Proper-Distribution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.4%

Resolved

192

Trades

1,580

lifetime

Volume

$8.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 09-15 12:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

72% 57% -$28

Politics

12% 33% -$19

Crypto

9% 60% -$4

Sports

4% 60% +$63

Tech

3% 75% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	62	$485	396	396	+0	No	+$5	05-15 14:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	33	$483	273	273	+0	No	+$3	04-25 10:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	17	$282	199	199	+0	No	+$2	04-29 16:58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	48	$202	580	483	+97	No	-$13	05-05 16:58
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	4	$192	100	100	+0	Yes	+$4	02-17 13:44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	19	$182	102	102	+0	No	+$2	07-03 15:26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	43	$166	573	573	+0	No	+$4	04-28 16:48
bitcoin above 70k on march 24	55	$166	119	113	+6	No	-$3	03-24 11:52
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	16	$141	167	167	+0	Yes	+$21	07-07 05:42
bitcoin above 68k on march 25	38	$139	89	82	+6	Yes	+$2	03-24 21:35
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	39	$138	118	118	+0	Yes	+$2	04-03 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	15	$131	76	66	+10	Yes	-$9	07-01 04:49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	13	$122	69	69	+0	No	+$3	05-20 06:44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	30	$119	332	294	+38	No	-$6	05-02 03:31
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	41	$115	357	357	+0	No	+$4	04-24 15:57
ethereum above 2100 on march 24	26	$111	61	61	+0	Yes	+$1	03-24 19:50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	21	$105	70	64	+6	No	+$2	06-09 03:25
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	18	$103	128	128	+0	Yes	+$4	04-23 16:39
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	19	$102	226	226	+0	Yes	+$2	05-08 09:13
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	10	$101	63	63	+0	No	+$1	05-22 21:56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	26	$101	66	66	+0	Yes	+$1	06-09 15:26
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	22	$101	62	62	+0	No	+$1	03-29 15:27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	23	$101	60	60	-0	No	+$1	06-06 23:54
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	20	$101	56	56	+0	No	+$1	06-08 07:19
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	22	$91	299	299	+0	No	+$7	04-22 04:10
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	13	$89	56	56	+0	No	+$1	05-15 11:18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	13	$89	190	162	+28	Yes	+$22	05-09 15:04
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	24	$89	63	63	+0	No	+$2	03-30 09:55
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	13	$87	130	130	+0	Yes	+$3	04-20 04:32
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	18	$85	127	127	+0	No	+$1	04-22 19:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 12:39:25	lol tes ig1 2026 09 17	Invictus Gaming	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x9e4679…
09-15 12:25:37	lol tes ig1 2026 09 17	Invictus Gaming	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc1b436…
09-15 12:22:31	Dota 2: NS Club vs Recrent Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B	Recrent Club	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x185332…
09-15 12:22:25	lol tes ig1 2026 09 17	Top Esports	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x1aa31e…
09-15 12:22:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0xa31f6b…
09-15 11:23:49	Dota 2: NS Club vs Recrent Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B	Recrent Club	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x19043e…
09-15 10:19:22	lol tes ig1 2026 09 17	Top Esports	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3ffeb6…
09-12 18:16:55	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x75e5d8…
09-11 22:41:19	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6f32e8…
09-11 20:22:58	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	76¢	$10	0x0b8507…
09-05 14:08:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x54eac2…
09-05 06:04:46	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe2db2d…
08-31 13:35:25	Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?	Yes	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x295b5e…
08-29 22:19:51	Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xa65167…
08-29 22:19:51	Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x2e90df…
08-29 20:43:43	Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?	Yes	SELL	62	19¢	$12	0x722f67…
08-29 20:03:06	Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?	Yes	BUY	52	16¢	$8	0xe9bf10…
08-29 20:03:06	Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x2fd77f…
08-26 21:45:58	Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?	Yes	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0x5bbd34…
08-26 17:55:18	Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3933f8…
08-05 13:10:17	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xcd4343…
08-05 13:10:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x64d1ed…
08-05 12:53:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x4bc06d…
08-05 12:34:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xd4a493…
07-31 13:20:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xa2e814…
07-30 11:32:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	1¢	$2	0xae91cc…
07-30 11:32:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x7c7cfb…
07-30 11:32:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0x758cec…
07-30 11:32:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x09c0ee…
07-30 11:32:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x3694f5…
07-30 11:30:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	8¢	$3	0x68c41c…
07-30 11:30:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0x7f8053…
07-30 11:30:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x6e88f5…
07-30 11:30:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x890ab4…
07-30 11:30:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	2¢	$3	0x4ac66a…
07-30 11:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x7c8cfc…
07-30 11:30:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	9¢	$7	0x9dc8e2…
07-30 11:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0x9bd7ab…
07-30 11:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x78fe34…
07-30 11:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x20bae4…
07-30 11:15:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0x220036…
07-30 11:13:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x1581a8…
07-30 11:13:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x7c722f…
07-30 11:13:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xc8afd4…
07-30 11:13:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0x355fb2…
07-30 03:29:21	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xdc660c…
07-29 20:41:35	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7ce094…
07-29 20:21:33	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x3a6884…
07-29 14:13:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xba99df…
07-29 13:31:14	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x1676ef…
07-29 13:31:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x8f40be…
07-29 13:30:41	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x685d5f…
07-28 16:26:07	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc4c0e5…
07-28 14:33:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xdd6749…
07-28 14:30:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x5043bc…
07-28 14:20:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x0942d7…
07-28 14:15:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x1f757a…
07-28 14:09:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x9a97f2…
07-28 14:04:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xad3d6a…
07-24 11:00:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xb4c851…
07-24 10:33:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x25b23b…
07-23 18:45:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xca7963…
07-23 17:09:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xb25d7a…
07-23 15:52:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xec797c…
07-23 15:21:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x53a259…
07-23 14:41:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbf8c0b…
07-23 14:30:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x40f9e7…
07-23 14:24:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x0422ba…
07-23 14:18:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x30f996…
07-23 13:50:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x50dfd3…
07-23 13:46:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6b4a12…
07-23 13:42:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd65f65…
07-23 13:17:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	24¢	$5	0x880778…
07-23 13:14:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x08315b…
07-23 11:22:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc99cdd…
07-23 10:21:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xdc9439…
07-22 20:24:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xbe9b48…
07-22 15:22:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3cff0b…
07-22 15:11:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x0ee5d3…
07-22 14:24:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x1250e7…
07-22 13:46:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf2415a…
07-21 17:57:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x13a3f4…
07-21 17:52:00	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xec2cab…
07-21 17:51:31	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x8ed0ff…
07-21 17:51:22	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xb8a32b…
07-21 17:32:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0x5a63f6…
07-21 17:32:37	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	20¢	$5	0x7a6c02…
07-21 15:22:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6c10e7…
07-21 13:43:48	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5e4db8…
07-21 06:14:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x030a37…
07-21 06:12:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0xf3ecc3…
07-21 06:12:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0x5775d1…
07-18 07:46:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x06a87f…
07-18 07:37:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x9b6a83…
07-18 07:03:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x6d6503…
07-18 06:57:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x72ca21…
07-18 02:22:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0xd7e0ec…
07-18 02:22:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x76b549…
07-18 02:22:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0x49de36…
07-18 02:22:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0x48e667…