Downright-Doctrine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$267

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$66

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	-10	$-8	99¢	$-10	$-2	05-05 15:22
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	-14	$-11	63¢	$-9	+$2	05-05 16:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	-16	$-11	38¢	$-6	+$5	05-05 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	-16	$-15	34¢	$-5	+$9	05-05 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:19:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xd9b98a…
05-05 16:02:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	73¢	$11	0xb75427…
05-05 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x80be09…
05-05 15:22:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x0f7c39…
05-05 14:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0xd7dc07…
05-05 14:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x03b3d7…
05-05 14:02:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x7d7a55…
05-05 12:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xedf7f8…
05-05 12:10:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfc5b0d…
05-05 12:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x3c4680…
05-05 09:51:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x2d7000…
05-05 09:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xade773…
05-05 09:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x7b2358…
05-05 07:15:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbf43fd…
05-05 07:05:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x29ef3f…
05-05 07:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x29fe1d…
05-05 06:10:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x891eb9…
05-05 06:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xcb54d7…
05-05 06:10:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6152b0…
05-05 06:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0bdb7c…
05-05 06:04:52	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x7affe2…
05-05 06:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x270be1…
05-05 05:55:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0b371b…
05-05 05:55:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1ac7d9…
05-05 05:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4e08a5…
05-05 05:35:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0x8e3ce6…
05-05 05:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6a00fa…
05-05 05:30:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb2e7bd…
05-05 05:30:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xcee3d0…
05-05 05:30:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x67df6f…
05-05 05:25:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xdf939b…
05-05 05:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5e3f7e…
05-05 05:20:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xff4a17…
05-05 05:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x393f26…
05-05 05:15:38	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd5f19a…
05-05 05:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9f5ace…
05-05 05:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3adced…
05-05 05:10:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x919de1…
05-05 05:10:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa49765…
05-05 05:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa24ac4…
05-04 20:59:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x2f1a3c…
05-04 20:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x02ced3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	24	$1.67K	73	05-05 16:02
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	23	$1.50K	140	05-05 16:04
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	12	$786	31	05-05 16:02
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	10	$749	48	05-05 16:02
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	9	$891	45	05-05 15:37
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	8	$792	41	05-05 15:37
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	8	$781	16	05-05 14:42
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	5	$1.15K	5	05-05 06:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$15	14	14	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$15	0	16	-16	open	—	05-05 15:39
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$12	0	15	-15	Down	$-3	05-05 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$12	0	16	-16	open	—	05-05 14:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$11	0	16	-16	open	—	05-05 16:02
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$11	0	14	-14	open	—	05-05 16:19
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$11	0	16	-16	open	—	05-05 14:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$11	0	15	-15	open	—	05-05 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$10	0	14	-14	Up	+$10	05-04 20:59
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$10	0	14	-14	Down	$-4	05-04 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	05-05 12:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$8	0	10	-10	open	—	05-05 15:22
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	$-5	05-05 05:55
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-05 05:25
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	+$12	05-05 05:10
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	+$9	05-05 05:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	+$11	05-05 05:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-05 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-05 06:05
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-05 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	+$9	05-05 05:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	+$11	05-05 05:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	+$9	05-05 05:15
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	$-5	05-05 06:10
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-05 06:10
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	+$9	05-05 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-05 09:45
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	+$10	05-05 05:30