Empty-Annual — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.82K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

8,914

Trades

24,564

lifetime

Volume

$125.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$424

21 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-27 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 156 days

Categories

Other

43% 30% +$3,812

Crypto

38% 33% -$776

Politics

13% 19% -$173

Tech

3% 29% -$28

Sports

3% 47% -$14

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 873 trades/day

Open positions (21) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	+150	$78	50¢	$75	-$3	10-27 06:36
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	+89	$69	76¢	$67	-$2	10-26 18:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+100	$57	55¢	$55	-$2	10-18 18:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	+56	$47	88¢	$49	+$3	10-23 12:03
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+103	$49	45¢	$47	-$2	10-19 00:48
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	No	+50	$31	76¢	$38	+$7	10-22 12:44
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	+54	$28	50¢	$27	-$1	10-23 02:23
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	No	+20	$19	97¢	$19	+$0	10-23 13:20
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	+20	$19	96¢	$19	+$0	10-23 10:45
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	+45	$15	24¢	$11	-$4	10-24 14:04
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	+61	$13	12¢	$8	-$5	10-22 20:59
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	No	+5	$4	68¢	$3	-$1	10-25 06:19
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	+2	$2	92¢	$2	+$0	10-08 16:50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	Yes	+50	$3	3¢	$2	-$1	10-22 20:18
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	+4	$1	34¢	$1	+$1	10-05 00:06
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Yes	+20	$3	4¢	$1	-$2	10-22 11:24
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	78¢	$0	+$0	09-14 18:46
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	+0	$1	90¢	$0	-$1	10-18 10:53
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	10-16 22:28
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	84¢	$0	+$0	10-18 01:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	9¢	$0	$0	10-17 13:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	51	$3.9K	3,589	2,784	+805	Yes	+$4	10-16 21:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	17	$1.1K	1,314	1,314	+0	Yes	-$5	10-17 23:30
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	57	$1.1K	3,031	0	+3,031	Yes	+$1,968	10-12 10:52
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	13	$899	1,767	0	+1,767	Yes	+$867	10-12 10:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	22	$752	841	638	+203	open	—	10-19 00:48
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	13	$509	670	450	+220	open	—	10-24 00:23
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?	2	$504	300	300	+0	open	—	10-05 15:24
Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	4	$469	380	380	+0	open	—	10-18 20:11
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	7	$468	528	528	+0	open	—	10-15 20:16
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	4	$441	300	300	+0	open	—	10-14 17:31
Will Real Madrid finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	3	$439	300	300	+0	open	—	10-01 22:06
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	12	$433	271	271	+0	open	—	10-27 07:03
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?	22	$431	426	424	+2	open	—	10-18 06:16
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?	2	$429	300	300	+0	open	—	09-24 00:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	10	$420	300	300	+0	open	—	10-13 20:51
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	8	$415	350	350	+0	open	—	10-11 21:59
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	9	$408	648	648	+0	open	—	10-18 02:12
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	13	$404	441	441	+0	open	—	10-05 06:22
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	2	$396	300	300	+0	open	—	10-07 14:10
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	14	$395	419	359	+60	open	—	10-26 08:09
Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027?	10	$388	300	300	+0	open	—	10-11 13:35
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?	4	$388	320	320	+0	open	—	10-24 09:14
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	115	$382	389	389	+0	open	—	05-20 03:31
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	2	$380	290	290	+0	open	—	10-12 13:57
bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 11pm et	104	$373	416	297	+119	Down	-$32	07-30 03:59
Will Liquipedia Win the 2026 Esports Supporting Service of the Year Award?	4	$368	350	350	+0	open	—	10-05 01:28
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 30%-35%?	6	$361	240	240	+0	open	—	09-26 02:30
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	6	$350	398	398	+0	open	—	10-18 06:03
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	2	$342	300	300	+0	open	—	10-10 23:12
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	10	$342	1,493	0	+1,493	Yes	+$1,151	10-12 01:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:06:08	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xa9f1cb…
10-27 09:05:23	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $49 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1cc8f0…
10-27 09:02:35	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	201	38¢	$77	0x9dc123…
10-27 09:02:35	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	99	38¢	$37	0x7abe1c…
10-27 08:59:26	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x163f41…
10-27 08:58:00	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $58 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2c6179…
10-27 08:55:51	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xf55071…
10-27 08:45:23	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	70	80¢	$56	0x9354a2…
10-27 08:07:12	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x2fd45a…
10-27 08:07:11	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $610 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xda72cd…
10-27 08:03:05	Next DeepSeek Flash released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x772d02…
10-27 08:00:17	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $610 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x14ce4b…
10-27 07:42:38	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xda5594…
10-27 07:29:32	Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	118	40¢	$47	0x492c13…
10-27 07:27:26	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x205d68…
10-27 07:17:30	Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0x5209d7…
10-27 07:11:35	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $138 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd42645…
10-27 07:03:27	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	78¢	$83	0x54ac56…
10-27 06:56:11	Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xb1e914…
10-27 06:50:39	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $142 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc00452…
10-27 06:47:38	Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0x698db2…
10-27 06:42:20	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x45e29f…
10-27 06:39:32	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xb986cd…
10-27 06:39:15	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xbf9e00…
10-27 06:39:15	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xacd230…
10-27 06:36:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xb020ff…
10-27 06:36:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x8088b8…
10-27 06:35:33	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	Yes	BUY	31	27¢	$8	0xd9e65d…
10-27 06:33:51	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x6ea172…
10-27 06:30:26	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa6a384…
10-27 06:30:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $49 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9babf8…
10-27 06:19:29	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x38af58…
10-27 06:17:54	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3c318b…
10-27 06:15:45	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0x338ee3…
10-27 06:15:20	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x6b81ae…
10-27 06:14:50	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x17c619…
10-27 06:14:36	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x6cc08c…
10-27 06:00:29	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $148 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xadca49…
10-27 06:00:18	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x56038f…
10-27 06:00:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xed51ce…
10-27 05:59:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfbaa39…
10-27 05:59:54	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5a88dd…
10-27 05:59:53	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x83b47e…
10-27 05:47:05	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x5a6338…
10-27 05:40:33	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x9c49d2…
10-27 05:31:48	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x5a602d…
10-27 05:31:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xce5f35…
10-27 05:31:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x74af0d…
10-27 05:30:18	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xf52ede…
10-27 05:30:15	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $53 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xcb041d…
10-27 05:30:05	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xda3e53…
10-27 05:15:12	Jumper listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xd92b02…
10-27 05:00:05	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xac122d…
10-27 04:57:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x0c4806…
10-27 04:39:15	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xeaf690…
10-27 04:36:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xb3aa2b…
10-27 04:33:39	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xc2d938…
10-27 04:33:27	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xc5a608…
10-27 03:24:47	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xe6eabd…
10-27 03:14:53	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x6da82b…
10-27 03:14:53	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x214a40…
10-27 02:13:54	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings?	Yes	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0xb221d4…
10-27 01:46:15	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xc900d4…
10-27 01:43:24	Will Harold Fannin Jr. have 299.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x6acf31…
10-27 01:43:24	Will Harold Fannin Jr. have 299.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x518e0c…
10-27 01:27:36	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xc99afb…
10-27 01:25:06	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xb4cbf2…
10-27 01:19:44	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	26	21¢	$5	0xfd9722…
10-27 00:18:09	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x40d1a5…
10-27 00:00:54	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xbbdaf9…
10-27 00:00:44	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x4c8ddc…
10-27 00:00:12	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $138 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd19d28…
10-26 23:53:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb94685…
10-26 23:05:30	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $48 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x3b5990…
10-26 23:00:23	Will Liverpool finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	80	23¢	$18	0x595d95…
10-26 22:59:45	Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x055292…
10-26 22:17:57	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x6c91d6…
10-26 22:15:23	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0xfae1d4…
10-26 21:59:32	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x59a4dc…
10-26 21:53:30	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	No	SELL	50	55¢	$27	0x18a38b…
10-26 21:18:21	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x4b8258…
10-26 21:16:50	Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xd314c1…
10-26 21:13:09	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xac91c6…
10-26 20:50:29	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x5b8062…
10-26 20:32:51	Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x8aa740…
10-26 20:19:57	Will Jayden Daniels have 2,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x3d9168…
10-26 20:11:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x273dfd…
10-26 19:55:03	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $48 in October?	No	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x4aef5e…
10-26 19:53:18	Will the Winnipeg Jets record 100+ points?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x4dc4a6…
10-26 19:50:11	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	No	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x8b5892…
10-26 19:50:03	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xfe91a1…
10-26 19:46:53	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x9d7196…
10-26 19:39:12	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $57.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x860dfb…
10-26 19:35:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x8617d6…
10-26 19:31:42	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x731375…
10-26 19:30:15	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x7fa7c1…
10-26 19:12:45	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x406263…
10-26 19:09:39	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xacde8d…
10-26 18:51:35	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa353e3…
10-26 18:50:42	Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x66bbc6…