Arid-Angle — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$385

Unrealized P&L

-$2.01K

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,384 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$6.21K

$475.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$344

Open exposure

$1.82K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-13 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

90% 46% +$19,750

Sports

9% 41% -$6,194

Politics

1% 67% +$528

Tech

0% 0% -$200

Crypto

0% 50% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+7,692	$1,135	12¢	$962	-$173	11-03 06:32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	+794	$500	62¢	$496	-$4	11-13 13:11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	+526	$200	38¢	$197	-$3	11-09 14:03
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+8,849	$2,000	2¢	$168	-$1,832	10-10 18:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	2	$10.1K	6,412	6,412	+0	open	—	09-22 08:23
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	3	$8.5K	4,494	4,494	+0	Yes	+$485	06-21 16:32
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	11	$8.2K	7,170	7,170	+0	open	—	08-06 04:16
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	4	$7.8K	12,303	2,339	+9,963	No	+$3,811	07-19 20:39
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$6.0K	12,060	12,060	+0	Yes	+$1,960	07-14 19:29
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$5.7K	15,772	15,772	+0	No	+$1,481	07-15 14:47
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	2	$4.9K	12,544	3,136	+9,408	Japan	-$3,091	06-29 15:45
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	3	$4.6K	2,632	2,632	+0	Spain	+$605	06-21 16:33
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$4.5K	147,636	62,500	+85,136	No	-$1,570	07-04 18:15
Morocco to score first vs. Haiti?	2	$4.0K	4,819	0	+4,819	No	-$4,000	06-24 16:16
cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	9	$3.2K	2,834	2,476	+357	Spirit	+$977	06-19 18:30
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$3.0K	111,455	55,728	+55,728	No	-$959	06-24 23:05
cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05	3	$2.9K	2,612	2,143	+469	BIG	+$1,305	06-05 19:57
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	6	$2.9K	3,126	3,126	+0	Over	-$271	06-30 18:42
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	3	$2.9K	14,348	6,656	+7,692	open	—	11-03 06:32
lal vil esp 2026 02 09 vil	2	$2.8K	1,754	1,754	+0	Yes	+$753	02-10 01:20
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	4	$2.7K	3,603	3,603	+0	No	-$264	06-19 21:46
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	7	$2.7K	3,902	1,951	+1,951	Under	-$526	07-12 02:40
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	5	$2.6K	3,765	2,150	+1,615	Under	+$1,010	07-11 22:45
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	2	$2.6K	4,025	4,025	+0	Over	-$626	07-15 20:50
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5	4	$2.5K	2,014	2,014	+0	Under	+$457	09-20 15:10
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$2.4K	60,143	0	+60,143	No	-$2,400	05-21 16:37
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	30	$2.4K	2,963	1,500	+1,463	Argentina	+$848	06-22 16:47
fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	3	$2.3K	3,302	1,379	+1,923	Over	-$1,303	06-27 03:37
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	3	$2.2K	1,852	1,852	+0	Under	+$241	07-09 21:25
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	56	$2.1K	30,934	0	+30,934	No	-$2,085	07-17 12:01
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	4	$2.1K	3,159	980	+2,179	Brazil	-$921	06-24 22:35
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$2.1K	1,176	1,176	+0	No	+$71	01-04 18:26
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$2.0K	8,849	0	+8,849	open	—	10-10 18:03
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	2	$2.0K	3,125	0	+3,125	Morocco	+$1,125	06-24 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 13:11:10	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	794	63¢	$500	0xc4d16f…
11-09 14:03:04	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0xcd91f0…
11-08 18:46:34	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x64066e…
11-08 15:53:37	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-08?	No	SELL	341	6¢	$20	0x369150…
11-08 15:53:04	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-08?	No	SELL	236	7¢	$17	0x3926b5…
11-08 13:48:13	AC Monza vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	833	36¢	$300	0xeaf414…
11-08 13:47:45	Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	625	48¢	$300	0x097454…
11-08 13:47:16	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	566	53¢	$300	0xcd6017…
11-08 13:46:55	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0x3d915d…
11-08 13:46:19	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0xdc6efe…
11-08 13:45:54	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x1a9dce…
11-08 11:17:18	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	638	47¢	$300	0x6ce0bf…
11-07 15:40:03	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	625	11¢	$69	0x5a4c3c…
11-07 14:57:15	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0xb8f705…
11-07 14:57:00	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	1,190	42¢	$500	0xb7d652…
11-07 11:58:25	SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	667	45¢	$300	0x02faf8…
11-07 11:57:27	RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	770	39¢	$300	0x739d77…
11-07 11:57:06	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	625	48¢	$300	0x833e68…
11-07 11:55:06	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	513	39¢	$200	0x9f2873…
11-07 11:54:49	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xde21e8…
11-07 11:23:57	Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x56e254…
11-07 11:23:30	VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	566	53¢	$300	0xbe46ac…
11-07 11:23:15	1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0x4dcc67…
11-04 17:37:03	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	667	45¢	$300	0x01456f…
11-04 17:36:37	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0xa89fd7…
11-04 15:40:46	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	698	43¢	$300	0x747499…
11-03 14:15:40	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	1,220	41¢	$500	0x608d20…
11-03 06:32:28	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	7,692	13¢	$1,000	0x354a8f…
11-01 16:09:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x7691a8…
10-31 17:00:49	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	789	38¢	$300	0xc8f42a…
10-31 17:00:36	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1,017	59¢	$600	0x4ddc7c…
10-31 14:05:22	SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	596	49¢	$292	0x39a3cf…
10-31 14:04:31	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0x68ae38…
10-31 14:03:54	FC Schalke 04 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	769	39¢	$300	0x946b84…
10-31 14:02:33	FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	739	41¢	$300	0x10eb9b…
10-31 14:00:18	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0x675762…
10-31 13:56:31	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1,530	28¢	$428	0xbe3ca2…
10-31 11:16:48	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	6,656	13¢	$865	0x140c03…
10-31 11:14:06	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	769	39¢	$300	0x31d259…
10-31 10:20:42	VfL Wolfsburg vs. VfL Osnabrück: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0x94733c…
10-31 10:20:31	VfL Wolfsburg vs. VfL Osnabrück: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x3ad5fb…
10-31 10:20:15	1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	789	38¢	$300	0x6c938d…
10-31 10:19:13	SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	769	39¢	$300	0x8621fd…
10-31 04:46:43	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	3,000	30¢	$900	0xa8426a…
10-31 04:44:45	Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xd3cc9d…
10-31 04:41:00	Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	189	80¢	$151	0xd2957d…
10-27 17:36:36	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	Cagliari Calcio	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0x9d72d9…
10-27 17:24:29	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x6be4d2…
10-25 15:47:38	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x6b8ea1…
10-25 15:47:32	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	476	63¢	$300	0xcb816a…
10-25 15:46:41	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1,434	35¢	$500	0xebb79f…
10-25 07:49:09	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x6202fe…
10-24 17:01:05	1. FC Nürnberg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	789	38¢	$300	0x8a83e0…
10-24 16:22:18	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xf896b4…
10-24 15:28:32	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1,388	36¢	$500	0x8ff241…
10-24 15:27:41	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1,020	49¢	$500	0xb85819…
10-24 12:52:12	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0x604df6…
10-24 12:51:45	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	1,190	42¢	$500	0xd14150…
10-24 10:07:11	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	556	36¢	$200	0x7e6af5…
10-24 10:07:00	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x4a1bb7…
10-24 10:06:11	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0xecb90e…
10-24 10:05:50	SC Paderborn 07 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	789	38¢	$300	0xdccea3…
10-24 10:05:27	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0xa9d883…
10-24 10:05:12	1. FC Köln vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	833	36¢	$300	0x4ca774…
10-24 10:04:50	RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xe841ec…
10-24 10:04:36	RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0xd0ffcb…
10-24 10:04:09	FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	667	45¢	$300	0x0e81f8…
10-24 10:03:17	1. FC Magdeburg vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x0c083e…
10-24 10:03:00	Hertha BSC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	789	37¢	$290	0x2fa4b1…
10-24 10:02:29	Hertha BSC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	789	38¢	$300	0xdcd8c1…
10-24 10:02:02	Hertha BSC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	789	38¢	$300	0x76c0b1…
10-24 10:01:33	1. FC Heidenheim vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0xda13f9…
10-24 10:01:23	1. FC Heidenheim vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0xa9901f…
10-23 15:55:05	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	1,190	42¢	$500	0x62a0ae…
10-23 15:53:23	VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	541	37¢	$200	0xe3a38a…
10-23 15:53:14	VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	526	57¢	$300	0xd27abb…
10-21 17:40:05	Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0x37162c…
10-21 17:39:32	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0xa327b2…
10-21 17:39:00	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	588	51¢	$300	0xfff166…
10-21 17:38:12	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x946524…
10-21 17:38:02	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x32359e…
10-21 17:37:33	Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)	Sporting CP	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0x24e1d5…
10-21 17:36:53	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Viking FK	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x8980da…
10-21 17:36:27	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0x8233bc…
10-21 16:22:57	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	1,136	44¢	$500	0xfd0472…
10-21 16:22:45	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0x928fc4…
10-21 16:22:33	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	588	34¢	$200	0x37e3c3…
10-20 20:50:06	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	4,167	23¢	$958	0x9f3df3…
10-20 16:06:50	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1,111	45¢	$500	0x84cd1e…
10-20 16:06:36	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	1,282	39¢	$500	0x73d893…
10-20 16:06:20	Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1,064	47¢	$500	0x706077…
10-20 16:05:53	SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x8fd642…
10-20 16:05:33	SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0x875bfe…
10-20 16:05:00	VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1,136	44¢	$500	0x79714b…
10-20 16:04:27	Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	625	32¢	$200	0xf9e0ca…
10-20 16:04:21	Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	545	55¢	$300	0x1c72ee…
10-19 15:14:08	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	541	37¢	$200	0x9bb0ed…
10-19 15:13:26	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0x701029…
10-18 17:41:20	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1,220	41¢	$500	0xb1b1f0…
10-18 13:32:03	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	1,429	35¢	$500	0xffe96b…