Bony-Dashboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

23.8%

Resolved

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$3.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-09 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

42% — —

Other

40% 50% +$0

Sports

18% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No		+31	$20	80¢	$25	+$4	06-06 15:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$361	282	282	+0	No	$-0	04-27 01:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	8	$158	195	195	+0	open	—	05-24 22:29
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	8	$150	150	150	+0	open	—	06-08 01:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$147	137	106	+31	open	—	06-06 15:43
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	5	$143	75	75	+0	open	—	04-24 22:54
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$136	72	72	+0	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:39
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	6	$134	68	68	+0	open	—	04-26 15:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	11	$122	320	320	+0	open	—	05-27 22:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$116	91	91	+0	open	—	06-01 21:36
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$99	53	53	+0	open	—	05-28 12:17
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	9	$87	226	226	+0	open	—	06-05 15:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$84	52	52	+0	open	—	06-05 21:01
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	03-27 14:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$81	43	43	+0	open	—	05-19 22:04
Iran leadership change by June 30?	2	$81	42	42	+0	open	—	06-04 17:16
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3	$80	51	51	+0	open	—	06-02 11:34
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	3	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	06-03 13:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	4	$78	54	54	+0	open	—	06-06 08:56
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$75	38	38	+0	open	—	04-10 23:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	3	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	05-19 04:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	03-26 05:02
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$74	39	39	+0	open	—	04-16 11:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	03-29 03:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$73	38	38	+0	open	—	04-03 08:43
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$0	03-28 09:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	7	$72	73	73	+0	open	—	04-21 07:28
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	04-26 02:15
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	3	$69	36	36	+0	open	—	05-26 01:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$67	36	36	+0	open	—	04-20 13:05
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	04-07 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 04:38:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0xdee34c…
06-10 04:38:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x5b8956…
06-09 23:36:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xda94d2…
06-09 23:36:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xc38d3a…
06-09 23:36:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x504dad…
06-09 23:35:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xbeaaee…
06-09 19:19:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xc9d126…
06-09 19:19:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	38¢	$25	0x904339…
06-09 19:19:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x1cf5a6…
06-09 17:54:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	38¢	$28	0xaadd23…
06-09 11:50:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	82	31¢	$25	0xfc64f0…
06-09 07:17:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	39	30¢	$12	0x99bdac…
06-09 07:17:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0x27b122…
06-08 11:33:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x6b7035…
06-08 01:00:33	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	75	3¢	$2	0x793b51…
06-07 23:39:39	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x977c2b…
06-07 23:39:39	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x412579…
06-07 23:39:39	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x233b86…
06-06 23:24:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	48	7¢	$3	0x9c2c1e…
06-06 20:53:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	48	7¢	$3	0x9200b2…
06-06 15:43:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	52	74¢	$38	0xc7aa78…
06-06 13:05:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x769a81…
06-06 13:05:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	45	74¢	$33	0x38e5f7…
06-06 08:56:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0xe87c0a…
06-06 08:56:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	37	72¢	$27	0x9a5c84…
06-06 06:51:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0xf2c4a7…
06-06 06:51:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xc2c881…
06-06 01:11:28	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x49fe66…
06-05 21:47:43	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb5e2be…
06-05 21:01:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	52	81¢	$42	0xdcf86c…
06-05 18:32:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	52	81¢	$42	0x86f7ed…
06-05 15:22:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	48	19¢	$9	0x8f92cc…
06-05 15:22:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	48	19¢	$9	0x8cbf7f…
06-05 15:22:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x7c6768…
06-05 15:22:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	44	19¢	$8	0x34f3b2…
06-05 11:57:12	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	156	19¢	$30	0x14ad92…
06-05 09:10:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb4547d…
06-05 09:10:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	49¢	$29	0xea7d8f…
06-05 04:27:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	49¢	$32	0x8a62ba…
06-04 23:21:28	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	70	20¢	$14	0xfe78f0…
06-04 21:28:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x585b54…
06-04 21:28:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0x383d85…
06-04 21:28:33	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	19¢	$6	0xf1b1d2…
06-04 17:16:55	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x1e505b…
06-04 12:43:19	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xd93c8b…
06-03 23:07:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$2	0xa16b82…
06-03 20:56:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x5ebf0f…
06-03 20:27:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x75baa5…
06-03 20:27:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0x751d17…
06-03 13:02:11	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbb2127…
06-03 11:33:20	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xe15c2d…
06-03 08:15:39	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x266b69…
06-03 03:37:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x312fc4…
06-03 03:37:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0xbe8355…
06-03 03:37:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0x073df2…
06-03 01:18:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	89	3¢	$2	0x7a998c…
06-02 11:34:05	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xe73efe…
06-02 11:23:14	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	43	78¢	$34	0xb50f56…
06-02 09:41:44	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x81830b…
06-01 21:36:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	49	81¢	$40	0xf880a7…
06-01 19:36:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0xa02099…
05-30 08:36:10	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0xfffbdd…
05-30 08:35:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xf57904…
05-29 17:09:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	42	44¢	$18	0x993dcf…
05-29 16:06:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0xff72e3…
05-29 16:06:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xe44c83…
05-29 11:59:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	54	46¢	$25	0x5d4529…
05-29 08:24:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	85	53¢	$45	0x84546c…
05-28 14:47:19	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xb42bd0…
05-28 14:47:19	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xaffd5f…
05-28 12:19:44	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x181007…
05-28 12:17:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x2ece8c…
05-28 10:22:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x1708b2…
05-28 04:28:03	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xf27c08…
05-28 01:22:34	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8f8408…
05-27 22:27:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	53	10¢	$5	0xe9683a…
05-27 22:27:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x8bb58e…
05-27 22:27:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	49	10¢	$5	0x1c9c42…
05-27 22:27:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x119f0a…
05-27 18:37:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	144	12¢	$17	0x95a72c…
05-26 13:19:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0xf0264f…
05-26 11:34:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0x7d905a…
05-26 07:48:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x924582…
05-26 05:25:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xaf3e56…
05-26 01:00:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x9f5c3c…
05-25 21:13:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x6feac4…
05-25 21:13:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x231729…
05-24 22:29:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xb50bf8…
05-24 22:29:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	32	81¢	$26	0x2cbacc…
05-24 19:23:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0x3bc218…
05-24 14:08:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0xbdb81a…
05-24 14:08:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	54	31¢	$17	0x8f28d8…
05-24 14:08:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	44	31¢	$14	0x4696bd…
05-24 14:08:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	31¢	$10	0x3a5059…
05-24 10:29:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	156	29¢	$45	0x58b164…
05-24 06:09:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	26¢	$6	0xf1f6b7…
05-24 03:38:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x264cf2…
05-23 23:49:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0xfb0906…
05-23 23:49:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	82	28¢	$23	0xccf228…
05-23 23:49:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	55	28¢	$15	0x5dfe37…