Realized P&L
+$2.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$532
Hit rate
45.0%
Resolved
8,752
Trades
35,447
lifetime
Volume
$432.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$3.78K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 11:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 306 days
Categories
Other
60% 30% -$6,134
Sports
36% 41% +$7,326
Politics
3% 72% +$941
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% 61% +$210
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 518 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +600 $554 97¢ $582 +$29 10-28 13:54
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +400 $362 90¢ $358 -$4 10-02 16:45
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -300 -$134 72¢ $-218 -$84 06-04 23:54
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +200 $195 99¢ $198 +$3 10-27 21:51
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +200 $196 98¢ $196 +$0 10-27 18:37
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +200 $179 97¢ $194 +$15 10-19 11:13
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +200 $170 96¢ $192 +$22 10-19 11:04
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $177 88¢ $177 +$0 10-31 10:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $166 84¢ $167 +$1 09-26 00:33
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +200 $160 82¢ $164 +$4 10-29 17:39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +400 $161 40¢ $161 +$0 10-27 22:02
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +200 $136 74¢ $148 +$12 10-14 13:54
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +200 $141 73¢ $146 +$5 10-17 06:59
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -200 -$79 72¢ $-145 -$66 06-29 09:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +900 $224 12¢ $112 -$111 09-25 22:20
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +110 $93 80¢ $88 -$5 10-26 14:04
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +200 $77 33¢ $67 -$10 10-20 10:45
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +200 $84 28¢ $57 -$27 10-15 21:23
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +200 $89 28¢ $56 -$33 10-17 00:24
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +200 $54 28¢ $56 +$2 10-31 21:19
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +200 $70 26¢ $53 -$17 10-19 04:45
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +200 $56 26¢ $52 -$4 10-23 01:40
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +700 $117 6¢ $38 -$78 10-20 02:18
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +200 $28 18¢ $36 +$8 10-14 23:47
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +100 $17 30¢ $30 +$13 09-17 17:21
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +510 $145 4¢ $23 -$122 09-09 06:43
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +567 $38 4¢ $20 -$18 10-19 18:03
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +400 $40 4¢ $16 -$25 10-15 16:54
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +300 $24 4¢ $13 -$12 09-01 01:42
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +100 $43 12¢ $12 -$30 06-24 20:00