Flickering-Wing — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$466

Unrealized P&L

-$124

Hit rate

43.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

205

2,495 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$6.21K

$63.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$115

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-05 01:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

48% 43% -$958

Politics

46% 38% -$784

Crypto

5% 42% +$22

Sports

1% 17% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+107	$27	96¢	$103	+$75	11-01 22:44
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	+607	$182	2¢	$9	-$173	11-04 18:10
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?	Yes	+56	$10	4¢	$3	-$8	11-01 13:33
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Yes	+33	$6	1¢	$0	-$6	10-26 01:27
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	+20	$7	2¢	$0	-$7	10-26 01:25
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	+20	$7	1¢	$0	-$6	10-26 01:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will seguro win portugals abroad votes	24	$3.7K	6,369	6,369	+0	No	-$2,967	02-12 23:33
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	24	$2.7K	2,363	2,363	+0	Yes	+$482	01-23 18:10
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	54	$2.5K	8,854	8,868	-14	No	-$29	01-14 17:49
will joo cotrim de figueiredo win between 14 and 16 of votes in the first round	19	$2.3K	2,122	2,122	+0	No	+$638	01-18 23:31
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$1.6K	1,369	1,369	+0	Yes	+$443	10-25 23:49
will andr ventura win between 24 and 26 of votes in the first round	8	$1.6K	893	893	+0	No	+$224	01-19 08:21
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	56	$1.5K	2,214	2,214	+0	No	+$68	03-17 15:04
will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	21	$1.3K	971	971	+0	No	+$145	04-12 19:25
atp bergs sakella 2026 08 21	2	$1.3K	930	930	+0	Stefanos Sakellaridis	+$594	08-21 23:30
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	9	$1.2K	856	856	+0	open	—	11-04 03:07
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	53	$1.1K	3,401	3,401	+0	Yes	-$908	04-14 17:14
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	27	$1.1K	1,395	1,395	+0	open	—	11-04 06:26
will lus marques mendes win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$1.1K	669	668	+2	No	+$186	01-18 23:10
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?	11	$1.0K	618	618	+0	Yes	+$189	08-19 03:27
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?	3	$1.0K	609	609	+0	No	+$207	08-19 03:34
will henrique gouveia e melo win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	14	$942	436	636	-200	Yes	+$127	01-18 22:58
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	17	$933	655	655	+0	Yes	+$372	09-09 02:33
atp musetti tiafoe 2026 08 21	2	$880	667	667	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$280	08-22 00:46
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	10	$877	552	552	+0	Yes	+$98	09-13 20:29
Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	15	$826	597	597	+0	Yes	+$360	08-18 23:40
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	10	$800	828	828	+0	Yes	+$613	09-10 05:00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	112	$781	23,561	23,561	+0	No	-$92	09-19 23:56
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	7	$771	490	490	+0	No	+$186	01-30 09:30
itf senn bieldiu 2026 08 21	11	$761	1,088	1,088	+0	Tymur Bieldiugin	-$66	08-21 22:39
Will Darline Graham Nordone win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?	6	$731	423	423	+0	Yes	+$98	08-25 23:19
Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?	10	$702	858	858	+0	Yes	+$98	10-30 18:21
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	21	$672	819	819	+0	Yes	-$169	08-26 01:25
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	12	$622	875	875	+0	No	-$255	08-26 01:18
Will Ralph Norman win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?	4	$577	341	341	+0	No	+$91	08-25 23:17
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	36	$573	17,279	0	+17,279	Yes	-$573	01-26 19:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 01:21:42	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	768	3¢	$19	0x260525…
11-05 00:37:19	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	768	3¢	$22	0x77055e…
11-05 00:29:54	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x653c51…
11-04 18:10:00	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xe508e9…
11-04 09:38:42	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	602	17¢	$102	0x2209fe…
11-04 09:36:25	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	184	87¢	$160	0x603751…
11-04 08:34:04	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	81	11¢	$9	0xf35c00…
11-04 08:01:30	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	643	24¢	$152	0x7f6046…
11-04 07:57:48	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	165	12¢	$20	0x55d0b0…
11-04 07:51:25	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xcbaa1c…
11-04 07:44:16	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	138	66¢	$92	0x62c029…
11-04 07:43:54	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	36	66¢	$24	0x3f2263…
11-04 06:59:51	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x78b345…
11-04 06:50:54	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0x22a6dc…
11-04 06:49:49	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	69	30¢	$21	0xe37c8f…
11-04 06:47:13	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf3b8b0…
11-04 06:46:06	Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x291bbe…
11-04 06:32:04	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x34ec96…
11-04 06:30:40	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	25¢	$9	0x5d6df9…
11-04 06:26:09	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xfcfd8e…
11-04 06:26:09	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	286	87¢	$250	0xd3cac7…
11-04 06:26:09	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	113	89¢	$100	0xa1d299…
11-04 06:26:09	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x97ee97…
11-04 06:00:36	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	38¢	$42	0x901026…
11-04 05:57:40	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	25¢	$29	0x1d435c…
11-04 05:51:58	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$45	0x8ebe6c…
11-04 05:18:28	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	67	81¢	$54	0x543888…
11-04 05:16:19	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0x24048d…
11-04 05:10:51	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	53	61¢	$33	0xd7ba77…
11-04 05:00:33	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	39	21¢	$8	0xf9b6aa…
11-04 04:40:34	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa15997…
11-04 04:36:46	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x867551…
11-04 04:36:46	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x52a89b…
11-04 04:35:31	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xc53453…
11-04 04:35:31	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	119	52¢	$62	0xb5f3f6…
11-04 04:34:58	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0x15df13…
11-04 04:15:39	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	188	85¢	$159	0xa1f431…
11-04 03:50:12	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	No	SELL	46	41¢	$19	0xb09f0e…
11-04 03:50:12	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	No	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0x2d9016…
11-04 03:50:12	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	No	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0x1b603f…
11-04 03:45:37	Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	239	7¢	$18	0x2c3d4f…
11-04 03:43:36	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xad73d3…
11-04 03:43:36	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x88e795…
11-04 03:43:36	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x7ba771…
11-04 03:43:06	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xff26d6…
11-04 03:40:22	Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	185	15¢	$29	0x9b9c9f…
11-04 03:39:54	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3abb38…
11-04 03:19:48	Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	75	39¢	$30	0xb50302…
11-04 03:07:03	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	753	97¢	$730	0x700fef…
11-04 02:33:12	Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	43	43¢	$19	0xb6bd49…
11-04 02:32:36	Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	97	40¢	$39	0x2edd93…
11-04 02:29:12	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0x06ab1a…
11-04 02:21:10	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x3fd44b…
11-04 02:17:54	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	231	14¢	$32	0xc44297…
11-04 02:17:49	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xa9de0f…
11-04 02:17:46	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	159	15¢	$23	0xb9e019…
11-04 02:05:19	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0x18d821…
11-04 00:52:43	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xbca5fd…
11-04 00:52:34	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x3716a4…
11-04 00:50:19	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	498	3¢	$17	0x32da31…
11-04 00:44:43	Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xfe1cc2…
11-04 00:29:39	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	233	9¢	$21	0xbce43f…
11-04 00:28:42	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xf8fd1c…
11-04 00:28:12	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	265	9¢	$24	0xd11e84…
11-04 00:27:52	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	53	63¢	$33	0x0f22be…
11-03 23:37:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	134	19¢	$26	0x4aafb4…
11-03 23:35:24	Will the Republican Party hold below 170 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	130	10¢	$13	0x4748b6…
11-03 23:31:22	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	248	10¢	$25	0x449579…
11-03 23:30:55	Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	3,563	0¢	$16	0xe104e0…
11-03 23:26:49	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	230	53¢	$122	0xeb8c9b…
11-03 23:24:12	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	230	19¢	$44	0x499c62…
11-03 23:18:06	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	238	19¢	$45	0xc3c1ce…
11-03 23:10:00	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0xc1b126…
11-03 22:34:57	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	120	46¢	$55	0x0ec384…
11-03 22:22:42	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	44	25¢	$11	0x17fc7f…
11-03 22:10:00	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x88322c…
11-03 22:08:04	Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	388	1¢	$5	0x026ff1…
11-03 22:07:58	Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	569	1¢	$5	0x34b7f4…
11-03 19:52:25	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x247a86…
11-03 17:46:24	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x64e842…
11-03 16:40:43	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	249	45¢	$112	0x29e98a…
11-03 14:20:01	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6c4d1a…
11-03 14:20:01	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x53d743…
11-03 14:10:36	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xb447c0…
11-03 13:32:36	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	109	36¢	$39	0x3f39e8…
11-03 09:42:45	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	346	1¢	$4	0xef41cb…
11-03 09:29:12	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x437daa…
11-03 09:28:42	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe9815d…
11-03 09:15:28	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xfbd4b0…
11-03 09:15:13	Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	208	1¢	$2	0x1cbf22…
11-03 09:15:00	Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x3b097a…
11-03 09:14:45	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x0d4c65…
11-03 09:14:31	Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x614d95…
11-03 08:17:45	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$6	0x6c997b…
11-02 21:10:12	Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0xe7c8e7…
11-02 21:09:07	Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xf32c4e…
11-02 20:25:34	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	59	44¢	$26	0x3424b3…
11-02 15:10:54	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x730043…
11-01 22:44:45	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x2b8ef2…
11-01 22:44:37	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xc52b16…