Realized P&L
-$5.81K
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
69.1%
Resolved
802
Trades
2,170
lifetime
Volume
$172.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$2.74K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-27
last 10-29 01:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
85% 48% -$4,284
Sports
8% 38% -$1,868
Crypto
4% 33% -$777
Politics
3% 38% +$1,138
Tech
0% 0% -$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +1,294 $1,115 84¢ $1.1K -$35 10-27 06:43
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +327 $265 90¢ $294 +$29 09-13 22:16
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +167 $82 98¢ $163 +$81 10-25 16:51
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +717 $77 16¢ $118 +$41 10-25 17:41
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +160 $144 74¢ $118 -$26 10-22 13:37
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +397 $143 22¢ $85 -$58 10-06 05:08
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +110 $80 77¢ $85 +$5 10-28 09:01
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +110 $91 72¢ $79 -$13 09-11 04:48
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +97 $45 72¢ $69 +$24 10-06 07:34
Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026? Yes +162 $79 36¢ $59 -$20 10-26 09:07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +200 $44 29¢ $57 +$13 09-13 18:03
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +217 $58 23¢ $49 -$8 10-28 07:37
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? Yes +305 $43 16¢ $47 +$5 10-28 08:53
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? No — +50 $32 93¢ $47 +$15 09-06 20:13
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +160 $40 26¢ $42 +$2 10-27 00:34
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +204 $34 18¢ $37 +$3 10-03 13:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +48 $27 76¢ $36 +$9 10-06 07:34
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +198 $48 18¢ $35 -$13 10-27 08:23
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +32 $18 98¢ $31 +$13 10-26 12:55
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +199 $23 15¢ $31 +$7 09-24 12:41
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +1,184 $106 2¢ $29 -$77 10-25 20:54
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +772 $34 4¢ $29 -$5 10-24 13:50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? No +26 $23 98¢ $25 +$2 09-02 10:26
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? No +30 $20 84¢ $25 +$5 10-19 14:46
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +20 $12 78¢ $16 +$4 10-02 09:16
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +17 $10 78¢ $13 +$3 09-04 16:42
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +13 $11 90¢ $12 +$1 09-22 19:06
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +226 $20 4¢ $10 -$10 09-07 15:13
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +9 $6 92¢ $8 +$3 10-13 19:10
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes +21 $17 30¢ $6 -$11 09-19 00:42