Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$570

Unrealized P&L

+$129

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,931

lifetime

Volume

$400.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$137

Open exposure

$4.15K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-26 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

83% 100% +$1,338

Other

17% 0% $-768

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+3,419	$3,152	100¢	$3.4K	+$255	06-26 08:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+2,805	$869	26¢	$743	$-126	06-26 08:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	27	$28.8K	16,923	15,923	+1,000	open	—	05-01 22:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	36	$23.4K	21,665	27,206	-5,540	open	—	04-07 23:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	14	$21.8K	11,636	11,636	+0	open	—	05-01 21:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	63	$19.8K	18,702	18,702	+0	open	—	04-07 23:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	14	$15.0K	8,746	8,746	+0	open	—	05-11 00:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	60	$14.9K	13,391	15,391	-2,000	open	—	05-23 20:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	76	$14.2K	16,134	16,105	+29	open	—	04-21 16:11
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	40	$13.6K	7,053	6,582	+471	open	—	04-20 18:39
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	22	$12.2K	12,207	2,207	+10,000	open	—	05-01 04:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	90	$10.6K	7,572	7,572	+0	open	—	04-16 04:08
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	15	$9.2K	8,788	507	+8,281	open	—	04-12 22:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	30	$9.0K	4,942	4,942	+0	open	—	04-30 17:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	42	$8.9K	9,305	9,300	+5	open	—	05-26 00:16
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	94	$8.7K	10,433	10,433	+0	open	—	04-22 09:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	31	$8.3K	7,279	7,279	+0	open	—	04-30 23:39
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	89	$8.2K	6,393	6,393	+0	open	—	04-15 23:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	74	$8.0K	6,726	6,726	+0	open	—	04-22 16:43
Iran leadership change by April 30?	47	$7.6K	4,033	4,033	+0	open	—	05-01 01:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$5.8K	4,200	2,100	+2,100	open	—	05-11 20:31
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	122	$5.2K	2,640	2,640	+0	No	$-6	04-15 18:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	12	$4.9K	2,700	2,695	+5	open	—	05-22 09:44
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	19	$4.8K	2,595	2,595	+0	open	—	04-14 19:24
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	69	$4.7K	4,272	4,272	+0	open	—	04-16 19:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$4.4K	2,295	2,295	+0	open	—	05-17 17:35
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	51	$4.3K	12,608	2,608	+10,000	open	—	04-01 20:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	12	$4.2K	13,419	10,000	+3,419	open	—	06-26 08:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	58	$4.1K	5,609	2,805	+2,805	open	—	06-26 08:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	7	$3.9K	3,600	2,000	+1,600	open	—	05-22 16:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-22 08:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-22 09:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 17:45:32	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	900	88¢	$792	0x167325…
06-26 08:21:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,200	87¢	$1,044	0x2973e2…
06-26 08:20:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2,805	57¢	$1,599	0x34704b…
06-25 22:23:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	3,403	4¢	$130	0xe5a2f1…
06-25 21:40:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x48f52f…
06-25 21:40:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x8e3a60…
06-25 21:38:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	78	6¢	$5	0xf943e1…
06-25 21:28:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,219	95¢	$2,108	0xbfb867…
06-24 05:29:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	2,000	27¢	$540	0x7c12b0…
06-23 20:41:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9,776	3¢	$268	0x1fe722…
06-23 19:06:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x020345…
06-23 19:05:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	219	3¢	$6	0x39bb7e…
06-22 01:51:44	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,871	12¢	$215	0x3cae3a…
06-22 01:46:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	972	12¢	$112	0x20268d…
06-21 01:17:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfe3cd9…
06-21 01:17:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4b2e7b…
06-21 01:16:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xef6e02…
06-21 01:14:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe72117…
06-21 01:02:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x4e9b52…
06-21 01:01:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x7ea4f4…
06-21 01:01:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x63d355…
06-21 01:01:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x5877d4…
06-21 01:00:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x0fe7e3…
06-21 01:00:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x3cba75…
06-21 00:59:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x1af54a…
06-21 00:59:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x40eaf2…
06-21 00:58:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xf4beec…
06-21 00:58:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xff89fe…
06-21 00:58:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xf567cc…
06-21 00:58:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x941758…
06-21 00:56:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	26	44¢	$11	0x801bcc…
06-21 00:56:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,500	44¢	$660	0xa586f8…
06-21 00:42:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfcb79d…
06-21 00:40:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xc8d634…
06-21 00:38:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xcaca52…
06-21 00:36:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	106	44¢	$47	0x11400a…
06-21 00:34:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x075d45…
06-21 00:04:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	71	44¢	$31	0x9a57dd…
06-20 23:51:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x3282c1…
06-20 23:31:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x9727ba…
06-20 23:19:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x76ea81…
06-20 23:19:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x93e993…
06-20 23:15:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x218c12…
06-20 23:00:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x259235…
06-20 22:56:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	89	44¢	$39	0x23f60f…
06-20 22:45:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x627587…
06-20 22:36:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdf9b73…
06-20 22:26:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0x1a10e1…
06-20 22:23:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,945	44¢	$856	0x4f3f8c…
06-20 22:18:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x207dad…
06-20 22:12:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xda0a98…
06-20 22:06:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x061e47…
06-20 22:05:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6489e1…
06-20 21:52:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x55c6e7…
06-20 21:38:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd4696c…
06-20 21:32:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb7052c…
06-20 21:31:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xda3112…
06-20 21:11:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	687	44¢	$302	0xd983ed…
06-20 20:54:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xd04f4f…
06-20 20:42:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0xab78ad…
06-20 20:30:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xd67ba3…
06-20 20:24:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x603c56…
06-20 20:24:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xadc968…
06-20 20:24:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x61bb66…
06-20 20:18:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x7af6b7…
06-20 20:07:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x2adf22…
06-20 20:00:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x57a133…
06-20 19:59:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xddeb5a…
06-20 19:50:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf2a0bd…
06-20 19:45:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	439	44¢	$193	0x4eba38…
06-20 19:42:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd5aec8…
06-20 19:11:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5,000	7¢	$350	0xd2d856…
06-19 22:02:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x8b8a76…
06-19 22:02:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,000	9¢	$180	0x0e7ddf…
06-19 22:00:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,708	9¢	$154	0x08649c…
06-19 21:56:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	250	9¢	$22	0x4be801…
06-19 21:56:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	201	9¢	$18	0xd2d435…
06-19 21:54:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	733	9¢	$66	0x56b48d…
06-19 19:27:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	800	12¢	$95	0x9e10ba…
06-15 00:17:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x586e5c…
06-15 00:17:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	400	82¢	$330	0x59db7e…
06-15 00:17:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	92¢	$920	0x9f8f41…
06-14 18:34:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x20c8c2…
06-14 18:32:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x06bbbe…
06-14 18:31:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd62b35…
06-14 18:28:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	44¢	$176	0xd8bc1d…
06-14 18:27:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x3bc452…
06-14 18:27:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x92b1f3…
06-14 18:25:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xe560f9…
06-12 06:17:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	560	28¢	$157	0x24939b…
06-12 06:15:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x1b48c9…
06-12 06:15:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x6352e4…
06-12 06:15:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdd1557…
06-12 06:14:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xb60b16…
06-12 06:14:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x6ccd7c…
06-12 06:13:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x526892…
06-12 06:09:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	86	11¢	$10	0xab4c04…
06-12 06:09:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x0ac120…
06-12 06:09:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xb4b17d…
06-12 06:09:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xe3399e…