Realized P&L
+$13.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.35K
Hit rate
94.9%
Resolved
41
Trades
190
lifetime
Volume
$173.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$912
Open exposure
$42.9K
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-03 03:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
58%
94%
+$14,593
Other
35%
85%
+$1,651
Crypto
8%
80%
-$3,045
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +30,264 | $21,219 | 82¢ | $24.7K | +$3,446 | 06-03 03:14 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | +10,000 | $8,200 | 94¢ | $9.3K | +$1,150 | 05-16 20:40 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | +5,000 | $3,390 | 96¢ | $4.8K | +$1,407 | 05-20 09:17 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | +5,000 | $2,700 | 81¢ | $4.1K | +$1,350 | 05-16 01:42 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 3 | $26.6K | 26,939 | 0 | +26,939 | No | +$388 | 02-02 22:53 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 3 | $21.2K | 30,264 | 0 | +30,264 | open | — | 06-03 03:14 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 1 | $12.6K | 13,984 | 0 | +13,984 | Yes | +$1,398 | 01-06 23:15 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 1 | $9.7K | 19,637 | 0 | +19,637 | No | +$9,949 | 01-15 00:55 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 1 | $8.2K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | open | — | 05-16 20:40 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15 | 9 | $7.1K | 7,380 | 0 | +7,380 | No | +$261 | 03-12 06:02 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | 5 | $4.9K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$60 | 04-08 09:08 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | 7 | $4.9K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$90 | 04-08 09:20 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 1 | $4.9K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$110 | 04-08 09:43 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | 18 | $4.8K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$220 | 04-08 13:33 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 20 | $4.8K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$250 | 01-25 11:08 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 1 | $4.7K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$285 | 03-11 01:22 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 2 | $4.5K | 4,524 | 0 | +4,524 | Yes | +$68 | 02-02 12:50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | 8 | $3.8K | 3,903 | 0 | +3,903 | No | +$59 | 04-08 10:11 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31 | 1 | $3.5K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$1,450 | 03-11 04:13 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 1 | $3.4K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$1,550 | 03-11 01:48 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 3 | $3.4K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$1,550 | 03-11 04:12 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 1 | $3.4K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | open | — | 05-20 09:17 |
| will iran strike israel on march 10 | 10 | $2.9K | 3,011 | 0 | +3,011 | Yes | +$90 | 03-13 00:03 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | 1 | $2.7K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | open | — | 05-16 01:42 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April? | 1 | $2.4K | 2,500 | 0 | +2,500 | No | +$85 | 04-08 08:04 |
| will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march | 12 | $2.1K | 2,153 | 0 | +2,153 | No | +$34 | 03-12 05:19 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | 2 | $2.1K | 2,500 | 0 | +2,500 | No | +$425 | 04-08 11:28 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | 1 | $2.0K | 2,500 | 0 | +2,500 | No | +$500 | 04-08 09:46 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 2 | $2.0K | 19,223 | 0 | +19,223 | No | -$2,000 | 03-11 01:10 |
| will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026 | 11 | $2.0K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | +$40 | 01-25 08:39 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | 1 | $2.0K | 1,974 | 0 | +1,974 | No | +$24 | 04-08 12:08 |
| will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453 | 6 | $1.9K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | Yes | -$1,936 | 01-25 09:30 |
| will the us next strike iran on january 29 2026 et 159 | 2 | $1.9K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | +$64 | 01-25 13:57 |
| will the us next strike iran on january 28 2026 et 699 | 3 | $1.9K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | +$76 | 01-25 15:32 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||