Downright-Doctrine — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$3.31K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.8%

Resolved (90d)

1,685

Trades (90d)

44,664

103,497 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$133.9K

$540.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 11-06 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$31,546

Other

0% 62% +$90

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 8465 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	6	$7.2K	4,635	4,635	+0	Down	+$1,240	05-21 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	8	$3.5K	5,500	0	+5,500	Down	-$1,152	05-21 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	4	$3.3K	2,354	2,354	+0	Down	+$1,331	05-21 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$3.0K	300,000	0	+300,000	Up	-$3,000	05-21 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	6	$3.0K	5,760	0	+5,760	Up	-$3,000	05-20 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	3	$2.6K	1,614	1,614	+0	Down	+$548	05-20 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	7	$2.4K	6,038	0	+6,038	Down	-$2,425	05-20 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$2.4K	1,376	1,376	+0	Up	+$351	05-20 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	4	$2.0K	3,358	0	+3,358	Down	-$816	05-21 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$1.9K	1,264	1,264	+0	Up	+$652	05-20 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	4	$1.8K	4,261	856	+3,405	Down	-$167	05-21 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$1.6K	1,164	1,164	+0	Up	+$541	05-20 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$1.5K	2,488	0	+2,488	Down	-$562	05-21 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	3	$1.5K	2,254	0	+2,254	Up	-$3	05-20 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$1.5K	2,299	0	+2,299	Down	-$543	05-20 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$1.5K	2,816	0	+2,816	Up	+$43	05-21 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$1.5K	1,072	1,072	+0	Down	+$473	05-21 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$1.4K	964	964	+0	Down	+$449	05-21 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$1.4K	954	954	+0	Down	+$445	05-20 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3PM ET	2	$1.4K	942	942	+0	Down	+$439	05-22 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$1.4K	932	932	+0	Up	+$423	05-20 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$1.4K	924	924	+0	Up	+$414	05-20 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$1.4K	1,008	1,008	+0	Up	+$408	05-20 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$1.4K	1,694	673	+1,020	Down	+$409	05-20 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,866	931	+935	Up	+$319	05-20 11:59
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$1.4K	879	879	+0	Up	+$370	05-20 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$1.3K	806	806	+0	Up	+$298	05-20 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:55 UTC	173	$1.3K	2,825	0	+2,825	Up	+$216	07-31 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$1.2K	740	740	+0	Down	+$233	05-20 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 20:30 UTC	231	$1.2K	2,362	0	+2,362	Up	-$115	07-03 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 12:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3b3249…
11-06 12:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x34943f…
11-06 12:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x17e8a7…
11-06 12:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xba35f4…
11-06 12:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9556be…
11-06 12:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x4f907e…
11-06 12:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfb98c8…
11-06 12:29:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd0b6ba…
11-06 12:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x143480…
11-06 12:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6a1e77…
11-06 12:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x528a7c…
11-06 12:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7d9428…
11-06 12:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa8d96b…
11-06 12:14:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4a89d7…
11-06 12:13:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb517c3…
11-06 12:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3a26ba…
11-06 12:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x103b3a…
11-06 12:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf750c2…
11-06 12:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x84c81d…
11-06 12:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb441ae…
11-06 12:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6ff1e5…
11-06 12:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x690c3c…
11-06 12:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb4ed63…
11-06 12:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xf78859…
11-06 12:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa4ad7a…
11-06 11:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5ee873…
11-06 11:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf5cf15…
11-06 11:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2073c6…
11-06 11:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9d1e00…
11-06 11:44:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb2d1be…
11-06 11:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x92cc88…
11-06 11:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x67a8b6…
11-06 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4e75c4…
11-06 11:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa0ebf3…
11-06 11:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa8e8f5…
11-06 11:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x52b7bf…
11-06 11:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x878af5…
11-06 11:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x7cc08b…
11-06 11:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf8c324…
11-06 11:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaa9950…
11-06 11:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x71fe34…
11-06 11:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x467003…
11-06 11:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x56361b…
11-06 11:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1d5c25…
11-06 11:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0e897d…
11-06 11:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x474b67…
11-06 11:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x701be9…
11-06 11:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xeb71ae…
11-06 11:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x4c64d4…
11-06 11:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x360589…
11-06 11:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4ba93e…
11-06 11:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4962e7…
11-06 11:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xedde78…
11-06 11:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xef6aa3…
11-06 11:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7a8fc5…
11-06 11:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1e70db…
11-06 10:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x9889a8…
11-06 10:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xf4a452…
11-06 10:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9e8247…
11-06 10:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x3f744e…
11-06 10:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x084466…
11-06 10:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xe82ed6…
11-06 10:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x29df56…
11-06 10:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd0f17c…
11-06 10:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7353f5…
11-06 10:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3512ed…
11-06 10:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb8af4e…
11-06 10:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4bb7ff…
11-06 10:26:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa3629a…
11-06 10:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xfdbd1c…
11-06 09:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1a44b0…
11-06 09:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x921d87…
11-06 09:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xffd5ed…
11-06 09:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc7fdbb…
11-06 09:12:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2c83d3…
11-06 09:11:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9b5079…
11-06 08:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcf0b23…
11-06 08:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xef2b50…
11-06 08:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x04628e…
11-06 08:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x776b80…
11-06 08:43:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7676f8…
11-06 08:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xcd1fdb…
11-06 08:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x105df4…
11-06 08:39:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc7152f…
11-06 08:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4db000…
11-06 08:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x71af62…
11-06 07:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xea86f5…
11-06 07:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1571cc…
11-06 07:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9edad3…
11-06 07:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd9c0c9…
11-06 07:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe1fbe5…
11-06 07:59:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdd5c6e…
11-06 07:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x01a99a…
11-06 07:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc8916c…
11-06 07:57:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x05bbf3…
11-06 07:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x35d121…
11-06 07:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xecd7ff…
11-06 07:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xcbb080…
11-06 07:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xddba83…
11-06 07:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x34c18b…