Downright-Doctrine — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved (30d)

375

Trades (30d)

1,691

112,124 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.80K

$583.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 11-05 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$31,518

Other

0% 62% +$90

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 8465 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	—	+20	$10	100¢	$20	+$10	11-05 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	—	+10	$5	99¢	$10	+$5	11-05 21:58
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	98¢	$5	+$2	11-05 21:53
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	98¢	$5	+$2	11-05 21:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	6	$7.2K	4,635	4,635	+0	Down	+$1,240	05-21 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	8	$3.5K	5,500	0	+5,500	Down	-$1,152	05-21 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	4	$3.3K	2,354	2,354	+0	Down	+$1,331	05-21 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$3.0K	300,000	0	+300,000	Up	-$3,000	05-21 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	6	$3.0K	5,760	0	+5,760	Up	-$3,000	05-20 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	3	$2.6K	1,614	1,614	+0	Down	+$548	05-20 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	7	$2.4K	6,038	0	+6,038	Down	-$2,425	05-20 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$2.4K	1,376	1,376	+0	Up	+$351	05-20 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	4	$2.0K	3,358	0	+3,358	Down	-$816	05-21 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$1.9K	1,264	1,264	+0	Up	+$652	05-20 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	4	$1.8K	4,261	856	+3,405	Down	-$167	05-21 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$1.6K	1,164	1,164	+0	Up	+$541	05-20 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$1.5K	2,488	0	+2,488	Down	-$562	05-21 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	3	$1.5K	2,254	0	+2,254	Up	-$3	05-20 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$1.5K	2,299	0	+2,299	Down	-$543	05-20 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$1.5K	2,816	0	+2,816	Up	+$43	05-21 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$1.5K	1,072	1,072	+0	Down	+$473	05-21 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$1.4K	964	964	+0	Down	+$449	05-21 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$1.4K	954	954	+0	Down	+$445	05-20 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3PM ET	2	$1.4K	942	942	+0	Down	+$439	05-22 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$1.4K	932	932	+0	Up	+$423	05-20 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$1.4K	924	924	+0	Up	+$414	05-20 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$1.4K	1,008	1,008	+0	Up	+$408	05-20 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$1.4K	1,694	673	+1,020	Down	+$409	05-20 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,866	931	+935	Up	+$319	05-20 11:59
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$1.4K	879	879	+0	Up	+$370	05-20 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$1.3K	806	806	+0	Up	+$298	05-20 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:55 UTC	173	$1.3K	2,825	0	+2,825	Up	+$216	07-31 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$1.2K	740	740	+0	Down	+$233	05-20 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 20:30 UTC	231	$1.2K	2,362	0	+2,362	Up	-$115	07-03 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 21:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x816dc6…
11-05 21:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0e74b1…
11-05 21:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1efff9…
11-05 21:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb664d1…
11-05 21:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x64a82a…
11-05 21:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa848bb…
11-05 21:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x116422…
11-05 21:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x517ddc…
11-05 21:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4a9069…
11-05 21:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x971669…
11-05 21:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x749526…
11-05 21:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x53a490…
11-05 21:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x627052…
11-05 21:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xef8035…
11-05 21:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x24542b…
11-05 21:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe0701a…
11-05 21:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd8de68…
11-05 21:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x2d071b…
11-05 21:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x16f6fb…
11-05 21:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x06be6f…
11-05 21:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7630a7…
11-05 21:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x332b24…
11-05 21:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8e0cef…
11-05 21:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe48781…
11-05 21:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9c9a82…
11-05 21:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbb5860…
11-05 21:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb7aeb2…
11-05 21:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x8ba2e2…
11-05 21:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7b98c2…
11-05 21:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3d6d13…
11-05 21:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe12ce7…
11-05 21:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xf84f12…
11-05 21:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x936051…
11-05 21:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x232854…
11-05 21:24:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2f7cc5…
11-05 21:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xb74bda…
11-05 21:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcb71c7…
11-05 21:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3ad756…
11-05 21:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb5b171…
11-05 21:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x4670f3…
11-05 21:22:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe301a0…
11-05 21:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1f43c5…
11-05 21:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf7d18a…
11-05 21:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5c6d26…
11-05 21:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x95396e…
11-05 21:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x925312…
11-05 21:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbf934b…
11-05 21:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1db7b1…
11-05 21:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xad6ef3…
11-05 21:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc059d1…
11-05 21:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6d531c…
11-05 21:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5f15bf…
11-05 21:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3fd1fd…
11-05 21:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x174786…
11-05 21:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa1680e…
11-05 21:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9aa232…
11-05 21:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xca79ba…
11-05 21:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x77ba3d…
11-05 21:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfde9c2…
11-05 21:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8a0b07…
11-05 21:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3b9d6d…
11-05 21:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa3b64e…
11-05 21:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x51a158…
11-05 21:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa93095…
11-05 21:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x57dff9…
11-05 21:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe7c969…
11-05 21:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4fba83…
11-05 21:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x32cfcc…
11-05 21:04:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5db691…
11-05 21:04:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x30a955…
11-05 21:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfaaa10…
11-05 21:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfb27a4…
11-05 21:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x428d2f…
11-05 21:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0cdba6…
11-05 20:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x575d6c…
11-05 20:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xba357d…
11-05 20:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb14c54…
11-05 20:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0b0491…
11-05 20:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x839aa7…
11-05 20:57:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x45c385…
11-05 20:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x015743…
11-05 20:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x395194…
11-05 20:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xff3aeb…
11-05 20:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x87babe…
11-05 20:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf1b5d5…
11-05 20:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf92d49…
11-05 20:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x8f4934…
11-05 20:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x27d2a8…
11-05 20:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb186f9…
11-05 20:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x061202…
11-05 20:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x16b40b…
11-05 20:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd0d38a…
11-05 20:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbcb6e6…
11-05 20:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4a0245…
11-05 20:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x267a1d…
11-05 20:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcaa72b…
11-05 20:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfe605f…
11-05 20:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc0c77f…
11-05 20:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbea5f5…
11-05 20:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x819f65…