Realized P&L
-$1.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$252
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved
5,067
Trades
16,223
lifetime
Volume
$186.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 08-19 15:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
82% 59% -$1,397
Crypto
12% 85% -$137
Politics
4% 75% +$145
Sports
2% 49% -$130
Tech
0% 62% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 879 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +231 $105 90¢ $207 +$102 08-17 23:11
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +121 $93 94¢ $115 +$22 08-10 23:31
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553 No +124 $66 88¢ $109 +$43 08-18 18:47
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +85 $65 94¢ $79 +$14 08-18 20:48
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +91 $74 79¢ $72 -$3 08-19 12:42
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +79 $72 90¢ $71 -$1 08-19 12:38
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +79 $56 90¢ $71 +$14 08-17 12:00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +58 $48 91¢ $53 +$6 08-16 03:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +33 $32 94¢ $32 +$0 08-19 13:38
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +35 $26 80¢ $28 +$2 08-15 19:43
trump meets with putin by december 31 Yes +31 $11 84¢ $26 +$15 08-16 21:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +31 $25 82¢ $26 +$0 08-12 18:06
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +29 $24 87¢ $25 +$1 08-18 20:48
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +26 $15 99¢ $25 +$10 08-18 22:06
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +28 $20 88¢ $24 +$4 08-14 17:54
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +26 $16 88¢ $22 +$7 08-19 14:03
will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636 No +25 $21 86¢ $21 +$0 08-19 11:41
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +24 $20 89¢ $21 +$1 07-24 22:50
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $23 28¢ $21 -$2 07-28 06:48
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +23 $18 88¢ $20 +$2 08-16 07:11
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +19 $10 100¢ $19 +$9 08-14 21:44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$1 08-17 01:33
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 No +21 $19 85¢ $18 -$1 08-19 06:17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +21 $12 80¢ $17 +$5 08-16 18:04
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +17 $16 98¢ $16 +$0 08-19 11:00
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +15 $13 85¢ $13 $0 08-18 23:06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +38 $19 32¢ $12 -$7 08-17 01:27
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $11 92¢ $12 +$1 08-19 13:30
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +19 $12 60¢ $11 -$1 07-22 21:47
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +12 $5 84¢ $10 +$6 08-17 03:12