Firm-Vogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

31.2%

Resolved

609

Trades

688

lifetime

Volume

$60.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 09-21 04:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

60% 93% +$105

Sports

22% 25% -$87

Politics

15% 67% +$20

Crypto

4% 99% +$3

Tech

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+19	$11	64¢	$12	+$1	05-18 18:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$5.2K	2,650	2,650	+0	No	+$10	03-28 15:05
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.8K	890	890	+0	No	+$0	04-03 18:06
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$1.6K	784	784	+0	No	-$2	04-05 17:21
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	767	767	+0	No	-$1	03-23 23:50
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	753	753	+0	No	-$1	03-16 23:32
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$1.5K	751	751	+0	No	+$2	03-18 02:51
lol fnc g2 2026 04 05 game1	2	$1.5K	740	740	+0	G2 Esports	+$10	04-05 17:26
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	730	730	+0	No	+$0	03-26 13:57
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.4K	727	727	+0	No	-$1	04-10 03:13
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.4K	728	728	+0	No	-$1	03-26 21:41
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.4K	725	725	+0	No	-$1	04-07 14:09
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.4K	713	713	+0	No	-$1	04-09 05:56
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$1.4K	704	704	+0	No	+$0	03-24 19:45
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.4K	702	702	+0	No	-$1	03-25 01:00
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.4K	694	694	+0	No	-$1	03-28 20:45
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.4K	679	679	+0	No	-$1	03-20 20:59
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.2K	603	603	+0	No	-$1	05-14 03:16
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	-$1	03-23 13:58
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.2K	592	592	+0	open	—	05-13 20:53
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.2K	579	579	+0	No	-$1	04-15 02:47
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.1K	561	561	+0	No	-$1	04-11 15:15
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.1K	544	544	+0	No	-$1	04-17 02:39
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.1K	82,717	82,717	+0	No	-$83	03-28 01:39
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.0K	513	513	+0	No	-$1	04-29 03:20
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.0K	509	509	+0	No	-$1	05-03 23:25
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.0K	509	509	+0	open	—	05-11 02:08
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	No	-$1	04-30 03:44
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$998	503	503	+0	open	—	05-05 02:31
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$993	499	499	+0	No	$0	04-24 05:02
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$985	493	493	+0	No	$0	05-12 02:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 04:28:04	Jets vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x957f7d…
07-26 02:01:25	ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6d0580…
06-24 04:09:04	ethereum above 1800 on june 24 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdda546…
06-24 04:08:26	bitcoin above 66k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0d67e9…
06-23 04:55:47	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6085f…
06-23 04:55:29	ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ae8e2…
06-19 04:58:13	ethereum above 1500 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd06271…
06-16 04:58:22	nvda close above 195 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8f973e…
06-16 04:57:27	googl close above 350 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x18b79b…
06-16 04:57:12	ethereum above 1600 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3daf8e…
06-16 04:56:58	bitcoin above 70k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7354cd…
06-11 23:26:16	ethereum above 1900 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x443d84…
06-11 23:26:03	ethereum above 1400 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaddb5c…
06-11 23:25:49	bitcoin above 68k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4723c8…
06-11 23:25:31	tsla close above 360 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x70d650…
06-04 03:49:49	nvda close above 230 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd6d1f4…
06-04 03:49:31	bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xec32db…
06-04 03:49:04	ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x323477…
06-01 05:26:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00a7a0…
06-01 05:26:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on June 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a161b…
06-01 05:25:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xedb5a6…
05-29 04:10:27	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd52634…
05-29 04:09:52	open above 4 on may 29 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x23b306…
05-29 04:09:15	open above 6 on may 29 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb45425…
05-29 04:09:01	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x605140…
05-29 04:08:28	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 25 above $6.50?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x97394f…
05-29 04:08:07	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 25 above $240?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9e91c0…
05-29 04:07:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x351f67…
05-29 04:07:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5cc15…
05-29 04:07:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8f9f13…
05-29 04:06:55	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33f6da…
05-28 04:00:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x140b08…
05-28 04:00:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd22d15…
05-28 03:59:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$240 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3b8009…
05-28 03:58:51	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x037ce2…
05-28 03:58:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6307a…
05-28 03:58:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x831f89…
05-28 03:58:12	Will Meta (META) close above $590 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x42645e…
05-27 04:45:54	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 on May 27?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc9be90…
05-27 04:45:21	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35c835…
05-27 04:44:55	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x36d55d…
05-27 04:44:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x603c60…
05-27 04:43:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2df4cc…
05-26 06:07:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf5a0d1…
05-26 06:06:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xad75f5…
05-26 06:06:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ac6e5…
05-26 06:05:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4e8724…
05-26 06:05:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e89d9…
05-25 01:34:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c4f49…
05-25 01:34:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc0dd00…
05-24 06:22:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fa635…
05-24 06:22:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 18-24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9c542a…
05-24 05:36:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0eeecb…
05-18 18:56:50	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0xc402bb…
05-18 18:55:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4aff11…
05-18 18:55:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cb449…
05-18 18:54:52	will bitcoin dip to 71k on may 18	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10fcd9…
05-18 18:54:31	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb682e5…
05-18 18:54:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2b4010…
05-18 18:53:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb14bba…
05-18 18:53:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 on May 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b6e1d…
05-15 02:18:56	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $5.50?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1ee794…
05-15 02:18:36	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $6.00?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x005b43…
05-15 02:18:01	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $3.50?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc9fb8a…
05-15 02:17:49	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $7.00?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78d1a9…
05-15 02:17:11	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97e701…
05-15 02:16:43	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8da424…
05-15 02:16:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc563d7…
05-15 02:16:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x63d7d8…
05-15 02:15:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x261116…
05-15 02:15:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf49c07…
05-15 02:15:17	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x759608…
05-15 02:07:51	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb72e74…
05-14 03:21:13	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd8bcc5…
05-14 03:17:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2582c9…
05-14 03:17:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x27b3d1…
05-14 03:16:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x887845…
05-14 03:16:41	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $375 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x90d5db…
05-14 03:16:27	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	603	100¢	$602	0x44b4eb…
05-13 20:54:52	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	603	100¢	$602	0x1780d8…
05-13 20:53:35	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	592	99¢	$588	0xd14e1f…
05-13 00:01:59	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	592	99¢	$588	0xb77c49…
05-13 00:01:14	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	494	99¢	$490	0xf4ef7b…
05-13 00:00:32	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $280 on May 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0c174…
05-13 00:00:21	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 on May 13?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x434169…
05-13 00:00:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd98c55…
05-12 23:59:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd1c50d…
05-12 02:42:09	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	494	99¢	$491	0x7727fe…
05-12 02:41:15	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2685cf…
05-12 02:40:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x875d09…
05-12 02:39:23	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	493	100¢	$492	0xe9109b…
05-12 02:38:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9a452a…
05-12 02:37:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1ab62e…
05-11 02:09:42	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	493	100¢	$493	0xa90460…
05-11 02:09:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x762cdc…
05-11 02:08:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x94dea9…
05-11 02:08:18	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	509	99¢	$505	0x54db62…
05-11 02:07:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0f9f76…
05-11 02:06:44	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3a7654…
05-09 03:34:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4f2f36…