Ethical-Sum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 07-19 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

61% 69% -$7

Politics

39% 72% -$32

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-20	-$16	92¢	$-18	-$3	05-28 07:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes		+10	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	05-12 05:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$98	10,500	9,082	+1,418	Yes	-$22	04-06 22:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	12	$93	186	186	+0	No	$0	04-26 08:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	8	$86	140	140	+0	No	-$2	04-22 11:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	6	$72	100	41	+59	No	-$46	04-27 00:09
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	6	$61	41	41	+0	Up	+$1	05-26 10:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$60	40	40	+0	No	-$2	04-27 05:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	6	$54	40	40	+0	Yes	+$1	06-14 18:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$45	61	71	-10	No	+$8	05-25 15:27
wti up or down on june 22 2026	5	$42	40	40	+0	Down	-$5	06-22 07:58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	6	$40	41	41	+0	Down	-$15	05-26 12:20
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?	4	$37	26	26	+0	Yes	+$7	05-10 14:21
wti up or down on june 15 2026	3	$36	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	06-15 05:13
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	4	$36	26	26	+0	Up	+$3	04-06 14:06
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	4	$32	110	110	+0	No	-$1	04-20 17:24
spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	5	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$6	06-17 17:39
spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	3	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$6	07-13 05:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	6	$30	27	27	+0	Down	-$4	04-27 13:06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo	2	$30	20	20	+0	Lorenzo Musetti	+$10	05-10 15:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	6	$30	50	20	+30	No	-$13	04-20 17:26
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	8	$28	30	30	+0	Yes	-$13	05-16 09:20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi	5	$28	39	21	+18	Luciano Darderi	-$11	05-10 16:22
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$27	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-20 19:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-27 05:02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic	4	$26	28	28	+0	Dino Prizmic	-$4	05-10 15:09
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	3	$25	10	219	-209	No	+$5	06-21 20:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	4	$23	30	10	+20	Down	+$1	04-24 14:49
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	5	$23	30	10	+20	Up	+$6	04-27 12:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-15 13:24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$20	25	0	+25	Up	+$5	05-15 13:23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodar	2	$20	26	0	+26	Rafael Jodar	+$6	05-10 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:20:57	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xf9af4c…
07-19 22:05:55	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x33bfd2…
07-19 20:04:46	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x9b2054…
07-19 20:03:30	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xe1ee3c…
07-13 05:01:35	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x2be7f4…
07-13 05:01:29	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x4384a4…
07-12 22:12:44	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xac9259…
07-12 21:26:35	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x301b26…
07-12 21:26:10	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x3950b9…
06-25 14:52:29	Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd42863…
06-22 07:58:46	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x7e6bbf…
06-22 06:52:37	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Up	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xd7c6bd…
06-22 06:46:58	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x76954e…
06-22 06:46:01	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2e10ba…
06-21 23:15:47	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xe07ed8…
06-21 23:08:41	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x96f1a1…
06-21 22:01:17	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x748949…
06-21 20:35:40	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x710289…
06-21 20:35:02	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x08bef2…
06-21 20:33:46	Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x7aee3d…
06-20 11:15:47	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xa3079d…
06-19 00:08:49	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc45ce7…
06-18 15:00:55	Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x569cab…
06-18 11:32:26	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x3efa02…
06-17 18:09:47	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x998f39…
06-17 17:47:40	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xd96a2a…
06-17 17:39:52	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x830375…
06-17 11:49:11	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x426ac2…
06-17 11:49:10	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb761fe…
06-17 07:12:55	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xfc7594…
06-17 07:12:52	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xf20e8a…
06-17 06:34:22	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x8a06b7…
06-17 06:33:29	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x959d59…
06-15 20:30:07	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x056e6c…
06-15 05:13:03	wti up or down on june 15 2026	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x297e4f…
06-14 23:50:57	wti up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x5ae16e…
06-14 22:48:07	wti up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x917fc2…
06-14 22:38:00	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x0c8ec2…
06-14 18:33:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x4cc441…
06-14 16:33:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x8d2931…
06-14 16:32:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xed5d86…
06-14 16:22:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x243ea3…
06-14 10:52:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x022b7a…
06-14 10:46:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xe55573…
06-14 10:44:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xfacc0e…
05-28 07:52:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x0916c1…
05-28 07:52:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xc1ddfc…
05-28 07:52:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x96c6a1…
05-28 06:44:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xea3f76…
05-28 06:15:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x932123…
05-26 12:20:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0x299c5c…
05-26 10:05:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x5a95a7…
05-26 08:14:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd2ac37…
05-26 07:22:32	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xd5f7db…
05-26 05:28:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	22	48¢	$10	0x87795b…
05-26 05:27:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x855476…
05-25 21:27:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xee8cee…
05-25 20:55:11	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	Yes	SELL	209	2¢	$5	0xcc255e…
05-25 20:49:35	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xad1337…
05-25 20:46:54	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x86c610…
05-25 20:46:26	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5eaae1…
05-25 20:26:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7d37b4…
05-25 20:24:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1383e6…
05-25 20:14:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x51f378…
05-25 18:27:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x84fd94…
05-25 18:25:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xbe81ce…
05-25 15:27:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x3a727c…
05-25 06:16:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd0338c…
05-24 18:49:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x2a4c48…
05-24 18:47:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x82ed50…
05-24 11:29:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	37¢	$12	0xe2b4f7…
05-24 11:29:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x2b28c5…
05-24 09:06:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xd138fd…
05-24 09:05:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x6cacfe…
05-19 06:30:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x52adf1…
05-16 09:20:56	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xd27854…
05-16 09:20:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x6ad3ef…
05-16 09:20:22	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x2ebb8f…
05-16 05:47:40	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x25e0fb…
05-15 20:12:14	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x6bfe93…
05-15 13:24:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb5c3a7…
05-15 13:23:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x424d43…
05-15 10:44:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xe941ce…
05-15 05:58:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa35884…
05-14 19:44:04	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xbc2e6c…
05-14 09:37:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x47c6f0…
05-14 08:22:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x0fab8f…
05-13 09:22:53	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8f359f…
05-12 05:26:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xc8fdc2…
05-11 19:42:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcc0e83…
05-11 11:52:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9daca1…
05-10 17:55:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x85eca2…
05-10 17:39:00	Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x5c2ec8…
05-10 17:30:25	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xac6cca…
05-10 16:58:36	Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1f8419…
05-10 16:23:17	Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x817f04…
05-10 16:22:33	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x724c4d…
05-10 16:22:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x7662d0…
05-10 16:00:47	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4521bf…
05-10 15:48:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x3a2ced…