Grouchy-Millstone 0xf0d9af…a3e4ee
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$45.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$539
Hit rate
96.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,564
lifetime
Volume
$2.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.29K
Open exposure
$123.0K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-29 18:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
68% 100% +$46,712
Other
29% 0% $-820
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -116,602 $-105,788 90¢ $-105525 +$263 06-29 18:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -6,237 $-6,218 100¢ $-6230 $-12 06-18 20:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -5,000 $-4,250 84¢ $-4175 +$75 06-26 18:57
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -3,884 $-3,612 96¢ $-3748 $-136 06-05 05:48
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -3,478 $-3,269 96¢ $-3321 $-52 06-01 14:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +4,810 $1,443 0¢ $22 $-1,421 06-14 21:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -3,266 $-1,831 0¢ $-8 +$1,823 06-18 20:36