Realized P&L
+$101
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
88.7%
Resolved
1,489
Trades
5,564
lifetime
Volume
$130.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$4.88K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-19 04:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
52% 86% +$257
Politics
38% 81% +$20
Sports
7% 94% +$34
Crypto
2% 83% -$221
Pop-Culture
0% 92% +$16
Tech
0% 75% -$6
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,445 $1,274 100¢ $1.4K +$169 06-04 01:21
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,445 $1,353 98¢ $1.4K +$57 06-04 01:21
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +318 $310 100¢ $317 +$7 06-06 05:54
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +318 $314 100¢ $317 +$3 06-06 05:54
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +318 $302 100¢ $316 +$14 06-06 05:54
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +318 $292 99¢ $315 +$23 06-06 05:54
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? No +50 $46 100¢ $50 +$4 06-05 15:16
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $41 100¢ $50 +$9 06-05 15:16
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $48 99¢ $50 +$2 06-05 15:16
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $43 99¢ $50 +$7 06-05 15:16
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? No +50 $46 99¢ $50 +$3 06-05 15:16
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +50 $38 99¢ $50 +$12 06-05 15:16
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,445 $274 2¢ $33 -$241 06-04 01:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 06-03 16:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 06-03 16:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$1 06-03 16:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 $0 06-03 16:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 $0 06-03 16:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 $0 06-03 16:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 $0 06-03 16:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 $0 06-03 16:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 $0 06-03 16:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? No +30 $28 99¢ $30 +$1 06-03 16:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? No +30 $13 99¢ $30 +$16 06-03 16:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No +30 $28 98¢ $30 +$2 06-03 16:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 06-03 16:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? No +30 $24 70¢ $21 -$3 06-03 16:27
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +318 $54 3¢ $10 -$44 06-06 05:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +30 $28 32¢ $9 -$19 06-03 16:27
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +15 $12 26¢ $4 -$8 06-03 17:14