Vibrant-Housework-Civilisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$209

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-26

last 05-28 03:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 58% -$114

Politics

12% 4% -$70

Other

2% 6% -$26

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-28).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+100	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	05-28 02:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$132	110	57	+52	Up	-$18	05-28 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	5	$124	65	65	+0	Down	+$4	05-28 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	5	$121	61	61	+0	Down	+$1	05-28 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$110	60	60	+0	Down	+$10	05-28 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$101	52	52	+0	Up	+$1	05-28 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$75	88	0	+88	Up	-$75	05-28 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	7	$74	44	44	+0	Down	+$14	05-28 01:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	3	$61	3,674	780	+2,894	No	-$49	05-28 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	4	$60	94	0	+94	Up	-$60	05-28 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$58	33	33	+0	Down	+$8	05-28 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$32	28	28	+0	Up	+$23	05-28 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	Down	+$2	05-28 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$25	32	0	+32	Up	+$7	05-28 00:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$20	32	32	+0	No	$0	05-28 03:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	2	$19	111	111	+0	No	-$1	05-28 03:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$16	17	9	+8	No	$0	05-28 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-28 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$15	1,250	0	+1,250	Up	-$15	05-28 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-28 01:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$10	05-28 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$10	543	0	+543	Down	-$10	05-28 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	05-28 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	-$5	05-28 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	-$4	05-28 01:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	3	$3	1,593	0	+1,593	No	-$3	05-28 02:49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-28 03:22
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$2	53	53	+0	No	+$0	05-28 03:22
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	05-28 00:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-28 03:23
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-28 00:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 03:27:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,894	2¢	$45	0xe3bcae…
05-28 03:26:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	30¢	$10	0x5191cd…
05-28 03:26:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	8¢	$9	0xdf459c…
05-28 03:26:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	780	1¢	$6	0x57625b…
05-28 03:25:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x485336…
05-28 03:25:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x093e82…
05-28 03:25:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	781	1¢	$10	0xfbcce6…
05-28 03:23:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xa6f838…
05-28 03:22:43	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0xba38ba…
05-28 03:22:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xac92a3…
05-28 02:49:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe0c571…
05-28 02:48:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe0eb96…
05-28 02:48:09	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x0393cf…
05-28 02:48:04	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xd6fac1…
05-28 02:47:55	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa01482…
05-28 02:46:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x660525…
05-28 02:46:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xadb813…
05-28 02:45:58	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbec057…
05-28 02:45:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x18a74c…
05-28 02:45:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x4af1ea…
05-28 02:44:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x92777b…
05-28 02:44:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xad66e6…
05-28 02:43:59	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x54d534…
05-28 02:43:55	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0f455b…
05-28 02:43:50	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb01cc7…
05-28 02:43:45	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdaa42b…
05-28 02:42:26	JD Vance out as VP by June 15?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x0a22b4…
05-28 02:42:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xbe2cbc…
05-28 02:41:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x82d2a9…
05-28 02:41:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x94e516…
05-28 02:41:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xe460f1…
05-28 02:41:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb6f9b3…
05-28 02:41:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc4e70b…
05-28 02:41:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xff6a49…
05-28 02:38:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	593	0¢	$1	0x5820ac…
05-28 02:37:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd3bd78…
05-28 02:37:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5a73e4…
05-28 02:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe988ac…
05-28 02:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb0ff6f…
05-28 02:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xccb730…
05-28 02:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x408a1a…
05-28 02:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0xe85783…
05-28 02:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x493c44…
05-28 02:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3df0c4…
05-28 02:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x486253…
05-28 02:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x055f33…
05-28 02:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x7959fa…
05-28 02:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2c75c9…
05-28 02:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe56053…
05-28 02:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xa12edb…
05-28 02:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x919a10…
05-28 02:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x5747e6…
05-28 02:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xfed55f…
05-28 02:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xcde0fd…
05-28 02:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x1a167e…
05-28 02:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xde478c…
05-28 02:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x259b88…
05-28 02:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x648c66…
05-28 01:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x363ac8…
05-28 01:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x196203…
05-28 01:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0af421…
05-28 01:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb99de4…
05-28 01:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x61470b…
05-28 01:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x192206…
05-28 01:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xf2f980…
05-28 01:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4808d4…
05-28 01:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x675f23…
05-28 01:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xda1a83…
05-28 01:31:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x5f961d…
05-28 01:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd80b80…
05-28 01:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x75917c…
05-28 01:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3a867d…
05-28 01:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xdec871…
05-28 01:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa0a8b6…
05-28 01:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x922c36…
05-28 01:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xee19fd…
05-28 01:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x23d697…
05-28 01:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9afbf4…
05-28 00:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcc4814…
05-28 00:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x002769…
05-28 00:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa0855a…
05-28 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe6f037…
05-28 00:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x370c43…
05-28 00:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x7cccbd…
05-28 00:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x87113d…
05-28 00:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xd46c1b…
05-28 00:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xddd6b0…
05-28 00:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xcebd3d…
05-28 00:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x727d28…
05-28 00:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x9cbf5e…
05-28 00:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6d0fe5…
05-28 00:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xddea0d…
05-28 00:38:02	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xff3d94…
05-28 00:37:41	Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2ec479…
05-28 00:37:38	Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x67d130…
05-28 00:37:34	Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x397f98…
05-28 00:37:29	Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x95bf08…
05-28 00:37:24	Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3eb025…
05-28 00:37:20	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x7a0df8…
05-28 00:37:10	Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf030e8…