Realized P&L
-$196
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
96.1%
Resolved
1,492
Trades
2,884
lifetime
Volume
$66.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$83
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-29 10:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Other
99% 93% -$276
Politics
1% 86% +$82
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +50 $46 84¢ $42 -$4 10-29 09:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +30 $26 93¢ $28 +$2 10-26 08:03
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes -44 -$10 14¢ $-6 +$4 05-05 18:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -23 -$4 15¢ $-3 +$1 08-13 07:29
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -17 -$1 14¢ $-2 -$1 08-08 14:42
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No -22 -$5 4¢ $-1 +$4 05-06 07:21