Subdued-Bear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-24 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$2

Other

31% 100% +$4

Politics

4% 100% +$4

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
solana above 30 on april 10	1	$106	106	0	+106	Yes	+$0	04-08 15:47
highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 16c	1	$106	106	0	+106	Yes	+$0	04-07 10:10
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on July 13?	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	07-10 14:53
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	1	$104	104	0	+104	No	+$0	03-14 04:34
will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-11 14:34
highest temperature in wuhan on april 4 2026 31corhigher	1	$98	98	0	+98	No	+$0	04-03 10:04
will ethereum dip to 1850 on april 6	1	$95	96	0	+96	No	+$0	04-06 06:15
solana above 130 on april 17	1	$95	95	0	+95	No	+$0	04-15 14:23
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on april 24	1	$94	94	0	+94	No	+$0	04-23 10:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	1	$93	93	0	+93	No	+$0	04-26 10:49
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	1	$93	93	0	+93	No	+$0	06-27 09:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 7?	1	$92	92	0	+92	No	+$0	06-03 14:59
ethereum above 2900 on april 21	1	$92	92	0	+92	No	+$0	04-19 12:01
will bitcoin reach 76k june 8 14 2026	1	$89	89	0	+89	No	+$0	06-11 12:54
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on May 13?	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	05-10 02:45
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 5?	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	05-03 03:13
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 25?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	05-22 03:53
will xrp dip to 0pt4 in february 2026	1	$78	78	0	+78	No	+$0	02-26 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 8?	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	05-07 12:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-30 16:09
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$44	25	25	+0	Yes	+$4	05-03 03:11
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	10-24 14:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	04-30 16:11
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 400 419	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	02-26 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-22 03:54
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	02-26 08:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-14 04:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 13?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	06-11 12:53
Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	05-13 06:26
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-27 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 14:55:26	Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x300fe8…
07-10 14:56:14	Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x010a7e…
07-10 14:53:14	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on July 13?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x8d92ff…
06-27 09:56:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xa89099…
06-27 09:55:05	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1508a7…
06-11 12:54:28	will bitcoin reach 76k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x9247f0…
06-11 12:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc7cb95…
06-03 15:01:06	Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bab68…
06-03 14:59:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 7?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x8597d5…
05-22 03:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x202fbf…
05-22 03:53:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 25?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa8dced…
05-13 06:26:45	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0b73b3…
05-13 06:26:05	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$12	0x9f5fc6…
05-10 02:45:44	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on May 13?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x967390…
05-10 02:43:12	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xa4d22e…
05-07 12:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 8?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6da3cf…
05-06 10:34:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x611a79…
05-03 03:13:22	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 5?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xade319…
05-03 03:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 68°F or higher on May 4?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec4973…
05-03 03:11:04	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xb5bf44…
04-30 16:13:10	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd05c62…
04-30 16:11:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa4374b…
04-30 16:10:54	Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcb0e20…
04-30 16:09:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x677ca0…
04-26 10:49:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x253082…
04-26 10:49:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5c7632…
04-25 01:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdc8447…
04-23 10:58:42	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on april 24	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x905f8d…
04-22 03:41:10	highest temperature in karachi on april 23 2026 25corbelow	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa6a6c6…
04-19 12:01:08	ethereum above 2900 on april 21	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xa51080…
04-17 09:16:12	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 17 2026 33c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7eced3…
04-15 14:23:10	solana above 130 on april 17	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x142151…
04-14 11:01:13	highest temperature in taipei on april 15 2026 27c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79648c…
04-11 14:34:13	will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9c2a8f…
04-08 15:47:29	solana above 30 on april 10	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xebd826…
04-07 10:10:49	highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x21c557…
04-06 06:15:35	will ethereum dip to 1850 on april 6	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0xd1289a…
04-06 06:12:45	highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 13c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x08742f…
04-03 10:04:49	highest temperature in wuhan on april 4 2026 31corhigher	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x4f2edc…
04-03 10:04:09	highest temperature in wuhan on april 4 2026 25c	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x1df20b…
03-18 08:17:49	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xd47dfe…
03-14 04:34:53	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x529797…
03-14 04:33:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x79302b…
02-26 08:42:46	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in february 2026	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xf0574f…
02-26 08:42:00	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4efc12…
02-26 08:41:18	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 400 419	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4d6cfd…