 | $10.6K | 7,572 | 7,572 | +0 | No | -$67 | 04-16 04:08 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 29 | $9.2K | 5,107 | 10,465 | -5,359 | open | — | 05-23 20:43 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | 15 | $9.2K | 8,788 | 507 | +8,281 | Yes | +$100 | 04-12 22:31 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 30 | $9.0K | 4,942 | 4,942 | +0 | No | +$189 | 04-30 17:00 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 42 | $8.9K | 9,305 | 9,300 | +5 | No | +$455 | 05-26 00:16 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 94 | $8.7K | 10,433 | 10,433 | +0 | Yes | -$498 | 04-22 09:23 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 31 | $8.3K | 7,279 | 7,279 | +0 | No | +$81 | 04-30 23:39 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 89 | $8.2K | 6,393 | 6,393 | +0 | No | -$1,143 | 04-15 23:32 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 74 | $8.0K | 6,726 | 6,726 | +0 | Yes | +$164 | 04-22 16:43 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 47 | $7.6K | 4,033 | 4,033 | +0 | No | +$203 | 05-01 01:37 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 14 | $6.3K | 14,919 | 11,500 | +3,419 | No | -$229 | 06-26 08:21 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 5 | $5.8K | 4,200 | 2,100 | +2,100 | No | +$325 | 05-11 20:31 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 122 | $5.2K | 2,640 | 2,640 | +0 | No | -$6 | 04-15 18:25 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | 13 | $4.9K | 2,700 | 2,700 | +0 | No | -$132 | 05-22 09:44 |
| trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026 | 19 | $4.8K | 2,595 | 2,595 | +0 | No | +$147 | 04-14 19:24 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 9 | $4.7K | 4,706 | 4,706 | +0 | No | -$278 | 05-23 20:51 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 69 | $4.7K | 4,272 | 4,272 | +0 | Yes | -$659 | 04-16 19:46 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 22 | $4.7K | 5,668 | 5,668 | +0 | Yes | +$384 | 06-15 00:17 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 2 | $4.5K | 1,200 | 3,556 | -2,356 | No | -$130 | 05-15 19:25 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 3 | $4.4K | 2,295 | 2,295 | +0 | No | +$198 | 05-17 17:35 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 51 | $4.3K | 12,608 | 2,608 | +10,000 | No | +$493 | 04-01 20:09 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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