Downright-Doctrine — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$22

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved (30d)

133

Trades (30d)

752

111,194 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.69K

$581.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 11-05 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$31,545

Other

0% 62% +$90

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 8465 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	—	+20	$10	98¢	$20	+$10	11-05 08:39
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	98¢	$5	+$2	11-05 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	—	+7	$4	2¢	$0	-$3	11-05 08:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	6	$7.2K	4,635	4,635	+0	Down	+$1,240	05-21 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	8	$3.5K	5,500	0	+5,500	Down	-$1,152	05-21 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	4	$3.3K	2,354	2,354	+0	Down	+$1,331	05-21 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$3.0K	300,000	0	+300,000	Up	-$3,000	05-21 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	6	$3.0K	5,760	0	+5,760	Up	-$3,000	05-20 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	3	$2.6K	1,614	1,614	+0	Down	+$548	05-20 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	7	$2.4K	6,038	0	+6,038	Down	-$2,425	05-20 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$2.4K	1,376	1,376	+0	Up	+$351	05-20 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	4	$2.0K	3,358	0	+3,358	Down	-$816	05-21 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$1.9K	1,264	1,264	+0	Up	+$652	05-20 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	4	$1.8K	4,261	856	+3,405	Down	-$167	05-21 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$1.6K	1,164	1,164	+0	Up	+$541	05-20 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$1.5K	2,488	0	+2,488	Down	-$562	05-21 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	3	$1.5K	2,254	0	+2,254	Up	-$3	05-20 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$1.5K	2,299	0	+2,299	Down	-$543	05-20 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$1.5K	2,816	0	+2,816	Up	+$43	05-21 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$1.5K	1,072	1,072	+0	Down	+$473	05-21 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$1.4K	964	964	+0	Down	+$449	05-21 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$1.4K	954	954	+0	Down	+$445	05-20 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3PM ET	2	$1.4K	942	942	+0	Down	+$439	05-22 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$1.4K	932	932	+0	Up	+$423	05-20 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$1.4K	924	924	+0	Up	+$414	05-20 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$1.4K	1,008	1,008	+0	Up	+$408	05-20 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$1.4K	1,694	673	+1,020	Down	+$409	05-20 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,866	931	+935	Up	+$319	05-20 11:59
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$1.4K	879	879	+0	Up	+$370	05-20 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$1.3K	806	806	+0	Up	+$298	05-20 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:55 UTC	173	$1.3K	2,825	0	+2,825	Up	+$216	07-31 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$1.2K	740	740	+0	Down	+$233	05-20 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 20:30 UTC	231	$1.2K	2,362	0	+2,362	Up	-$115	07-03 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 08:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd4859f…
11-05 08:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xbfa5df…
11-05 08:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x19d201…
11-05 08:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x85936a…
11-05 08:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x82a0a9…
11-05 08:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeb9125…
11-05 08:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x086951…
11-05 08:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc9249d…
11-05 08:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xfa6f07…
11-05 08:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3b8ad1…
11-05 08:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x346c13…
11-05 08:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x0bdaf1…
11-05 08:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x37a0c5…
11-05 08:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6ed23c…
11-05 08:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x15bb1e…
11-05 08:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x11a2e9…
11-05 08:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xec732d…
11-05 08:34:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4edf77…
11-05 08:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x15061f…
11-05 08:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4f041f…
11-05 08:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x11ed6c…
11-05 08:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe503da…
11-05 08:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xee2c89…
11-05 08:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5b61b6…
11-05 08:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf62b0b…
11-05 08:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3bb0e6…
11-05 08:24:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaafee1…
11-05 08:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xce949d…
11-05 08:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xf0f524…
11-05 08:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa23f3f…
11-05 08:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf8b4b0…
11-05 08:21:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe90f14…
11-05 08:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb9cf6f…
11-05 08:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfae143…
11-05 08:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0b155a…
11-05 08:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x355b59…
11-05 08:19:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3e2bec…
11-05 08:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0d97e3…
11-05 08:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb849f3…
11-05 08:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x19b415…
11-05 08:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf2949a…
11-05 08:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xe70398…
11-05 08:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x91fb9e…
11-05 08:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdae349…
11-05 08:13:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9a7a1c…
11-05 08:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x06a8c6…
11-05 08:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x917da8…
11-05 08:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x56d83b…
11-05 08:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbfd56f…
11-05 08:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x29ce8f…
11-05 08:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xec1da1…
11-05 08:08:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xf94efe…
11-05 08:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0168ff…
11-05 08:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xff1906…
11-05 08:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x872afc…
11-05 08:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf48837…
11-05 08:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x682aa2…
11-05 08:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7916f1…
11-05 08:03:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd55d14…
11-05 07:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x38a99f…
11-05 07:59:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x712b90…
11-05 07:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8c2399…
11-05 07:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x846fe1…
11-05 07:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x159439…
11-05 07:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf52038…
11-05 07:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x537bd7…
11-05 07:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcc6f4b…
11-05 07:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x421c11…
11-05 07:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xeabdf2…
11-05 07:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd9d33c…
11-05 07:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x98fb04…
11-05 07:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x932ffc…
11-05 07:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7b0ff5…
11-05 07:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbc049d…
11-05 07:49:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4c653c…
11-05 07:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xac9d60…
11-05 07:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa8ae68…
11-05 07:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x50ddfa…
11-05 07:48:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3c7762…
11-05 07:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4867ce…
11-05 07:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x4e59b3…
11-05 07:44:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1358a2…
11-05 07:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc6c962…
11-05 07:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc23350…
11-05 07:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe34105…
11-05 07:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1d949b…
11-05 07:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1236f2…
11-05 07:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf6153a…
11-05 07:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x44abb3…
11-05 07:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xfe4734…
11-05 07:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe67329…
11-05 07:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7b58c0…
11-05 07:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x04e721…
11-05 07:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x488af8…
11-05 07:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6f6407…
11-05 07:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb03aed…
11-05 07:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x18a0c1…
11-05 07:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x083201…
11-05 07:34:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x086009…
11-05 07:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x804732…